Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I have VHS tapes of snowy news coverage from January 1996, November 1996, and December 1996 for Phil’s viewing pleasure during his trip up there!Such an alpha post. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 8http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017120200/192/500h_anom.na.png Day 9http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017120200/216/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Well we have this, but it's reaching so early in the month. Dec_2011_temps.pngDec_2011_heights.pngJan_2012_heights.png Remember how the beginning of November showed a cold December, and look how that turned out.Anti-log? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Anti-log?No anti-log, pure 2011 and pure 2012. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 The low frequency harmonic tremor indicates magma movement within the volcano. The fact there are still deep volcanic earthquakes registering, despite the wide open magma pathway to the surface, is kind of interesting. Yup. Those charts look like Mount Saint Helens did before it blew. I still remember that whole episode very clearly. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Oh I think this is it! Seismo is going NUTS!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nGEoof2QVyEMight be, but apparently it's a deep volcanic tremor from magma movement, rather than something closer to the surface. Will have to see if it propagates upward. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Such an alpha post.I could dub it onto BetaMax if you prefer? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 For the record I do believe Phil is going to be spot on this season. Oh and it suddenly got windy outside! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 10http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017120200/240/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I'm gonna start bombarding your inbox with blizzard pictures, while you're sitting under the strongest ridge in history. F**k that winter.Wasn't it great that you had record warmth in March? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I could dub it onto BetaMax if you prefer?Lol. Always fun to mix it up once in awhile. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Wasn't it great that you had record warmth in March? Azzhat. This was nice too. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Might be, but apparently it's a deep volcanic tremor from magma movement, rather than something closer to the surface. Will have to see if it propagates upward.The left cam seemed to show a small ash cloud, but not 100% certain. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I think the GOP tax bill passed, because I'm getting bombarded with angry political texts from family/friends. In case you're wondering why I'm still awake. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Ita going to be 90 degrees at mt Rainer and 25 in seattle. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I think the GOP tax bill passed, because I'm getting bombarded with angry political texts from family/friends. In case you're wondering why I'm still awake. Probably explains why the mountain is erupting too. End times have arrived. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I think the GOP tax bill passed, because I'm getting bombarded with angry political texts from family/friends. In case you're wondering why I'm still awake. The middle class will do well with it so why be upset? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Probably explains why the mountain is erupting too. End times have arrived.Watch Agung enter its explosive phase right when Trump is signing the bill. Would be pretty comical, and the geologic timing probably fits too. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 For the record I do believe Phil is going to be spot on this season.Oh and it suddenly got windy outside! I have been fully advertising this winter also. I haven't gone this all in for a long time. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 The middle class will do well with it so why be upset? Please take it to the political side. I don't want to spend several posts over here trying in vain to un-brainwash you again. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I have been fully advertising this winter also. I haven't gone this all in for a long time.If it busts, you can join Matt and I above the fray. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 6z GFS in 1 hour 46 minutes! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 If it busts, you can join Matt and I above the fray.In the upside down? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Please take it to the political side. I don't want to spend several posts over here trying in vain to un-brainwash you again. I'm purely selfish on this. I've looked at the details and my wife and I do well. Good enough for me. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I really wish something...anything frozen would start showing up in the models. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 One comment I want to make about the evolution of the pattern is the chances are fairly good we will see the block break down for a while and then rebuild in the sweet spot as January nears. I think a brief dry Arctic outbreak could occur as Arctic air dig back into the eastern side of the ridge before it breaks down though. This scenario is probably more likely than the ridge retrograding and leading to a big blast directly. It will be interesting to see how it unfolds. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I really wish something...anything frozen would start showing up in the models. We will have a lot of frost next week. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I really wish something...anything frozen would start showing up in the models.It's gonna be worth the wait. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 We will have a lot of frost next week.I won’t believe it until I see picture evidence of Tims frosty dead (dormant) roses. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I won’t believe it until I see picture evidence of Tims frosty dead (dormant) roses.LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pscz1140 Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 It's gonna be worth the wait. Not sure about his libido, but somehow Tiger is in 5th place heading into the weekend. I peed next to him about 20 years ago at the MGM in Vegas. One of the top 10 moments of my life.... .....and in weather news, I'm freezing my a** off right now. Went out to the bars tonight in a thin shirt and no jacket in hopes that would impress the ladies. Since I'm posting on a weather forum right now we all know how that worked out 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I won’t believe it until I see picture evidence of Tims frosty dead (dormant) roses.With a newspaper Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 6z GFS made me want to poop in a shoe, then put it on, lace 'em up, and then go jogging in a giant field of endless dog and horse s**t while The Chariots of Fire theme song is blared on loudspeakers. Yeah, it was that good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 12z GFS in 2 minutes! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Looks like the Pivotal site is slow again. No idea why. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 With a newspaper Their blooming days are about over now! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Looks like the Pivotal site is slow again. No idea why.Tax reform. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Looks like the Pivotal site is slow again. No idea why.It’s okay. We aren’t close to anything good right now anyway Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Tax reform.Of course. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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