PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Early February!  

Book it.  

Normal to below temps starting next Wednesday for a few days then some ridging for a week makes sense, we are do for a dry spell.  I'd bet between Jan 25th and Feb. 5th is when the goods will delivery again.  

[SouthHillFrosty]

10 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Normal to below temps starting next Wednesday for a few days then some ridging for a week makes sense, we are do for a dry spell.  I'd bet between Jan 25th and Feb. 5th is when the goods will delivery again.  

MBG! No reason why February can’t deliver again. 

[The Blob]

Tomorrow looks like a good day to go to the nursery and start planning this year's crops.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

The ol putting green moss is back and the fungus have all really enjoyed this warmth.

[Skagit Weather]

22 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Normal to below temps starting next Wednesday for a few days then some ridging for a week makes sense, we are do for a dry spell.  I'd bet between Jan 25th and Feb. 5th is when the goods will delivery again.  

Due for a dry spell? What have we been in the last week to 10 days if not a "dry" spell. Sure it's been on and off showers, but it's been significantly drier than normal throughout the area.

[Phishy Wx]

Prediction: Feb blast will be snowier than the December one, but not colder

[WeatherGeek2022]

5 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Prediction: Feb blast will be snowier than the December one, but not colder

yup.

 

thinkin snow with highs mid 30s if we're lucky

[runninthruda206]

some of the heaviest rain ive seen in a long time happening right now

[joelgombiner]

Huge downburst of rain out of nowhere. Windy too. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Is this good

 

[Seattle]

I see it on the radar... Just sprinkles further to the east. Breeze picking up. Most exciting weather in weeks! 

 

[runninthruda206]

1 minute ago, joelgombiner said:

Huge downburst of rain out of nowhere. Windy too. 

Like actually crazy lol. Thought it was hail it was so loud

[Seattle]

It's hit! Downpour and slamming against the side of the house. Love it.

[joelgombiner]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Is this good

 

More members and higher resolution is not necessarily better when it comes to numerical modeling. We need to know why the models are getting certain things wrong to know if this will make an improvement. 

[NWbyNW]

For being 2:41pm in the afternoon, it is incredibly dark outside here.  Camera doesn't do it justice.  People are driving with their headlights on and automatic street lights have turned on in places.

Raining outside and 51F.

[Phishy Wx]

19 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Is this good

 

yea, GFS can go in the trash for good

[NWbyNW]

The rain really hit suddenly. 

 

Very heavy bits over Seattle and uhh... Saanich.

 

 

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

The rain really hit suddenly. 

 

Very heavy bits over Seattle and uhh... Saanich.

 

 

What site is that radar from? I like it way better than the NWS one. 

[GHweatherChris]

Big time thunder and lightning here currently!!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 hour ago, Skagit Weather said:

Due for a dry spell? What have we been in the last week to 10 days if not a "dry" spell. Sure it's been on and off showers, but it's been significantly drier than normal throughout the area.

Its been raining here pretty much non stop since new year. rained from friday afternoon through sunday at 3pm. Feels like we need a dry spell out here around the canal. 5 inches of rain since december 31.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Big time thunder and lightning here currently!!

i was thinking of you looking at the radar a few ago.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Red Radar heading towards Chris!

[GHweatherChris]

Holy cow, Mother Nature is unleashing her fury over us right now, lighting struck somewhere on the property across the street, thunder louder than I have ever heard here, heavy rain and hail, great show!!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Holy cow, Mother Nature is unleashing her fury over us right now, lighting struck somewhere on the property across the street, thunder louder than I have ever heard here, heavy rain and hail, great show!!

Those are heading this way too

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Those are heading this way too

The last 15 minutes have been insane!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We ve had rain pretty much every day, but low amounts, only about 50% of average. Kind of a worst of both worlds. 

[MossMan]

My wife texted from Everett a bit ago saying Thunder down there. I ran home and crated my sound sensitive Border Collie. Heavy rain at the moment but no noise from the sky yet. 

[NWbyNW]

52 minutes ago, MossMan said:

What site is that radar from? I like it way better than the NWS one. 

Hehehe, you're gonna laugh.  It's my fav too.

Link

 

[MossMan]

Interesting day! 

[joelgombiner]

The weather today was wilder than I was anticipating! 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

The weather today was wilder than I was anticipating! 

Definitely.   First SEA had a 54 mph wind gust from the east ahead of the storm and then a gust of 41 mph from the south after the storm offshore lifted north... and then throw in thunderstorms and torrential rain.    And it was another torchy day.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like a 56/43 day at SEA.    Good for a +7 on the day.    

