PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

In depressing weather/climate news....

https://wapo.st/3GihYry

They started trying to build a new I-5 bridge down here almost 20 years ago, yet Utah can make a massive lake disappear in five years...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

In depressing weather/climate news....

https://wapo.st/3GihYry

Pray 4 reign 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Phishy Wx]

2 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Where is this?

Phil's house?

[Phishy Wx]

48 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

In depressing weather/climate news....

https://wapo.st/3GihYry

just flew over it, it's almost gone.  about to become the newest salt flat

[weatherfan2012]

8 hours ago, Phil said:

Easy to finish a winter with only ~ 4” total here. It’s always very feast or famine. But to my knowledge we’ve never had a truly “snowless” winter. At least not yet..I’m sure it’ll happen eventually.

Believe it or not this upcoming pattern is the best “snow” pattern we’ve had so far this winter, even though it’s a warmer one. Just need a low to track in right spot without occluding, and it’ll snow.

I also think febuary may surprise I don't think we are done with this winter despite the cancels group I have seen a few cases where we went from one extream to the other way for a few week's 

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

with the GFS teasing us as always...

[MossMan]

Clouds are finally breaking up. Temp down to 41. 
.20” on the day. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Raining 

[Slushy Inch]

1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Can you please just copy paste?

[Slushy Inch]

[Deweydog]

13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Raining 

Negative street light check here. Multiple angles.

[Doinko]

2 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Is the rain in the very center warm air being pulled in by the very strong low?

[ShawniganLake]

43 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Negative street light check here. Multiple angles.

Do you have any skylights you could do a check on for splats?  Use a bright flashlight. We need to know. 

[Cold Snap]

Currently 39.9. I have a feeling in about 7-10 days we are going to be model riding again. I’ve got a good feeling it’s coming!

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Cold Snap said:

Currently 39.9. I have a feeling in about 7-10 days we are going to be model riding again. I’ve got a good feeling it’s coming!

GEFS is interesting EPS is not.

[MossMan]

 

[Deweydog]

30 years ago right now it was about to start snowing at my house!

[The Blob]

I love that I can be gone for a day and come back to only 4 pages to read.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

 

I have to say that was the most enjoyable ice storm I've experienced.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

GEFS is interesting EPS is not.

The EPS is actually good.  It's just a path that will take a bit longer to get the job done.

[snow_wizard]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Pray 4 reign 

To make this complete you should have used the word prey...

[snow_wizard]

This is just straight up incredible.  Extreme winter mins for Landsburg for 1919-20 through 1929-30.  Keep in mind this general area has only done single digits on two days this century (both Nov 2010).

1919-20 = 3

1920-21 = 19

1921-22 = 6

1922-23 = 5

1923-24 = 10

1924-25 = 0

1925-26 = 20

1926-27 = 14

1927-28 = 9

1928-29 = 5

1929-30 = 7

Just amazing for this area!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

47F and cloudy. Another warm night.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

47F and cloudy. Another warm night.

It managed to drop to 40 here when it cleared up earlier.  45 now.

[The Blob]

Only 44 in Troutdale

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Been raining here non stop since Friday afternoon.  41 degrees. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Been raining here non stop since Friday afternoon.  41 degrees. 

Only .02 out here since Friday and currently 50 degrees in North Bend.   I haven't actually seen it raining since the little rain that did fall came Friday night and then earlier this morning.    The radar makes it look like it has been raining but almost nothing reaches the ground.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Only .02 out here since Friday and currently 50 degrees in North Bend.   I haven't actually seen it raining since the little rain that did fall came Friday night and then earlier this morning.    The radar makes it look like it has been raining but almost nothing reaches the ground.

1.5 inches here since Friday afternoon .  Amazing difference.

[The Blob]

Summer is coming to Freddie's 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Still snowing at the property,  31 degrees so a very wet snow for there.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

1.5 inches here since Friday afternoon .  Amazing difference.

And the same set up continues all day today and again tomorrow.    The next dry day for the entire area looks like it will be Tuesday.

[MossMan]

Wet deck again. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Summer is coming to Freddie's 

I hate when they rush the seasons along. The act like winter is over right after Christmas!

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I hate when they rush the seasons along. The act like winter is over right after Christmas!

They also act like summer is over right after the 4th of July.   And Christmas stuff is up by the end of August.   

[Rubus Leucodermis]

13 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Only in the summer.  

Same here. Its west face is, as @VancouverIslandSouth surmised, super-steep and exposed. I would not want to climb the haystack when it is icy.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Light rain and 41.5˚F.

Team climo wins another one!

[TT-SEA]

Some very light rain here now as the main part of this band is overhead.  

[MossMan]

Unfortunately the PNA dip looks to be short lived. Perhaps we will see a little slop during that period if the atmosphere cooperates. Fingers crossed for February. 

[joelgombiner]

 

The firehose may pay us a visit next Thursday into the weekend! 

[joelgombiner]

And Kovacik has returned to writing forecast discussions for Seattle NWS... always love to read her descriptions and insights. 

[FroYoBro]

The weather looks really boring and mild for the next next two weeks. 
 

I hate January and I hate Dewey. 

[MossMan]

It was just beginning 3yrs ago today! 

[RentonHill]

This GFS may go somewhere. The ol Wendy’s double stack Alaskan ridge!

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

This GFS may go somewhere. The ol Wendy’s double stack Alaskan ridge!

Only 75 more runs that look completely different until it locks in!  

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

This GFS may go somewhere. The ol Wendy’s double stack Alaskan ridge!

Quite different in the long range. It’s trying

[ShawniganLake]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Only 75 more runs that look completely different until it locks in!  

Tim is not onboard. 
 

Looks like some of Jim’s famous backwash snow

 

 

 

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Only 75 more runs that look completely different until it locks in!  

Unnecessary. Fantasy land GFS showing snow is like step 1a to getting the goods. As long as one run a day has something in days 12-16 then it’s progress right now

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

Unnecessary. Fantasy land GFS showing snow is like step 1a to getting the goods. As long as one run a day has something in days 12-16 then it’s progress right now

Agreed there has been undeniable progress the last couple days. Couldn’t get much worse, but we may have indeed hit rock bottom. 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Unnecessary. Fantasy land GFS showing snow is like step 1a to getting the goods. As long as one run a day has something in days 12-16 then it’s progress right now

The long range EPS is actually the first step necessary.