PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

This is what the 00Z run showed for Saturday afternoon...

 

Or is it similar? Hard to tell on Tropical Tids

[Gradient Keeper]

SNOW!

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Very little.

Looks about the same as the 12Z run is terms of precip on Saturday.

[Slushy Inch]

Still too warm. 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Or is it similar? Hard to tell on Tropical Tids

Looks like more on this run

 

[Slushy Inch]

HR 120 come on!

[MossMan]

I feel like Tim is trying hard to make this thing go east so he doesn’t miss out on the action while he is sipping Margaritas in Hawaii! Could Tim be a bigger snow weenie than Jim?

[Gradient Keeper]

4 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Still too warm. 

The cold air doesn't arrive until Saturday evening/night.

[Deweydog]

Sun!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Rich marriot.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Doinko]

Sunday morning, 12z on top 00z on bottom

 

 

[Slushy Inch]

Euro dries up just as it gets cold for western WA. A great trend nonetheless.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I feel like Tim is trying hard to make this thing go east so he doesn’t miss out on the action while he is sipping Margaritas in Hawaii! Could Tim be a bigger snow weenie than Jim?

I get to enjoy this entire event... Hawaii is still 10 days away! 

 

[Slushy Inch]

COLD

[Doinko]

Western OR could see some snow out of this, temps dropping

 

[fubario]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I feel like Tim is trying hard to make this thing go east so he doesn’t miss out on the action while he is sipping Margaritas in Hawaii! Could Tim be a bigger snow weenie than Jim?

*Mai Tais

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

Sunday morning, 12z on top 00z on bottom

 

 

[Deweydog]

Cold

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 now that digs out NICE!

[Gradient Keeper]

Be back later!

[TT-SEA]

When comparing 12Z run yesterday to 12Z run today on Tropical Tidbits... the 12Z run today is not nearly as good as the 12Z run yesterday for early next week in terms of a re-load.

Yesterday on top... today on bottom.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Western OR could see some snow out of this, temps dropping

 

Looks good up here. That magic 528 line is way south. 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

When comparing 12Z run yesterday to 12Z run today on Tropical Tidbits... the 12Z run today is not nearly as good as the 12Z run yesterday.

Yesterday on top... today on bottom.

850s are way colder on this run than any previous run with the weekend cold shot

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

When comparing 12Z run yesterday to 12Z run today on Tropical Tidbits... the 12Z run today is not nearly as good as the 12Z run yesterday.

Yesterday on top... today on bottom.

I’m sorry but I have to call BS. The surface details are way better on this run. 

[BLI snowman]

Things are looking dire in North Bend.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The 516 line is to PDX at hour 144 and 850mb temps look to be below -10C hard to tell on tidbits though. 

[Doinko]

Easily the best so far

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Doinko said:

Easily the best so far

 

Maybe by not as good he meant colder?

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’m sorry but I have to call BS. The surface details are way better on this run. 

Right... the cold air just roars in now and the re-load potential afterwards is lower.    Seems more likely that western WA is going right from rain to cold and dry and then a slow moderation.   

If you live for just cold then this is all good... bird in the hand!  

 

[Doinko]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Maybe by not as good he meant colder?

850s get down to nearly -14/-15c over PDX on this.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Right... the cold air just roars in now and the re-load potential afterwards is lower.    Seems more likely that western WA is going right from rain to cold and dry and then a slow moderation.   

If you live for just cold then this is all good... bird in the hand!  

 

This is beautiful. 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Right... the cold air just roars in now and the re-load potential afterwards is lower.    Seems more likely that western WA is going right from rain to cold and dry and then a slow moderation.   

If you live for just cold then this is all good... bird in the hand!  

 

Lasts night 12z didn't get anywhere to a reload, a ridge builds over us and it slides east.

Do you mean the 00z run before it? That was the one that showed the big reload, but it seems like that was mostly just an outlier run. The shorter range stuff looks better from what I can tell

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

IMaybe by not as good he meant colder?

I don't really consider cold without snow.    Don't even feel the need to mention it to family.    Its a non-event in terms of daily life.

But a snowstorm and then cold... that sets of all the bells and whistles for me!

I totally and completely understand some people are just as excited about only cold and that is awesome.    Just explaining my perspective.   

 

[TT-SEA]

Total snow per 12Z ECMWF through Monday morning... looks a little better for western OR! 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Total snow per 12Z ECMWF through Monday morning... looks a little better for western OR! 

What are 850s like on WB at hr 144 compared to the past few runs? Nice to see snow looking a bit better

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Total snow per 12Z ECMWF through Monday morning... looks a little better for western OR! 

I can’t stop vomiting. Think I just blew out a rib. 

[Deweydog]

-18c clips NE California. Prolly won’t happen but it shows the POWER of 570+dm heights in downtown Anchorage.

[RentonHill]

GFS is also running! what a treat