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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


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1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

Hopefully that trends north. 😈 

Lol yea it’d be better if it never snowed south of Randy’s house again :) 

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2023 warm season stats

Max temp-89

+80s-5

+85s-3

+90s-0

monthly rainfall-0.00”

warm season rainfall-4.42”

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

End of 12Z EPS run... decent signal. 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-6376000.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-6376000.png

I think there’ll atleast be some seasonably chilly weather next month. Probably a slightly below average February in the works. No good signal for legit snow/cold yet. 

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2023 warm season stats

Max temp-89

+80s-5

+85s-3

+90s-0

monthly rainfall-0.00”

warm season rainfall-4.42”

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16 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Lol yea it’d be better if it never snowed south of Randy’s house again :) 

I know right!   Southern Washington and Oregon were the big winners with this round.  It’s our turn up north again. 
 

How’s your weekly weather briefing going at work?  Seems like we might see some more impactful weather in terms of rainfall as we get towards week 2

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2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

I know right!   Southern Washington and Oregon were the big winners with this round.  It’s our turn up north again. 
 

How’s your weekly weather briefing going at work?  Seems like we might see some more impactful weather in terms of rainfall as we get towards week 2

Haven’t even needed to do an actual forecast yet, this rainy season has been pretty inactive overall. I’m guessing February will probably be slightly cooler and drier than normal as well. Maybe we will make up for it in the spring like last year. 

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2023 warm season stats

Max temp-89

+80s-5

+85s-3

+90s-0

monthly rainfall-0.00”

warm season rainfall-4.42”

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High clouds rapidly spreading into western WA from the NW... enjoy the sun while you can because its back to clouds for most of the rest of the week as flow turns back around to onshore.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

High clouds rapidly spreading into western WA from the NW... enjoy the sun while you can because its back to clouds for most of the rest of the week as flow turns back around to onshore.

Ugh. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

High clouds rapidly spreading into western WA from the NW... enjoy the sun while you can because its back to clouds for most of the rest of the week as flow turns back around to onshore.

Good news considering now I need to buy new chapstick.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Managed a 19F at my place! Pscore!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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41 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I think there’ll atleast be some seasonably chilly weather next month. Probably a slightly below average February in the works. No good signal for legit snow/cold yet. 

Yeah... the 12Z EPS looks pretty dull except for that cold day at the end.   ;)

ecmwf-ensemble-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5080000 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... the 12Z EPS looks pretty dull except for that cold day at the end.   ;)

ecmwf-ensemble-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5080000 (1).png

40/37. Nice. 🥶. Could be some wet snow on the higher hills. 
 

Signs seem to be pointing towards some flat GoA ridging as we head toward mid February.  Perhaps some chilly Nw flow and a decent mountain snow pattern if the ridge doesn’t end up too close.  

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3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

40/37. Nice. 🥶. Could be some wet snow on the higher hills. 
 

Signs seem to be pointing towards some flat GoA ridging as we head toward mid February.  Perhaps some chilly Nw flow and a decent mountain snow pattern if the ridge doesn’t end up too close.  

It would have to happen before 4 a.m. that day... assuming it would get warmer after dawn but who knows!     We will have to wait for the 00Z run to see the rest of that day.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

7 degrees too warm this morning, wow.

Yeah... not sure how the meteograms work.    That might be starting at 10 a.m.?     The 00Z EPS run showed a low of 25 at SEA this morning which was much better.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Well at least we still have March and even April for some white stuff since February is cooked. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Well at least we still have March and even April for some white stuff since February is cooked. 

Jim will be with you shortly. Please take a seat in the waiting room and enjoy some issues of Sports Illustrated from 1989.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Looks like we're on track for a subfreezing day. It was 26F when I checked just now and still low 20s when I checked in the late morning.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 13.9 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 2.20 inches (12/19/22 & 12/20/22)

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) .10 on 3/08/23

Days with trace or more snow: 11/1/22 (1 inch), 11/28/22 (.80), 12/01/22 (T), 12/02/22 (T), 12/4/22 (.20), 12/5/22 (1.5), 12/14/22 (1.6), 12/18/22 (T), 12/19/22 (2.10), 12/20/22 (.10), 12/23/22 (2.0), 01/03/2023 (T), 1/22/23 (T), 2/21/23 (.10), 2/22/23 (.80), 2/23/23 (.20), 2/24/2023 (.50), 2/28/23 (.90), 3/5/2023 (2.0), 3/8/2023 (.10)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 0F (12/21/2022)

Last sub freezing high:  2/23/23

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location  (I've also had a White Christmas in 2017 when I lived in Stanwood and a White Christmas at a hotel in Moscow, ID in 2020). 

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I have upgraded January from a D- - to a D- since it’s finally not drizzling and it’s been in the low 20’s for the last two mornings. Otherwise this has been the longest month EVER! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I have upgraded January from a D- - to a D- since it’s finally not drizzling and it’s been in the low 20’s for the last two mornings. Otherwise this has been the longest month EVER! 

Last October was longer, due to the smoke and the long wait for the rains to begin.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Good news considering now I need to buy new chapstick.

 

8A529DF6-8E4E-4842-AE22-4979163B5D71.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

39/21 today. High clouds saved us from a +40 high but will keep us warmer tonight. 

ECMWF still shows lows in the 20s tomorrow morning.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_min6-5188000 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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