Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Say it ain't...Snow! Is Nature about to deliver a Christmas Miracle for us snow enthusiasts??? Yes! Now, who will have a White Christmas??? Is there another late Christmas day snow system that will traverse our sub forum??? The table has turned and one that is finally favorable for some of us on here to see the flakes fly during the Christmas holiday. Latest 12z NAM suite... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2017122212/084/snku_acc.us_c.png Finally, the 00z Euro...fluff these totals up a bit more... http://wx.graphics/models/ecmwf/2017122200/mw/ecmwf_acc_snow_mw_114.png http://wx.graphics/models/ecmwf/2017122200/mw/ecmwf_t_precip_mw_114.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Euro is least ideal here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Euro is least ideal hereHow do you figure? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 How do you figure?Think Lincoln has a good shot at 3-4". Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 How do you figure?Least amount of snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Southern NE looking real good on the GFS. I just hope this hits the I80 corridor in Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 12z GFS likes OMA/LNK on Christmas eve.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Least amount of snowI thought NE didn’t get snow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Early on, 12z GFS looks like it may be phasing a bit better and a touch NW... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Nice run on going from the GFS...low end advisory snows for S NE/S IA/N MO into IL/IN... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Sweet, GFS took a nice shift north for my area. Might only be an inch, but there's hope! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Seems to me like the GFS is finally catching up to the other models for this clipper. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 At 500mb, you can see the differences as the storm takes on more of a neg tilt as it swings through the MW... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Considering the GFS was always further south than the Euro and CMC i am very happy with this. It's possible it shifts even slightly further north just yet. I just want an inch, and I'd be happy. 2" and then I'll throw a party. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 The CMC is just riding directly along 80 in Iowa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 1.1" on the GFS for me! ha ha. I'd take it. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017122212/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 I hate just being on the outside looking in. Maybe it shifts north a bit yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 The trends in the models showing a better developed wave is a positive thus far. I'd like to see what the Ukie/Euro show later today if this indeed is a trend among the models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 12z GGEM also agreeing with the GFS on track and intensity... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Lincoln looks ideal on each model right now. I'll be in Minnesota though, so ya know, fml. Hope we get leveled either way! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Lincoln looks ideal on each model right now. I'll be in Minnesota though, so ya know, fml. Hope we get leveled either way!Happy B day! Hey, at least when you come back home there looks to be some snow OTG...hopefully! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Happy B day! Hey, at least when you come back home there looks to be some snow OTG...hopefully!I don't see it going anywhere till at least the January thaw. It's about time Lincoln got snow that's able to stick around! I'm in California so I'm a little bummed but I have snow cover and an active pattern to look forward to when I get back. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Looks like the 12z GFS with a much weaker wave mid/late next week. Comes from the NW instead of the south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 GFS with a vigorous looking clipper on the 28th as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 GFS next week Wed night/Thursday system. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017122212/150/snku_024h.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Large piece of energy coming onshore after the clipper too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 The run to run variability is entertaining is the medium to long range.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 The run to run variability is entertaining is the medium to long range..Makes me question why I even spend time looking at model runs outside of 84 hours. Really. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Makes me question why I even spend time looking at model runs outside of 84 hours. Really.They are not even close to the same page. Wait 6 hours and you might see something you like Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 How does the Ukie look? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 UK comes out usually right at 10:40. I'll keep hitting F5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 UK stayed further north and stronger. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_048_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gif 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 UK stayed further north and stronger. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_048_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gifIs that further north from it's 00z run? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 UK stayed further north and stronger. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_048_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gifNice! I’ll take 1-2” all day...maybe if your lucky and some good banding develops and squeeze 3”. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Yeah these type of waves tend to over perform often. Someone will get a nice event out of this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Is that further north from it's 00z run? Looks similar to 00z, i meant further north than the GFS sorry. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Ukie total precip http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 ukie.... i even get snow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 22, 2017 Report Share Posted December 22, 2017 Well, Accuweather going all out for this clipper in my area! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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