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The Winter Solstice Storm

Tom

By Tom
in East of the Rockies

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Jaycee
Jaycee

Because why not? Why hope that the Huskers will be any better if they've sucked the past few years? It's because there is a chance, I don't care what anyone says. If we don't get it, that's fine. But

hlcater
hlcater

Dude you're living and dying every run. Chill. Gonna be a long rest of the winter if you keep that attitude. I learned the hard way. Does it look good right now? No, not for us, but what are you gonna

Tom
Tom

Wow, this is what I’m talking about...I know a lot of you gave up, but this year is one where you can’t give up till Mother Nature says it’s over.

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted

This is supposed to be the year when we're no longer the zone of dearth across this sub. I will be surprised if this has finished trending this far out.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

Posted
Posted

Hopefully the trend stops but the NW trend seems to be continue through HR 84 GFS with warmer air even further N compared to previous runs. I hope I'am wrong but  I call a SD- Central MN to N WI jack pot.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

The nice, sharp upper trough digs into the central Rockies, but as it ejects eastward the northern stream comes in and stretches it apart, so it's just rather feeble overall.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted

None of which adds up for a pattern with such potential. Something will happen, but it will be when the cold is on the move, similar to the 4-5th system. First system may end-up being just the warm-up act..

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Craig-OmahaWX Newbie

Craig-OmahaWX

Posted
Posted

Wow what the hell, that actually looks good.

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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Craig-OmahaWX Newbie

Craig-OmahaWX

Posted
Posted

I think that’s the first model I’ve seen in awhile dig it that far south which would be pretty big

 

No blocking showing up tho which is why it went so far north

Wish i could see precipitation maps. Tomorrow should be the day the pattern in the Pacific gets past an area the models have a hard time with, so maybe we should start to see some better turn outs. Not giving up until the fat lady sings.

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2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

144 hr UK precip map

 

http://wx.graphics/models/ukmet/2017121700/conus/ukmet_6hr_precip_conus_144.png

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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hlcater Enthusiast

hlcater

Posted
Posted

Probably just far nw Iowa and points north and west.

Not a whole lot going on up there then. NW side of the surface low looks deprived. But that hard cutter evolution is unique among the models.

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

Here's the wx.graphics UK page.  You can see the storm is beginning to blow up at 144 hrs as it crosses central Iowa.  The low is 989 mb and it's just beginning to make the connection to a deep moisture feed.

 

http://wx.graphics/models/ukmet/ukmet.php

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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hlcater Enthusiast

hlcater

Posted
Posted

Yup it actually digs it way south and then a piece breaks off and heads right through ia and WI

But why though. You'd think it it was gonna dig like that it would stay in one piece instead of a piece breaking off and heading straight into the feature that was making it dig in the first place. There's a lot of high pressure to the N/NW of the system while it digs. 

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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