PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[RentonHill]

16 minutes ago, Phil said:

Lol, we’re close. I don’t have my stuff organized like you do but roughly half of the videos are weather stuff. And at least 4,000 of the 21,000 photos are weather stuff too.  

I doubt Randy actually organizes his photos. You can just text search in your photos and your iphone will recognize whatever you are looking for in your pics...not perfect obviously but pretty useful. 

[T-Town]

For sure. This was the same day.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Way underdone.  I would triple some of those numbers.

So PDX gets .3 instead of .1  

[RayRay]

When my friend asked me if it is going to snow in Seattle, I said no. My mood is not good and my mood swings with how much snowfall there is. Time to get a job in the Rocky Mountains.

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

For sure. This was the same day.

Beautiful! That's what Winter is supposed to look like!

[Gradient Keeper]

2 minutes ago, RayRay said:

When my friend asked me if it is going to snow in Seattle, I said no. My mood is not good and my mood swings with how much snowfall there is. Time to get a job in the Rocky Mountains.

That sounds like a plan!

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So PDX gets .3 instead of .1  

Greta is pissed at you. How dare you diminish our lofty .3" of snow into something that is a mere disappointment and not welcomed by one and all.

[TacomaWx]

5 minutes ago, T-Town said:

For sure. This was the same day.

December 4th? Or the morning of the 1st?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

23 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I do believe you Puget Sounder folks have seen accumulating snow 2 to 6 times already? Yes? You've had a pretty decent Wintry season.

You can't always hog ALL the fun. Right? Right. Sharing is caring after all.... haha. Nah. If I had 30" of snow and you only had 2" I would be greedy as (insert favorite expletive here) and want more!

And with the possible exception of @MR.SNOWMIZER up near Green Mountain I don't think anyone in the Puget Sound area has received 30" or anything near to it. I've done really well so far this season and I'm standing at a hair above 20".

[Rubus Leucodermis]

14 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Way underdone.  I would triple some of those numbers.

I bet I get 10 times what that shows.

[Deweydog]

20 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

February tourney can be at Tim's house. Should be deep snow, gobs of warm front drizzle, calamitous marine pushing, and some oppressive 25 degree sunshine.

For the ski suit challenge I was thinking we should hold it on the blazing Dallesport runway.

Can’t help but wonder if this was sensor related.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/katu.com/amp/news/local/pilot-hurt-in-airplane-crash-at-dallesport-airport

[TacomaWx]

We’ve had some pretty good times here so far this winter. 7 separate snow events…but the biggest 1 day total just being 1.1”. Snow depth peaked on the morning of the 1st at 2”. 

[Gradient Keeper]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

And with the possible exception of @MR.SNOWMIZER up near Green Mountain I don't think anyone in the Puget Sound area has received 30" or anything near to it. I've done really well so far this season and I'm standing at a hair above 20".

Oh, yeah no I know no one has had 30", that was just an example n stuff. I should have clarified that a bit more.

00z NAM in 58 minutes
(Who's staying up?) (c)Rob 2022

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I bet I get 10 times what that shows.

SEA might get 100 times what is shown.  

Let me check the math... 100 X 0.00 = 0.00

[T-Town]

6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

December 4th? Or the morning of the 1st?

That’s the first. The fourth wasn’t as impressive here, although that’s the snow that got me out of a trip to the inlaws in Seattle so I might argue the fourth was better. 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

That’s the first. The fourth wasn’t as impressive here, although that’s the snow that got me out of a trip to the inlaws in Seattle so I might argue the fourth was better. 

The event really peaked on that day. We picked up 1” during the evening of the 30th and 1” on the morning of the 1st. Then the snow held on really well all day. 34/25 temp spread on December 1st. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Me trying to figure out how big of a snowman I can build with .1" of snow.

[Doinko]

1/10/2017 or 2/12/1995 style overperformance??

[Phishy Wx]

getting over performance vibes too

 

we'll see

[SnowWillarrive]

56 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

And with the possible exception of @MR.SNOWMIZER up near Green Mountain I don't think anyone in the Puget Sound area has received 30" or anything near to it. I've done really well so far this season and I'm standing at a hair above 20".

Ludicrous has done pretty well at least. 

[RentonHill]

Getting “warning shot” vibes

 

we will see

[OysterPrintout]

When there's almost no room to underperform overperforming is a good bet!

[RentonHill]

[Skagit Weather]

44 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Me trying to figure out how big of a snowman I can build with .1" of snow.

I once built a 7' tall snowman with 0.5". It took a lot of work and basically all the snow from the yard (and it was pretty cone shaped), but it showed it was possible!