[TacomaWx]

55/41 here…just 0.04” of rain today. 1.12” MTD. 

[Doinko]

53/39 today at PDX. Sunny for a lot of the day with some heavy rain and very windy in the morning but unfortunately no thunder

[TacomaWx]

2 hours ago, Skagit Weather said:

Due for a dry spell? What have we been in the last week to 10 days if not a "dry" spell. Sure it's been on and off showers, but it's been significantly drier than normal throughout the area.

Yeah it really hasn’t been that wet overall since 10/20 when the pattern shifted. 14.57” of rain since 10/20 which sounds like a lot but for here not really. Normal rainfall from 10/20-1/10 period is 17”. Coming off of a long dry spell you’d think more of a rebound was coming. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks like a 56/43 day at SEA.    Good for a +7 on the day.    

44 at home after a low of 38. Crazy difference.

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah it really hasn’t been that wet overall since 10/20 when the pattern shifted. 14.57” of rain since 10/20 which sounds like a lot but for here not really. Normal rainfall from 10/20-1/10 period is 17”. Coming off of a long dry spell you’d think more of a rebound was coming. 

November - January is the heart of the rainy season.    Those 3 months provide about half our annual rainfall average.   

[Phil]

3 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Weeklies in.  Each image is a 5 day average 

 

Love the slosh back & forth as MTs/AAM transports cycle through the system.

1 hour ago, joelgombiner said:

More members and higher resolution is not necessarily better when it comes to numerical modeling. We need to know why the models are getting certain things wrong to know if this will make an improvement. 

I’m not sure I agree. It will at least improve consistency and better handle topography/near-surface details.

[NWbyNW]

35 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Interesting day! 

Woah!  That's pretty wild.  It hailed here for about 10 seconds.  I heard a few hit the skylight, looked up, and it hailed, then stopped within seconds. 

[NWbyNW]

Plenty of opportunity for some silly weather.  Just waiting for the forecast to include some sporadic gusts, random hail, snow, heck, some lightning, lol. 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

November - January is the heart of the rainy season.    Those 3 months provide about half our annual rainfall average.   

November was a bit below average and December was a little above. Not super dry but there hasn’t really been any very wet stretches like we normally see at some point. We’ve had 4.55” since Christmas Eve…which is the wettest period so far this fall/winter but pretty typical. Though it looks pretty wet coming up. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

53 minutes ago, Doinko said:

53/39 today at PDX. Sunny for a lot of the day with some heavy rain and very windy in the morning but unfortunately no thunder

I thought I saw that PDX reported thunder today. Heard some distant thunder here a little after noon.

Wind never switched to southerly here so ended up with a cooler day than PDX. 49/39 spread.

 

[Doinko]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

I thought I saw that PDX reported thunder today. Heard some distant thunder here a little after noon.

Wind never switched to southerly here so ended up with a cooler day than PDX. 49/39 spread.

 

Yeah I think there might've been thunder there but nothing here at least. I'm really hoping for a good thunderstorm outbreak this spring/summer/fall. We had a huge downpour if 2" in an hour on 9/8/2019, a tornado a few miles away on 9/7/2019 and then an amazing thunderstorm with huge hail and a bunch of lightning on 7/1/2019. I don't remember much since, besides some thunder in March 2021, a lightning strike in the distance this August and a loud rumble of thunder this September. I might've been asleep for some other events.

[Skagit Weather]

2 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Its been raining here pretty much non stop since new year. rained from friday afternoon through sunday at 3pm. Feels like we need a dry spell out here around the canal. 5 inches of rain since december 31.

Wow! I didn't realize it had been that wet out there! I've picked up 0.33" of rain so far in January and today was my 6th day in a row with temperatures 50F or higher so it's been a pretty underwhelming month here so far.

[joelgombiner]

Droughts getting knocked out left and right! 

[joelgombiner]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Love the slosh back & forth as MTs/AAM transports cycle through the system.

I’m not sure I agree. It will at least improve consistency and better handle topography/near-surface details.

We'll find out. Let's check back in a year and see if there's any appreciable change in EPS model skill after the update. 

[MossMan]

Raining and 43 degrees.

53/39 on the day. 
.21” so far on the day, .84” for the month. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

 

 

[joelgombiner]

2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

 

 

This is one of the many reasons I'm glad I don't live in Yakutsk. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

5 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

 

 

It’s coming. The real deal.