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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


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5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

And with the possible exception of @MR.SNOWMIZER up near Green Mountain I don't think anyone in the Puget Sound area has received 30" or anything near to it. I've done really well so far this season and I'm standing at a hair above 20".

Oh, yeah no I know no one has had 30", that was just an example n stuff. I should have clarified that a bit more.

00z NAM in 58 minutes
(Who's staying up?) (c)Rob 2022

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4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I bet I get 10 times what that shows.

SEA might get 100 times what is shown.  

Let me check the math... 100 X 0.00 = 0.00

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, T-Town said:

That’s the first. The fourth wasn’t as impressive here, although that’s the snow that got me out of a trip to the inlaws in Seattle so I might argue the fourth was better. 

The event really peaked on that day. We picked up 1” during the evening of the 30th and 1” on the morning of the 1st. Then the snow held on really well all day. 34/25 temp spread on December 1st. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-9

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-19

Total snowfall-6.0” 

Monthly rainfall-2.88”

Wet season rainfall-16.37”

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56 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

And with the possible exception of @MR.SNOWMIZER up near Green Mountain I don't think anyone in the Puget Sound area has received 30" or anything near to it. I've done really well so far this season and I'm standing at a hair above 20".

Ludicrous has done pretty well at least. 

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44 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Me trying to figure out how big of a snowman I can build with .1" of snow. 🤣

546571313_Equation2.gif

I once built a 7' tall snowman with 0.5". It took a lot of work and basically all the snow from the yard (and it was pretty cone shaped), but it showed it was possible!

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 7.3"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75"

2022-23: 9.25" (12/18: 0.75", 12/19: 2.5", 12/20: 6"; Trace: 11/7, 12/2, 12/21; Flakes: 11/29, 11/30, 12/1)

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I'm pretty happy with the one snow event we had in December. If we didn't get any snow up here for the rest of the winter and areas south got some it would make me happy. However, I would love to see the cold onshore flow turn on sometime in the next couple weeks. Let's bury the mountains before the tap runs dry in a couple months!

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 7.3"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75"

2022-23: 9.25" (12/18: 0.75", 12/19: 2.5", 12/20: 6"; Trace: 11/7, 12/2, 12/21; Flakes: 11/29, 11/30, 12/1)

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  • Longtimer

45/39 day here with overcast skies. Did a nice wintertime walk at Steigerwald Lake wildlife refuge this afternoon. Birds are pretty active down there at the moment, even saw a couple of bald eagles. Caught a sliver of pink sunset at the end.

AF921DC1-980F-4F06-9950-F6E46BE8A4A0.jpeg

3CEF713B-2FE3-4D2A-800B-86E3CA17EC89.jpeg

F10CEDFB-2C55-4331-BB26-EF4CA4018CB8.jpeg

82BA4593-C55A-478E-BED0-3DE3D16E2329.jpeg

69B89590-CFE1-4527-974D-97B55FBEE418.jpeg

 

Edited by Cascadia_Wx
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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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  • Longtimer

Weenie Wednesday 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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34 minutes ago, Doinko said:

1/10/2017 or 2/12/1995 style overperformance??

Not 1/10/17, but 2/12/95 is a closer match although the models have edged away from a more dynamic, closed vort. 2/12/95 was pretty explosive and had a vertically-stacked aspect with a sub-530dm vort/surface low combo. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Not 1/10/17, but 2/12/95 is a closer match although the models have edged away from a more dynamic, closed vort. 2/12/95 was pretty explosive and had a vertically-stacked aspect with a sub-530dm vort/surface low combo. 

Hoping next few days trend better for that, either way looks like a fun airmass coming up

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Was much more spectacular in person…But that was quite the color hue a bit ago! 

F7339015-A360-4940-BAC8-9207EBEAA756.jpeg

653D3A46-0D28-4340-B5C7-4741DF42E90D.jpeg

Same thing happened here... the mid level deck of clouds that moved in this afternoon turned purplish at sunset.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Think I’m going to bundle up on Saturday night, drive up the Fraser Valley, and take advantage of the forecast clear conditions to try and catch a glimpse of Comet ZTF.

https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/spot-circumpolar-comet-ztf-c-2022-e3-in-binoculars/

(Has already brightened more than forecast and is now a dim naked-eye object.)

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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7 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Hoping next few days trend better for that, either way looks like a fun airmass coming up

Should be some fun advection to track at the very least. I’m pretty skeptical about some of the colder runs though given the facts heights only get down to just below 540dm. Historically, it’s pretty tough to get anything colder than about -10 or -11 with that kind of upper level support. 

Edited by Deweydog
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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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It’s easy to forget that it’s still only late January. Still a chance for something to develop sometime in mid February or early March even. Right now it looks like a typical pattern following the cold shot starting mid next week. In December we only had to wait 2 weeks until the next event started maybe we luck out again. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-9

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-19

Total snowfall-6.0” 

Monthly rainfall-2.88”

Wet season rainfall-16.37”

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5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s easy to forget that it’s still only late January. Still a chance for something to develop sometime in mid February or early March even. Right now it looks like a typical pattern following the cold shot starting mid next week. In December we only had to wait 2 weeks until the next event started maybe we luck out again. 

Did you not see the title for the forecast contest thread?

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Did you not see the title for the forecast contest thread?

Lol, what are your thoughts on another cold pattern developing sometime in the next 3-5 weeks? Based on the models it looks pretty unlikely through atleast February 10th (probably). 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-9

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-19

Total snowfall-6.0” 

Monthly rainfall-2.88”

Wet season rainfall-16.37”

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  • Longtimer
4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like Mark is going with no highs below 35 or lows below 20 at PDX for this one. 

Sounds about right.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Name that movie! I remember watching this classic with my dad on a snowy January 1996 day! Speaking of that event…The majority of the snow that fell during that event was not really forecasted until a day or two out if I remember correctly! 

4A6B127A-F20E-4A99-B913-855A7D2E6B4B.jpeg

69305265-67A8-465C-BA99-F84082539916.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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