PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Gummy]

Wow that is a huge torching, didn't realize it has been that bad in Jan.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Christensen87 said:

STOP SLIDING EAST 

This thing is still far from settled.  Hard to even pin down when the climax of the cold will actually be.  This is a retrogression situation so the coldest anoms will begin east of us and move west from there.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

I don't think they've seen really any snow at all either

Kind of makes it easier to take when normally cold places are torching way worse than us.  I'm just dying for the below normal temps to begin again.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

34 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Same deal here.  We hit 25 today in fact.

The lack of upwind lake ice/snow cover is going to hurt when it comes to delivering cold airmasses to the East Coast. Particularly as the sun angles increase.

[snow_wizard]

Temps are below 50 now as precip moves in.  Good riddance!  

[VancouverIslandSouth]

10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Kind of makes it easier to take when normally cold places are torching way worse than us.  I'm just dying for the below normal temps to begin again.

There hasn't been much cold anywhere in the lower latitudes recently. Even Eastern Europe / Japan are lacking in snow cover.

Seems like some colder air has crept into Central Asia. This is a relatively small lake east of the Caspian Sea (Sarygamysh Lake). It's interesting to watch in the winter because cold airmasses moving it produce snow cover in an otherwise barren landscape, looks like that happened again this past week:

Jan 11

Jan 12

[Slushy Inch]

Actually, better than GEFS, need to see EPS next.

[TT-SEA]

Might have some more 50+ highs next Friday - Monday again per the ECMWF.      

[TigerWoodsLibido]

52F and quite windy. Some gusts close to 40mph.

[MossMan]

Perfect day! Sun and warm during the day, rain and chilly at night. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Perfect day! Sun and warm during the day, rain and chilly at night. 

No rain here yet... still 52 in North Bend.

[snow_wizard]

Really nice finish on the ECMWF.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Perfect day! Sun and warm during the day, rain and chilly at night. 

I'm done with the warmth now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It has suddenly become quite windy. 

[Slushy Inch]

Hmm EPS with quite the shift as well.

[MossMan]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It has suddenly become quite windy. 

This windy? 

 

[Deweydog]

37 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It has suddenly become quite windy. 

Real deal wind?

[Slushy Inch]

Nice

[snow_wizard]

17 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Nice

Good improvement!  More amplitude for sure.

[NWbyNW]

Washington missed you rain!  Welcome back. 

Some good soakage along the Southern Oregon coast by the way.  

[snow_wizard]

52 minutes ago, MossMan said:

This windy? 

 

Scary!

I kept thinking this is it, and then all of a sudden....

[SouthHillFrosty]

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Washington missed you rain!  Welcome back. 

Some good soakage along the Southern Oregon coast by the way.  

Seriously?  It has rained nearly every day this month!

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

The EPS mean is up to an inch for Seattle now.  By far the best run yet.

[snow_wizard]

A lot of pretty cold members in here later in the month.

[Dan the Weatherman]

3 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Scary!

I kept thinking this is it, and then all of a sudden....

Wow! The wind really kicked up at the end of the video and the visibility really took a hit, too! I wonder if a waterspout came ashore there by any chance, or was it just a strong thunderstorm?

EDIT: I saw on the caption of the video that there was a tornado.

 

Edited January 15, 2023 by Dan the Weatherman

[Phil]

It snowed for 5 minutes yesterday. Second biggest event of the winter here #failsauce

[Phil]

Early demise of the PV looking more likely now, picture gets pretty interesting around the turn of the calendar.

February could be rockin’ for the western 2/3rds of the country esp if Indo-EHEM MJO inception is well timed.

[Phil]

Both ECMWF & GFS agree on cooling of the tropical lower stratosphere as PV weakening/breakdown commences.

If this happens it would destructively interfere with the warm/stable low pass signature associated with the +QBO, and likely augment the MJO. So we might get a bonafide MJO wave next month as a result.

[smerfylicious]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Both ECMWF & GFS agree on cooling of the tropical lower stratosphere as PV weakening/breakdown commences.

If this happens it would destructively interfere with the warm/stable low pass signature associated with the +QBO, and likely augment the MJO. So we might get a bonafide MJO wave next month as a result.

Phil, if nothing else, I truly appreciate the fact that you can create sentences that make no sense whatsoever to me, while also making those sentences exciting to read. Truly a gift.

[Meatyorologist]

It's arriving.

[RentonHill]

Heading to Moses lake for some goose hunting. Should be nice and warm!

[FroYoBro]

Pretty stormy night and still going out there. Rain coming down hard and some good gusts as that low is passing us right to our NW this morning. 

Edited January 15, 2023 by FroYoBro

[AlTahoe]

3 hours ago, Phil said:

Early demise of the PV looking more likely now, picture gets pretty interesting around the turn of the calendar.

February could be rockin’ for the western 2/3rds of the country esp if Indo-EHEM MJO inception is well timed.

Man it looks like our only break this winter will be short lived if that is the case. picked up another 14" of snow yesterday I think I am near 150" now.

[MossMan]

Cooler morning. 41. 

[TT-SEA]

50 degrees in North Bend this morning with a little east wind and a partly cloudy sky.

[MossMan]

The Fuzz is looking better by the day! Something is coming! 

[LowerGarfield]

Looks like my location will see some freezes again starting tomorrow or Tuesday after a week or two of nothing colder than about 35 or 35. I only had to scrape once or twice in the last two weeks when it got below 36F.

Still curled up but the nearby WU station says it is 43F.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty heavy rain out there right now. 

[TacomaWx]

48/45 temp spread so far today…0.08” of rain since midnight and 2.16” MTD.