Jump to content
The Weather Forums

PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


Recommended Posts

A comfortable 41F and cloudy out there.

  • Like 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 29 (Most recent: Jan 24, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 20, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 0.25" (graupel)
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022 (graupel)
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022 (mostly graupel)
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z GEFS full run. Nice improvements. Strong retrogression. The Pacific is definitely shut down with a big blocking ridge over the North Pacific up through western Alaska. I'd like to see that ridge further east-northeast. Southeast US ridge builds in. Not an arctic blast pattern, but it's not warm either.
floop-gefsens-2023011700.500h_anom-mean_na.gif
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Staff
1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm kind of surprised how glum this place is right now.  We just broke out of a horrifically awful pattern and there have been numerous indications of something really good coming up.

Your ability to go from ranting about how horrible our climate is and assuming the worst... to expecting (and eventually demanding) people get excited at the same time you do is infinitely entertaining to watch every winter.    😀 

  • Like 6
  • Popcorn 2

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here we go!  Nice run to run change.

1675101600-DwVSWWSOpy4.png

  • Like 7
  • Excited 1
  • Shivering 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Better than I was expecting quite frankly.

1675209600-11IzMIxaS88.png

  • Like 5
  • Shivering 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Not bad at all. Just need the block amplified further east towards Yukon. This nearly mirrors the GEFS. Exceptional agreement really.

And they are both sharper with the blocking tonight.  Now we're getting somewhere.

  • Like 5

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer

Gfs still not on board. At some point the models will need to show something… 

  • scream 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Night Shift 6z GFS Op v.s. GEFS. The Op run is clearly out to lunch (Chipotle?) after Day 8.

floop-gfs-2023011706.500h_anom.na(1).gif

floop-gefsens-2023011706.500h_anom-mean_na.gif

When do we get invited to dinner?

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Low of 41 this morning 43 now. Since Christmas we have only had 1 freeze and a handful of lows in the 30s. Mostly highs in the 50s too. Quite the switch from late October through December 23rd. 

  • Like 1

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-9

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-19

Total snowfall-6.0” 

Monthly rainfall-2.86”

Wet season rainfall-16.35”

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Staff
1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

Got cold again in twisp down to 22. Beautiful morning

776BAFB8-73F8-4FEB-BB91-154C9D762092.png

Wow... so much snow on the ground for being a very dry area.

  • Like 3

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

29F and chilly outside after those warmer days.

  • Shivering 1

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 9.3 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 2.20 inches (12/19/22 & 12/20/22)

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) snowfall: 2.0 on 12/23/22

Days with trace or more snow: 11/1/22 (1 inch), 11/28/22 (.80), 12/01/22 (T), 12/02/22 (T), 12/4/22 (.20), 12/5/22 (1.5), 12/14/22 (1.6), 12/18/22 (T), 12/19/22 (2.10), 12/20/22 (.10), 12/23/22 (2.0), 01/03/2023 (T), 1/22/23 (T)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 0F (12/21/2022)

Last sub freezing high: 12/23/22 (possibly 12/24/22)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location  (I've also had a White Christmas in 2017 when I lived in Stanwood and a White Christmas at a hotel in Moscow, ID in 2020). 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
18 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Since Christmas I’ve had 23 consecutive low temperatures warmer than average. January is running +5.3F so far. 🤮 
 

What a torch!

We've managed to sneak in 4-5 freezes so far this month, but I would say at least 1/3 of our lows this month have been warmer than the average high, and given that the first half of the month the average low is 29, no below average lows either. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Staff
1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We've managed to sneak in 4-5 freezes so far this month, but I would say at least 1/3 of our lows this month have been warmer than the average high, and given that the first half of the month the average low is 29, no below average lows either. 

We have not been below freezing here since the early morning hours of Christmas Eve.

Drizzle and 41 this morning.

  • Shivering 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Got cold again in twisp down to 22. Beautiful morning

776BAFB8-73F8-4FEB-BB91-154C9D762092.png

Where are the trees?! 

