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Posted
3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I think its more related to blocky extremes.   We just had near record-setting cold spread across the US.   

Watch out for summer 2023.   

Record gloom in Southern California for this time of year

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Posted
14 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Record gloom in Southern California for this time of year

Record gloom?   How is that measured?   😀

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Posted
7 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z ECMWF showed this would be the coldest morning... and it did dip down to 30 briefly at SEA as it shows.    It also shows warmer than normal weather ahead.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-2617600.png

SEA up to 49... ECMWF way too cold today.

*

Posted
14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Record gloom?   How is that measured?   😀

Average number of mostly cloudy days. 

Normally they are sunny to partly cloudy days between storms here.

The Weather Forums March Madness winners

2026: MossMan
2024: SilverFallsAndrew
2023: Gradient Keeper
2022: Gradient Keeper (DJ Droppin)
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BUILD THE 8000 FT WALL ALONG THE WEST COAST. STOP THE MARINE LAYER INVASION.

Posted

The models are having serious trouble making up their minds whether the high latitude heights will be above or below normal as we get into the middle third of the month.  That ends up having big implications on how the pattern evolves after day 10.  The SSW can't hurt in that regard.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 4.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 6

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 22

Lows 32 or below = 47

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Posted
1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

I think its more related to blocky extremes.   We just had near record-setting cold spread across the US.   

Watch out for summer 2023.   

We’ll look back at this next summer and glad this happened. 

C9FB772A-44A2-453E-BB9F-58A8B5B5088D.png

  • Like 2

Cloud

Posted

At this point the ECMWF has been slowly taming down the winds expected with the east wind event centered around Wednesday.  My guess is places that are having east winds today will be about 50% stronger winds on Wednesday than today.  An exception may be North Bend which had some pretty strong gusts today.  I think places more like here and Enumclaw will be the ones to see the stronger winds on Wednesday.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 4.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 6

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 22

Lows 32 or below = 47

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Posted
1 minute ago, Cloud said:

We’ll look back at this next summer and glad this happened. 

C9FB772A-44A2-453E-BB9F-58A8B5B5088D.png

The million dollar question is whether or not the big rains in CA this winter indicate we have gone through a major regime shift.  If so, next summer may be a lot different than recent ones.  Still a good chance that won't be the case though.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 4.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 6

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 22

Lows 32 or below = 47

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Posted
6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The models are having serious trouble making up their minds whether the high latitude heights will be above or below normal as we get into the middle third of the month.  That ends up having big implications on how the pattern evolves after day 10.  The SSW can't hurt in that regard.

Unlatched

  • Like 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Posted
Just now, Deweydog said:

Unlatched

I was just going to mention this... yesterday it was latched down and settled.   How could it be totally up in the air now?   

  • lol 2
  • Snow 1

*

Posted
1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Unlatched

I knew you were going to say something.  Didn't waste much time either!

  • Weenie 1
  • Facepalm 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 4.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 6

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 22

Lows 32 or below = 47

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Posted
2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I was just going to mention this... yesterday it was latched down and settled.   How could it be totally up in the air now?   

Some aspects are staying pretty consistent such as the high moving off of Asia that ends up amplifying over the Pacific.  The details are widely varied though.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 4.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 6

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 22

Lows 32 or below = 47

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Posted
13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The million dollar question is whether or not the big rains in CA this winter indicate we have gone through a major regime shift.  If so, next summer may be a lot different than recent ones.  Still a good chance that won't be the case though.

2016/17 was very wet in CA and we torched that summer like usual

Posted
15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

At this point the ECMWF has been slowly taming down the winds expected with the east wind event centered around Wednesday.  My guess is places that are having east winds today will be about 50% stronger winds on Wednesday than today.  An exception may be North Bend which had some pretty strong gusts today.  I think places more like here and Enumclaw will be the ones to see the stronger winds on Wednesday.

Eh-- looks basically unchanged down here the past few days. Should be a purely downslope event with some decent upper level support.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

Posted
3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I knew you were going to say something.  Didn't waste much time either!

Looks like a nino-esque hodgepodge until further notice to me.

  • Like 4

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Posted (edited)

Got very foggy all of a sudden. 

FF8031AE-C3DF-4783-87D1-9FD3D785077B.jpeg

 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
  • Like 1
  • Excited 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Posted (edited)

Made it out to Lake Goodwin for the first time since October…The water level is slightly higher than the last time I was here. Forgot to put my fishing boat up on the concrete, oops. Seems okay and will deal with it in the spring. Nice day! 

DF52869B-18FF-40A6-AC0C-88B32A762175.jpeg

3518844B-9297-49CF-A375-643590EF022E.jpeg

Edited by MossMan
  • Like 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Posted (edited)

The uncle is doing uncle things for the all the Cali uncles.

1D042E28-4263-49E5-81F2-B3E88A2C3621.png
 

 

here is the heaviest 24 hr snowfall…

CB5C48B6-90D1-4CE5-89FA-D09292423E02.png

Edited by Timmy
  • Like 2
Posted
Just now, Timmy said:

The uncle is doing uncle things for the all the Cali uncles.

1D042E28-4263-49E5-81F2-B3E88A2C3621.png

Just a casual 17 feet of snow over the next 2 weeks.

Posted

40F with some light rain.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2025-26 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Jan 14, 2026)
  • Coldest low: 19F (Jan 24, 2026)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 18 (Most recent: Mar 27, 2026)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 1 (Most recent: Jan 14, 2026)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Feb 13, 2025 (1.0")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Feb 13, 2025: 1"
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 44.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Posted
4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS was really wet for CA over the next 15 days... and a little drier than normal up here. 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-west-qpf_anom_15day_mm-3956800.png

CA is the new Seattle

  • Like 1
  • Rain 1

The Weather Forums March Madness winners

2026: MossMan
2024: SilverFallsAndrew
2023: Gradient Keeper
2022: Gradient Keeper (DJ Droppin)
2021: Tom

BUILD THE 8000 FT WALL ALONG THE WEST COAST. STOP THE MARINE LAYER INVASION.

Posted

Pathetic GFS run. 

  • Sick 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Posted
8 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Winter storm warning for 6-15 inches. 18z GFS has finally got the axis placement closer to the other models and nails me with 20 inches. 18z RGEM was at 22 inches and 18z Euro was at 17.

It was dumping snow for a little while but has lightened up a bit now. Looks like a couple inches already but the big stuff will be rolling through tomorrow morning. Thundersnow and 2-3 inch/hr rates are possible by then. It should be a doozy.

gfs-deterministic-ncentus-total_snow_kuchera-2941600.png

rgem-all-ncentus-total_snow_kuchera-2930800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-ncentus-total_snow_kuchera-2898400.png

Saw this and thought of you... 

Screenshot_20230102-161716_Chrome.jpg

  • Like 2

*

Posted

All of the big stations had a nice minus departure today.  I'll take anything on the cold side of the ledger we can get in January.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 4.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 6

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 22

Lows 32 or below = 47

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Posted

The 18z GEFS came out pretty good.  Decent -PNA late in the run.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 4.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 6

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 22

Lows 32 or below = 47

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Posted
1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

250 inches of snow in places😯

14BC1B1A-7F2A-4A60-AD5F-C23C6E36E43A.png

C7B13FA7-E685-43CE-A92F-18946D96FB62.png

Pretty ridiculous how fast Mother Nature can even things out.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 4.3"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 6

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 22

Lows 32 or below = 47

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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