PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Meatyorologist]

2020-21 also had the solstice anafront and a hard frontal boundary in early Jan. Not a complete dud.

[Phil]

5 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Maybe the only thing that could mess up our February would be an SSW.

Tongue in cheek I assume?

edit: yep nm

[Phil]

5 hours ago, joelgombiner said:

 

Surprising agreement there. Did not expect that.

[RentonHill]

That GEEFS control is pure sex. Not even gonna post it. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

I guess we have to assume the summer is going to be another sizzler too.  The January curse and the hot summers seem to be going hand in hand.  Maybe the epic change in CA means something has shifted in spite of what's going on here though.

Hadley Cell definitely less scary looking vs this time last year. Not sure that’ll last though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

That GEEFS control is pure sex. Not even gonna post it. 

Model porn. 

[joelgombiner]

Gonna be honest I love this airmass. Great for running and getting work done outside. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, joelgombiner said:

Gonna be honest I love this airmass. Great for running and getting work done outside. 

I would love these temps in June.

[joelgombiner]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I would love these temps in June.

Would be perfect for a long morel season. 

[Deweydog]

36 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Bordeaux or Mint Chocolate Milano

 

The latter.

Might need a few bags of them if February doesn’t rescue our sad sacks.

 

[GHweatherChris]

How are the "rains in Africa"?

[joelgombiner]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

How are the "rains in Africa"?

[TacomaWx]

8 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

Gonna be honest I love this airmass. Great for running and getting work done outside. 

 

[Slushy Inch]

15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Model porn. 

Already was posted I think.

[Doinko]

Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Already was posted I think.

That was the GEFS mean I think

[Slushy Inch]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The dogs are enjoying the mild evening. 

[joelgombiner]

The rain in Africa sometimes correlate with our cold winters but sometimes they don't. 

[snow_wizard]

I guess you almost have to laugh at how horrific this pattern is.  January just can't help itself in recent years.

The ECMWF shows temps tumbling toward morning as it clears out.  I'll have to see it to believe it though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I guess you almost have to laugh at how horrific this pattern is.  January just can't help itself in recent years.

The ECMWF shows temps tumbling toward morning as it clears out.  I'll have to see it to believe it though.

Here at 1600’ we’ve plunged into the mid-40s. 

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

The rain in Africa sometimes correlate with our cold winters but sometimes they don't. 

I'm kind of wondering why there is so much more graph area above the normal line than below.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm kind of wondering why there is so much more graph area above the normal line than below.

Global warming

[Cold Snap]

Currently 54.3 after a low of 46 and high of 57. January curse is doing its thing.

[BLI snowman]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The dogs are enjoying the mild evening. 

IMG_0981.MOV

Total Tims!

[BLI snowman]

12 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

The rain in Africa sometimes correlate with our cold winters but sometimes they don't. 

Following Toto's blessing of the rains down in Africa, the winter of 1982-83 was a mild and boring affair in the region.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Total Tims!

Then they ran off down the road. Probably heading for North Bend. 

[Slushy Inch]

19 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm kind of wondering why there is so much more graph area above the normal line than below.

Because the 1950s broke the scale. Just like 1950 breaks the scale for Seattle snow.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Because the 1950s broke the scale. Just like 1950 breaks the scale for Seattle snow.

Fun fact. I used to be obsessed with post colonial sub Saharan African history. It’s fascinating. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

49 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

Gonna be honest I love this airmass. Great for running and getting work done outside. 

I like it too.  Cold air damming doing its magic.

 

 

[Phil]

21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm kind of wondering why there is so much more graph area above the normal line than below.

Base period is 1980-2000.

[Slushy Inch]

I thought the gold standard for Seattle Snowstorms was 1949-1950, just realizing that 1968-1969 is actually the record.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Remember Matt also predicted it would not hit 90 last July in Portland.   He is good but nature can fool even him. 

That is like a +10000 bet anymore.

[BLI snowman]

22 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

I thought the gold standard for Seattle Snowstorms was 1949-1950, just realizing that 1968-1969 is actually the record.

1915-16 is actually the gold standard, and really it's probably January 1880 if you go back further but no official records exist before 1893 in the city.

Edited January 6, 2023 by BLI snowman

[Doinko]

7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

1915-16 is actually the gold standard, and really it's probably January 1880 if you go back further but no official records exist before 1893 in the city.

What's the gold standard for snowstorms in Portland? December 1892?

[Deweydog]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Remember Matt also predicted it would not hit 90 last July in Portland.   He is good but nature can fool even him. 

Hey now! In my defense, if the pattern had been vastly different and it was 1993 or so that would have been a GRRRRRREAT call!

[Slushy Inch]

10 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

1915-16 is actually the gold standard, and really it's probably January 1880 if you go back further but no official records exist before 1893 in the city.

I was having trouble finding records that far back.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

OT... but the affidavit released on the Idaho murder suspect is fascinating.   He is no criminal mastermind.   Thankfully we have DNA technology and cell phone data.   So much was made of poor investigative work before the arrest but they got him.  Hopefully he doesn't get the death penalty because rotting in isolation in a cement cage for the rest of his life would be better.   

Doesn’t seem like they have much. But it’s probably him. Wonder what his connection to them was, and how they say the roommate saw him. Very interesting. Many people still think the WSU Greeks were somehow involved. We may never know. Caption this pic. I’ll start. Innocent until proven guilty.

[Deweydog]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Doesn’t seem like they have much. But it’s probably him. Wonder what his connection to them was, and how they say the roommate saw him. Very interesting. Many people still think the WSU Greeks were somehow involved. We may never know. Caption this pic. I’ll start. Innocent until proven guilty.

“Did you see the ICON???”

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

“Did you see the ICON???”

The icon says trial of the century in sleepy old Moscow .

[snow_wizard]

20 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

1915-16 is actually the gold standard, and really it's probably January 1880 if you go back further but no official records exist before 1893 in the city.

1892-93 was the bomb too!