  • Like 1
  • lol 1
  • Windy 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer

Last night's CFS was darn chilly, but it does delay the cold until a few days into February. It still might be coming. 

  • Shivering 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Dribbles and 41. 

How's the fuzz looking big dogg?

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer

Looking at the GFS ensembles there really is not much to get excited about through the end of the month. The coldest point on the ensemble mean is actually Thursday morning. Only a few members get below -6C at SLE by the end of the month. EURO ensembles have quite a few more chilly members, a few down below -10C. 

  • Weenie 1
  • Shivering 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

How's the fuzz looking big dogg?

It’s still coming! 

96881AFB-A8F4-42EE-BD3B-CF39723F4D86.jpeg

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Staff

The models are all quite dry for CA now going forward... the faucet has been abruptly turned off again.

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-qpf_anom_15day-5209600 (1).png

gfs-deterministic-namer-qpf_anom_16day-5339200.png

  • Like 1
  • Sun 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Staff

12Z GEFS at 300 hours... comparing to previous runs the GOA ridge signal has been trending weaker and the flow is more zonal as a result.  

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-5036800.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A quick look around the immediate region is pretty uniform this morning.

 

Looking calm and gray over Westport, Washington.  Currently 45F degrees there. 

1719762696_ScreenShot2023-01-17at10_13_39AM.thumb.png.553861242970f82837aedcd425f934fd.png

 

 

Vancouver, BC is also cloudy this morning at a temp of 44F.  They expect a high of 47F today.

982565750_ScreenShot2023-01-17at10_16_00AM.thumb.png.ac418bb8ce35aa2bb7d04949aabb1b13.png

The sun is partially rising over Anchorage, Alaska this morning.  The temperature is 22F with a high of 31F expected. Today will be mostly sunny for them and the rest of the week cloudy.  No snow in their forecast.

dtnnwmega.thumb.jpg.d26342bfa6b08e29fb169d4cafbd43fb.jpg

 

Corvallis, Oregon is under cloudy skies and at 47F today.

live.thumb.jpg.873f71d0a5a34c6b11bc9ef612059444.jpg

 

Spokane, Washington is also cloudy this morning, but not wet like much of the region.  Currently 36F degrees with a high of 41F expected.

1363092971_ScreenShot2023-01-17at10_23_28AM.thumb.png.2b8618d572dcd7d5e5db911896101ff7.png

  • Like 6
  • Thanks 1
  • Facepalm 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
27 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

A quick look around the immediate region is pretty uniform this morning.

 

Looking calm and gray over Westport, Washington.  Currently 45F degrees there. 

1719762696_ScreenShot2023-01-17at10_13_39AM.thumb.png.553861242970f82837aedcd425f934fd.png

 

 

Vancouver, BC is also cloudy this morning at a temp of 44F.  They expect a high of 47F today.

982565750_ScreenShot2023-01-17at10_16_00AM.thumb.png.ac418bb8ce35aa2bb7d04949aabb1b13.png

The sun is partially rising over Anchorage, Alaska this morning.  The temperature is 22F with a high of 31F expected. Today will be mostly sunny for them and the rest of the week cloudy.  No snow in their forecast.

dtnnwmega.thumb.jpg.d26342bfa6b08e29fb169d4cafbd43fb.jpg

 

Eugene, Oregon is under cloudy skies and at 47F today.

live.thumb.jpg.873f71d0a5a34c6b11bc9ef612059444.jpg

 

Spokane, Washington is also cloudy this morning, but not wet like much of the region.  Currently 36F degrees with a high of 41F expected.

1363092971_ScreenShot2023-01-17at10_23_28AM.thumb.png.2b8618d572dcd7d5e5db911896101ff7.png

Mmmmm… Jersey Mike’s. I think that’s Corvallis though. 

  • Like 3

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Longtimer
51 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GEFS at 300 hours... comparing to previous runs the GOA ridge signal has been trending weaker and the flow is more zonal as a result.  

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-5036800.png

It’s over. 

  • Like 2

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share


×
×
  • Create New...