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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


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16 minutes ago, Phil said:

Lol, we’re close. I don’t have my stuff organized like you do but roughly half of the videos are weather stuff. And at least 4,000 of the 21,000 photos are weather stuff too. :lol: 

A8300310-3178-4F9F-B277-F2F6D39A1013.jpegB5633F06-6F8D-419C-9052-99BFE0990155.jpeg

I doubt Randy actually organizes his photos. You can just text search in your photos and your iphone will recognize whatever you are looking for in your pics...not perfect obviously but pretty useful. 

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5 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Way underdone.  I would triple some of those numbers.

So PDX gets .3 instead of .1  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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23 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I do believe you Puget Sounder folks have seen accumulating snow 2 to 6 times already? Yes? You've had a pretty decent Wintry season.

You can't always hog ALL the fun. Right? Right. Sharing is caring after all.... haha. Nah. If I had 30" of snow and you only had 2" I would be greedy as (insert favorite expletive here) and want more!

And with the possible exception of @MR.SNOWMIZER up near Green Mountain I don't think anyone in the Puget Sound area has received 30" or anything near to it. I've done really well so far this season and I'm standing at a hair above 20".

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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20 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

February tourney can be at Tim's house. Should be deep snow, gobs of warm front drizzle, calamitous marine pushing, and some oppressive 25 degree sunshine.

For the ski suit challenge I was thinking we should hold it on the blazing Dallesport runway.

Can’t help but wonder if this was sensor related.☹️

https://www.google.com/amp/s/katu.com/amp/news/local/pilot-hurt-in-airplane-crash-at-dallesport-airport

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

And with the possible exception of @MR.SNOWMIZER up near Green Mountain I don't think anyone in the Puget Sound area has received 30" or anything near to it. I've done really well so far this season and I'm standing at a hair above 20".

Oh, yeah no I know no one has had 30", that was just an example n stuff. I should have clarified that a bit more.

00z NAM in 58 minutes
(Who's staying up?) (c)Rob 2022

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4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I bet I get 10 times what that shows.

SEA might get 100 times what is shown.  

Let me check the math... 100 X 0.00 = 0.00

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

December 4th? Or the morning of the 1st?

That’s the first. The fourth wasn’t as impressive here, although that’s the snow that got me out of a trip to the inlaws in Seattle so I might argue the fourth was better. 

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1 minute ago, T-Town said:

That’s the first. The fourth wasn’t as impressive here, although that’s the snow that got me out of a trip to the inlaws in Seattle so I might argue the fourth was better. 

The event really peaked on that day. We picked up 1” during the evening of the 30th and 1” on the morning of the 1st. Then the snow held on really well all day. 34/25 temp spread on December 1st. 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Minimum high-60

Minimum low-44

 -40 highs-0

 -32 lows-0

 -32 highs-0

monthly rainfall-3.14”

cold season rainfall-0.00”

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44 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Me trying to figure out how big of a snowman I can build with .1" of snow. 🤣

546571313_Equation2.gif

I once built a 7' tall snowman with 0.5". It took a lot of work and basically all the snow from the yard (and it was pretty cone shaped), but it showed it was possible!

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 7.3"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75"

2022-23: 10" (12/18: 0.75", 12/19: 2.5", 12/20: 6", 1/31: 0.25", 2/28: 0.5"; Trace: 11/7, 12/2, 12/21; Flakes: 11/29, 11/30, 12/1, 2/26)

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I'm pretty happy with the one snow event we had in December. If we didn't get any snow up here for the rest of the winter and areas south got some it would make me happy. However, I would love to see the cold onshore flow turn on sometime in the next couple weeks. Let's bury the mountains before the tap runs dry in a couple months!

