PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Phishy Wx]

25 Freezing Fog

[MossMan]

Low of 30! Been a long time since it has been that cold! The Fuzzy looks better! Oh and my section of grass that cooks in the summer is now looking better! Minus the moles. 

[TT-SEA]

Wall to wall sun this morning out here... should be another nice day.  

Currently 34 in North Bend with some frost on the rooftops here.  

[TacomaWx]

Low of 34 this morning in Tacoma. 

[Doinko]

GFS still is way weaker with the block

I accidentally posted the 00z GEM again, thought it was the 12z

[RentonHill]

Just now, Doinko said:

 

GFS also trying to sniff it out

[Kayla]

21 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Same here! Started a new job on the 9th so I'm more than happy to have it coincide with the annual one month offseason. 

Congrats on the new job! I've been interviewing for several new work opportunities. Might be headed to SE Alaska this spring for the summer!

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

 

 

[Kayla]

Had about an inch of snow here overnight which was nice to freshen things up.

Still about 15" on the ground and a low of 14 here this morning.

[TacomaWx]

We will see where early February takes us. At the very least a seasonably cool pattern seems likely…but will we see something like 2018 or 2014? I’ve been thinking something like February 2018 for awhile now but we will see. I don’t sense arctic air or anything extreme still. 

[TacomaWx]

So I was talking to my boss about where he gets his weather info and I told him about my meteorological hobby. Our job is very influenced by the weather being a storm water filtration company. He wants me to give him weather forecasts for our sites as part of my job 2 times a week. I’m thinking I want to get a subscription to pivotal or weatherbell…which one would you guys recommend? 

[SouthHillFrosty]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

So I was talking to my boss about where he gets his weather info and I told him about my meteorological hobby. Our job is very influenced by the weather being a storm water filtration company. He wants me to give him weather forecasts for our sites as part of my job 2 times a week. I’m thinking I want to get a subscription to pivotal or weatherbell…which one would you guys recommend? 

Weatherbell has its flaws but it is hard to beat…..

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS is a disaster. 

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Weatherbell has its flaws but it is hard to beat…..

Especially for mobile. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

8 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

So I was talking to my boss about where he gets his weather info and I told him about my meteorological hobby. Our job is very influenced by the weather being a storm water filtration company. He wants me to give him weather forecasts for our sites as part of my job 2 times a week. I’m thinking I want to get a subscription to pivotal or weatherbell…which one would you guys recommend? 

I would ask for the one which culminated in my payraise.

[Ferndale_man]

Backloaded winter described.  

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

We will see where early February takes us. At the very least a seasonably cool pattern seems likely…but will we see something like 2018 or 2014? I’ve been thinking something like February 2018 for awhile now but we will see. I don’t sense arctic air or anything extreme still. 

I would take 2018 WAY over 2014…And the pics explain why! 

But it’s coming…And it’s going to blow 2014, 2018, 19, 21, 22 away!! 

[TacomaWx]

6 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

I would ask for the one which culminated in my payraise.

I expect I’ll probably get a raise with the quarterly review but we will see. I’ve been busting my a** working 50+ hours a week the last couple months. I get paid 1 hours pay for each report…which is really cool because it’s something I just do for fun on my own anyways and it’ll literally take me 15 minutes to do probably

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I expect I’ll probably get a raise with the quarterly review but we will see. I’ve been busting my a** working 50+ hours a week the last couple months. I get paid 1 hours pay for each report…which is really cool because it’s something I just do for fun on my own anyways and it’ll literally take me 15 minutes to do probably

but what if you're wrong...

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I would take 2018 WAY over 2014…And the pics explain why! 

But it’s coming…And it’s going to blow 2014, 2018, 19, 21, 22 away!! 

One pic is snowier than the other.

I love Jeopardy.

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

but what if you're wrong...

Lol I told him he actually didn’t need to pay me off the bat just to see how accurate I am to start off but he insisted that I get paid for it. I didn’t even suggest getting paid for it at all just to give them the info and he said he would pay me to do it so he doesn’t have to spend time looking for himself. 

[Christensen87]

06z CFS is great! Come on GFS, get it together. Heading to Port Townsend today for the weekend. Should be a beautiful drive! 

[TT-SEA]

Visible satellite shows generally clear skies from Bellingham to Olympia with just some high thin clouds... while Portland southward is socked in with low clouds. 

[MossMan]

12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

One pic is snowier than the other.

I love Jeopardy.

Ding Ding Ding Ding Ding!! You are the grand prize winner of a 1982 Buick Skylark! Congratulations!! 

