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1/10 - 1/11 Possible Severe Frontal Passage with intense snow showers


clintbeed1993

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All of you non Nebraska weather posters here better sure hope to heaven that we get this storm or your gonna have to hear about it all over again lol. 

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2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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All of you non Nebraska weather posters here better sure hope to heaven that we get this storm or your gonna have to hear about it all over again lol. 

Obligatory "you have one more inch of snow than us this Winter" lecture coming up!

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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By hr 84 there’s no defined area of pressure anywhere

 

I’m guessing this would be pretty good for a secondary system right gosaints/Tom? Travels farther west and really craps out

There's a lot of energy digging in behind the first wave (which really deamplifies with time so the weakening surface low makes sense) so it would likely have a pretty good secondary storm if it went out far enough.
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There's a lot of energy digging in behind the first wave (which really deamplifies with time so the weakening surface low makes sense) so it would likely have a pretty good secondary storm if it went out far enough.

Makes sense

 

So for the big secondary system you would much rather have the first wave trend west/weaker which would allow the second system to trend farther west right? Anything in the middle wouldn’t really work

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LOL just wonderful. Models start to trend south over us for a time only to start going back north again. GFS ensembles are also just north of us as well. Just like taking candy away from a baby

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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The problem is that secondary low on the backside on the NAM kicking our low north too early. Man this thing comes in way south into southern california and honestly thought it was gonna be an amazing run for us until that happened. 

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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0z NAM with around .3 LE in the Black Hills Wednesday; which should translate to 5 or 6 inches of snow; but then you factor in the wind; which diminishes accumulations AND the fact that the NAM usually prints out twice the amount of QPF relative to reality...and one is not left with that much.

 

It is like pulling teeth this winter...

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Would bet on the 00z GFS coming at least a little west with the secondary storm. Trough axis is a bit west and the upstream energy heading into the Pac NW is also slower.

They look nearly identical at 500mb at FH102.

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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