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 7.3"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75"

2022-23: 10" (12/18: 0.75", 12/19: 2.5", 12/20: 6", 1/31: 0.25", 2/28: 0.5"; Trace: 11/7, 12/2, 12/21; Flakes: 11/29, 11/30, 12/1, 2/26)

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45/39 day here with overcast skies. Did a nice wintertime walk at Steigerwald Lake wildlife refuge this afternoon. Birds are pretty active down there at the moment, even saw a couple of bald eagles. Caught a sliver of pink sunset at the end.

AF921DC1-980F-4F06-9950-F6E46BE8A4A0.jpeg

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69B89590-CFE1-4527-974D-97B55FBEE418.jpeg

 

Edited by Cascadia_Wx
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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Weenie Wednesday 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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34 minutes ago, Doinko said:

1/10/2017 or 2/12/1995 style overperformance??

Not 1/10/17, but 2/12/95 is a closer match although the models have edged away from a more dynamic, closed vort. 2/12/95 was pretty explosive and had a vertically-stacked aspect with a sub-530dm vort/surface low combo. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Was much more spectacular in person…But that was quite the color hue a bit ago! 

F7339015-A360-4940-BAC8-9207EBEAA756.jpeg

653D3A46-0D28-4340-B5C7-4741DF42E90D.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

What happened in 1989?

The Berlin Wall came down... of course.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Not 1/10/17, but 2/12/95 is a closer match although the models have edged away from a more dynamic, closed vort. 2/12/95 was pretty explosive and had a vertically-stacked aspect with a sub-530dm vort/surface low combo. 

Hoping next few days trend better for that, either way looks like a fun airmass coming up

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Was much more spectacular in person…But that was quite the color hue a bit ago! 

F7339015-A360-4940-BAC8-9207EBEAA756.jpeg

653D3A46-0D28-4340-B5C7-4741DF42E90D.jpeg

Same thing happened here... the mid level deck of clouds that moved in this afternoon turned purplish at sunset.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Think I’m going to bundle up on Saturday night, drive up the Fraser Valley, and take advantage of the forecast clear conditions to try and catch a glimpse of Comet ZTF.

https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/spot-circumpolar-comet-ztf-c-2022-e3-in-binoculars/

(Has already brightened more than forecast and is now a dim naked-eye object.)

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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7 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Hoping next few days trend better for that, either way looks like a fun airmass coming up

Should be some fun advection to track at the very least. I’m pretty skeptical about some of the colder runs though given the facts heights only get down to just below 540dm. Historically, it’s pretty tough to get anything colder than about -10 or -11 with that kind of upper level support. 

Edited by Deweydog
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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Max snow depth from each event so far this season. Been okayish, but still waiting for the “big one”! One foot or bust! 
 

8D9C57C0-A43E-4824-B1C0-D8ADAF321141.jpeg

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79F70C81-7BF4-48AA-8CFF-6474529DD9D4.jpeg

6BB7088E-E8E5-4CA3-A9DA-E448B2410F7D.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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It’s easy to forget that it’s still only late January. Still a chance for something to develop sometime in mid February or early March even. Right now it looks like a typical pattern following the cold shot starting mid next week. In December we only had to wait 2 weeks until the next event started maybe we luck out again. 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Minimum high-60

Minimum low-44

 -40 highs-0

 -32 lows-0

 -32 highs-0

monthly rainfall-3.14”

cold season rainfall-0.00”

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5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s easy to forget that it’s still only late January. Still a chance for something to develop sometime in mid February or early March even. Right now it looks like a typical pattern following the cold shot starting mid next week. In December we only had to wait 2 weeks until the next event started maybe we luck out again. 

Did you not see the title for the forecast contest thread?

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Did you not see the title for the forecast contest thread?

Lol, what are your thoughts on another cold pattern developing sometime in the next 3-5 weeks? Based on the models it looks pretty unlikely through atleast February 10th (probably). 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Minimum high-60

Minimum low-44

 -40 highs-0

 -32 lows-0

 -32 highs-0

monthly rainfall-3.14”

cold season rainfall-0.00”

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