[Skagit Weather]

I'm pretty happy with the one snow event we had in December. If we didn't get any snow up here for the rest of the winter and areas south got some it would make me happy. However, I would love to see the cold onshore flow turn on sometime in the next couple weeks. Let's bury the mountains before the tap runs dry in a couple months!

[Cascadia_Wx]

45/39 day here with overcast skies. Did a nice wintertime walk at Steigerwald Lake wildlife refuge this afternoon. Birds are pretty active down there at the moment, even saw a couple of bald eagles. Caught a sliver of pink sunset at the end.

 

Edited January 26 by Cascadia_Wx

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Weenie Wednesday 

[Deweydog]

34 minutes ago, Doinko said:

1/10/2017 or 2/12/1995 style overperformance??

Not 1/10/17, but 2/12/95 is a closer match although the models have edged away from a more dynamic, closed vort. 2/12/95 was pretty explosive and had a vertically-stacked aspect with a sub-530dm vort/surface low combo. 

[MossMan]

Was much more spectacular in person…But that was quite the color hue a bit ago! 

[Anti Marine Layer]

5 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Not 1/10/17, but 2/12/95 is a closer match although the models have edged away from a more dynamic, closed vort. 2/12/95 was pretty explosive and had a vertically-stacked aspect with a sub-530dm vort/surface low combo. 

What happened in 1989?

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

What happened in 1989?

The Berlin Wall came down... of course.

[Doinko]

7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Not 1/10/17, but 2/12/95 is a closer match although the models have edged away from a more dynamic, closed vort. 2/12/95 was pretty explosive and had a vertically-stacked aspect with a sub-530dm vort/surface low combo. 

Hoping next few days trend better for that, either way looks like a fun airmass coming up

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Was much more spectacular in person…But that was quite the color hue a bit ago! 

Same thing happened here... the mid level deck of clouds that moved in this afternoon turned purplish at sunset.

[Deweydog]

4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

What happened in 1989?

Your mom and I went to DEI training together and things got interesting.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Think I’m going to bundle up on Saturday night, drive up the Fraser Valley, and take advantage of the forecast clear conditions to try and catch a glimpse of Comet ZTF.

https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/spot-circumpolar-comet-ztf-c-2022-e3-in-binoculars/

(Has already brightened more than forecast and is now a dim naked-eye object.)

[Doinko]

18z EPS unfortunately looks a bit worse

[Anti Marine Layer]

4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Your mom and I went to DEI training together and things got interesting.

Amen and awomen

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Hoping next few days trend better for that, either way looks like a fun airmass coming up

Should be some fun advection to track at the very least. I’m pretty skeptical about some of the colder runs though given the facts heights only get down to just below 540dm. Historically, it’s pretty tough to get anything colder than about -10 or -11 with that kind of upper level support. 

Edited January 26 by Deweydog

[Gradient Keeper]

20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Weenie Wednesday 

(c)Andrew 2023

[Deweydog]

1/20/08 is actually a really good analog from a 500mb perspective.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Looks like PDX still gets a dusting.

[MossMan]

Max snow depth from each event so far this season. Been okayish, but still waiting for the “big one”! One foot or bust! 
 

[MWG]

Low 21F and a High of 52F for the day. 

[TT-SEA]

00Z NAM

[TacomaWx]

It’s easy to forget that it’s still only late January. Still a chance for something to develop sometime in mid February or early March even. Right now it looks like a typical pattern following the cold shot starting mid next week. In December we only had to wait 2 weeks until the next event started maybe we luck out again. 

[TacomaWx]

47/42 today…although we may get a midnight low. 

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s easy to forget that it’s still only late January. Still a chance for something to develop sometime in mid February or early March even. Right now it looks like a typical pattern following the cold shot starting mid next week. In December we only had to wait 2 weeks until the next event started maybe we luck out again. 

Did you not see the title for the forecast contest thread?

[TacomaWx]

4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Did you not see the title for the forecast contest thread?

Lol, what are your thoughts on another cold pattern developing sometime in the next 3-5 weeks? Based on the models it looks pretty unlikely through atleast February 10th (probably). 

[Doinko]

ICON appears wetter and slower with the cold air, looks better for PDX snow

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS in 14 minutes

It's now or never if we are to see the chances of snow increase for this weekend. The arctic trough is modeled to drop south in 66-72 hours. That is still plenty of time to develop more favorable trends. Do I expect it? No, but it's not impossible. Ya gotta believe!!!!
 

Oh, and in case you are new here, we will ALWAYS....

Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!