[MossMan]

18 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I expect I’ll probably get a raise with the quarterly review but we will see. I’ve been busting my a** working 50+ hours a week the last couple months. I get paid 1 hours pay for each report…which is really cool because it’s something I just do for fun on my own anyways and it’ll literally take me 15 minutes to do probably

In your next weather report to your boss…Just say “It’s coming” and slowly turn and walk away.  

[Deweydog]

40 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

So I was talking to my boss about where he gets his weather info and I told him about my meteorological hobby. Our job is very influenced by the weather being a storm water filtration company. He wants me to give him weather forecasts for our sites as part of my job 2 times a week. I’m thinking I want to get a subscription to pivotal or weatherbell…which one would you guys recommend? 

All you need is the CFS and trust in god.

[TT-SEA]

Backyard view this morning...

[Phishy Wx]

48 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

 

that thing is putting its thing into E WA

[RentonHill]

Nom Nom

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Ding Ding Ding Ding Ding!! You are the grand prize winner of a 1982 Buick Skylark! Congratulations!! 

Does that have true coat?

[RentonHill]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

that thing is putting its thing into E WA

just noticed its 00z. Not sure why 12z is so late. weather models everywhere are maybe having a hard time getting a handle on this extreme event thats coming

[Phishy Wx]

34 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS is a disaster. 

whats new?

[fubario]

6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Does that have true coat?

oh yah....yer gonna need that true coat there....yah.

[TacomaWx]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Backyard view this morning...

Snow levels on the ridge getting lower is definitely a sign February is coming. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GEM is very cold at the end.  

[RentonHill]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

12Z GEM is very cold at the end.  

where you see? Its only partly out on pivotal and tidbits and wxbell

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, RentonHill said:

where you see? Its only partly out on pivotal and tidbits and wxbell

Brrrrr!!

 

[RentonHill]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Brrrrr!!

 

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, Kayla said:

Congrats on the new job! I've been interviewing for several new work opportunities. Might be headed to SE Alaska this spring for the summer!

Salmon /crab fishing? I know several different people in WA that do it every year as a tradition. They go to Alaska and work at a cannery or a seafood boat and make more money in two months than they do the rest of the year.

[NWbyNW]

Up to 37F after a low of 34F.  Nothing but sunshine and blue sky out there this morning, but sort of that low-angle sunshine.  It's not particularly bright and blue.  More of a shade of blue.  

Forecast is looking pretty uninteresting and not much rain.

 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows temps falling into the mid 30s early tomorrow afternoon with the initial band of precip from the next system... then the SW comes roaring into the Seattle area by mid afternoon and the temp jumps back into the low 40s.    Going to be an active day.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Brrrrr!!

 

That is a classic snowstorm pattern for Portland north to the border the way and speed the low comes down the coast.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows the SW wind gusting to 50 mph in Seattle by late afternoon.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows temps falling into the mid 30s early tomorrow afternoon with the initial band of precip from the next system... then the SW comes roaring into the Seattle area by mid afternoon and the temp jumps back into the low 40s.    Going to be an active day.

Wow i wasn't paying attention but the rgem shows a period of snow here tomorrow morning.

[TT-SEA]

NWS should put out a statement regarding lowland snow potential followed immediately by windstorm potential for the Seattle area for tomorrow.    It's going to be a pretty crazy day.

[TacomaWx]

8 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Wow i wasn't paying attention but the rgem shows a period of snow here tomorrow morning.

Might have to head out to green mountain tomorrow. Been awhile since I’ve been out there. 

[fubario]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows the SW wind gusting to 50 mph in Seattle by late afternoon.

 

No mention of wind from the NWS for Sunday. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows the SW wind gusting to 50 mph in Seattle by late afternoon.

 

Holy that is no joke! Hurricane force winds right off the coast.

[joelgombiner]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

So I was talking to my boss about where he gets his weather info and I told him about my meteorological hobby. Our job is very influenced by the weather being a storm water filtration company. He wants me to give him weather forecasts for our sites as part of my job 2 times a week. I’m thinking I want to get a subscription to pivotal or weatherbell…which one would you guys recommend? 

I feel like this forum could collectively run a business that provides customized weather forecasts like this. The amount of model-watching and local weather knowledge on here is staggering. 

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows the SW wind gusting to 50 mph in Seattle by late afternoon.

 

I'm skeptical. Last time it showed big gusts, they didn't verify, and last time we had big gusts, it didn't predict them. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Might have to head out to green mountain tomorrow. Been awhile since I’ve been out there. 

Let me know