PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Probably not going to be an arctic blast… fyi 

2018

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Probably not going to be an arctic blast… fyi 

In future years... Randy will be using this post as a warning to not make assumptions after the arctic blast of February 2023!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It does seem like whatever is going to happen is going to wait until the first week of February, but still really great signals. Especially for folks who are a little higher up. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

2018

And that was still a fantastic stretch. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Probably not going to be an arctic blast… fyi 

Real Deal 1,500ft snow level pattern?

[Deweydog]

17 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

 

I read somewhere that we eat up 300 spiders a night while we sleep.

[Deweydog]

Cut off bias.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Real Deal 1,500ft snow level pattern?

Yeah, if we can’t even do that then F this winter.  

[Front Ranger]

21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Probably not going to be an arctic blast… fyi 

For real, deal.

[Deweydog]

Green (grass) new deal?

[Cascadia_Wx]

Not quite in the region but nice to see them getting a little winter luv down there.

https://www.kron4.com/news/bay-area/video-mt-hamilton-in-santa-clara-county-blanketed-in-snow/amp/

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Walter is buzzing about the upcoming pattern change and WAFz numbers.

So is Onyx! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Michael Snyder is now mentioning the model trends.

 

[MossMan]

29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

In future years... Randy will be using this post as a warning to not make assumptions after the arctic blast of February 2023!

I already have it in my screenshot folder! 

[MossMan]

34 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

2018

280’ asl

Edited January 16, 2023 by MossMan

[Doinko]

50 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

2018

Coldest airmass down here since 2013

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

 

what kind of bug?

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

what kind of bug?

Bed. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Baby steps

[Phishy Wx]

nervous chatter and goofy jokes on the board in mid January leads me to think half the folks on here think this winter is already toast.  25% are holding on to hope for an encore in Feb and another 25% are just going to sit back, watch the obligatory meltdowns by certain handles and let it come to them (if it even does). I think it will.

One of the local news guys here said in early November he was forecasting a near record snowfall year for Spokane due to triple dip nina, etc. blah, blah, blah.  He probably thought he was a genius as we piled up snow in Nov/most of December. Now that we've had a massive January thaw, I wish someone at the station would make him do a mid season revisit of that overzealous forecast

 

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

Bit of a step back on the EPS at hour 300. 

It’s over. Cold air is going east.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

It’s over. Cold air is going east.  

Winter cancel! Time to eat some worms bugs.

[WeatherGeek2022]

5 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

It’s over. Cold air is going east.  

as it always does

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2022 said:

as it always does

we always have a lot of geography against us.  same as it ever was

[joelgombiner]

No idea what this means but it looks cool. 

 

[Phishy Wx]

Himalayan Torque event + SSW

 

probably doesn't mean shiit, but it may mean a lot of shiit

[SilverFallsAndrew]

19 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

nervous chatter and goofy jokes on the board in mid January leads me to think half the folks on here think this winter is already toast.  25% are holding on to hope for an encore in Feb and another 25% are just going to sit back, watch the obligatory meltdowns by certain handles and let it come to them (if it even does). I think it will.

One of the local news guys here said in early November he was forecasting a near record snowfall year for Spokane due to triple dip nina, etc. blah, blah, blah.  He probably thought he was a genius as we piled up snow in Nov/most of December. Now that we've had a massive January thaw, I wish someone at the station would make him do a mid season revisit of that overzealous forecast

 

I am going to wait until at least Valentine's Day to drop the winter cancel on here... But its coming.

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I am going to wait until at least Valentine's Day to drop the winter cancel on here... But its coming.

Down there in the willamette valley March 2020 and April 2022 say hello. 

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Down there in the willamette valley March 2020 and April 2022 say hello. 

And the 4-8" snowstorm in late March 2012 for Eugene

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Down there in the willamette valley March 2020 and April 2022 say hello. 

If we see a Feb/March combo on par with 2020 I will be a happy camper. That was very decent. I still feel pretty good about early February, and maybe even the last couple days of January, would just be nice to see a super pepto GFS run at some point. 

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I am going to wait until at least Valentine's Day to drop the winter cancel on here... But its coming.

Winter 2023-24 is coming too.    Eventually winter will end... this is not exactly a bold prediction.

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

If we see a Feb/March combo on par with 2020 I will be a happy camper. That was very decent. I still feel pretty good about early February, and maybe even the last couple days of January, would just be nice to see a super pepto GFS run at some point. 

The 2020 combo wasn’t bad here. Had 1/2” of snow in early February and 2 sub 40 highs with some snowflakes here in mid March. 2020 and 2022 weren’t nearly as impressive here as down in Portland but still decent. 

[Doinko]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

The 2020 combo wasn’t bad here. Had 1/2” of snow in early February and 2 sub 40 highs with some snowflakes here in mid March. 2020 and 2022 weren’t nearly as impressive here as down in Portland but still decent. 

2020 wasn't really that impressive here, we had 1/2" as well.

April 2022 was crazy though. 2" of snow on the 11th and then some more snow falling in the middle of the day on the 12th but not sticking. Hills nearby had nearly a foot. That was our biggest event of the "winter". That was really amazing

[TacomaWx]

Just now, Doinko said:

2020 wasn't really that impressive here, we had 1/2" as well.

April 2022 was crazy though. 2" of snow on the 11th and then some more snow falling in the middle of the day on the 12th but not sticking. Hills nearby had nearly a foot. That was our biggest event of the "winter". That was really amazing

We had trace snowfalls here on the 12th and 14th of April. Really impressive stuff overall even up here. 

[Phishy Wx]

shiit we had like 2"+ over 4/14-16 last year and then the longest drawn out 'spring' ever.  I remember using the fireplace on a rather chilly mid june evening not for ambiance but because it was cold in the house, then two weeks after that it was in the mid 90s

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Today is like day one of our big time snow season... It could just be getting going... Or not...

[LowerGarfield]

7 hours ago, AlTahoe said:

Oh boy that's the kind of storm that buries us up here. I got 14" of snow on Saturday and have 7" so far this morning with another 6" or so expected today. Season total now over 170" 

If we don't get an extended break till at least mid Feb we are in big trouble up here. This is turning into one of the big seasons like 1968-1969, 2010-2011 etc. 

I would love to see snow here and in CA along with more rain for CA. If this verified it is also enough time to have the flood waters subside and the ground to be less saturated. Great all around.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

13 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Another week of retrogression pullback and I'm calling my cousin up and asking him if it's time:

I think there is a good chance this will come to fruition. I mean the forks. We may be FORKED. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

11 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Another week of retrogression pullback and I'm calling my cousin up and asking him if it's time:

As far as things are concerned for SW Oregon, I feel bad for them. Feels like inland spots in SW Oregon have gone a long time in places down there without a lot of meaningful winter events (even less than usual).

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just got my workout regime back in place? Analogs?