Tom Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 An open wave is poised to track across the central Plains into the MW and W GL's region bringing a mixed bag of precip. Some snow will fall across portions of NE/IA/MN and into WI as well as some more ice/mix potential.Let's discuss... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 21, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 00z NAM... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018022100/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png Some ice potential across parts of KS/MO/IA...into S WI... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018022100/060/zr_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 NAM trending a bit further NW than I’d like. MPX going with 1-3” here for now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 00z NAM... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018022100/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png Some ice potential across parts of KS/MO/IA...into S WI... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018022100/060/zr_acc.us_mw.png Can't take on much more ice down here in KC. That would cause widespread damage with the ice we got today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 21, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Can't take on much more ice down here in KC. That would cause widespread damage with the ice we got today.How much ice did you have accumulate today? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 3km NAM is cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs on Thursday's wave. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 3km NAM is cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs on Thursday's wave.It is? I thought when I looked it only showed like 2” max? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 It is? I thought when I looked it only showed like 2” max?On my end it's showing a 5.5" bullseye over Lincoln. with 10:1 ratios. Kuckera is 8" but Kuchera isn't gonna work with this considering upper air is warm. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 3k nam has the higher totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 GFS looks like garbage for the weekend storm, so it might be time to cling to this marginal thing. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 0z GFS ups totals here to around 5” Kuchera. Doesn’t have the NW trend that the NAM is hinting at. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 I'm not putting too much weight on the GFS yet. It's been fairly warm biased here recently and that's showing with the snow totals. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 21, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 00z Euro...I'm not sure about thermals down near KC but may be mixed on this map... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 21, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 06z NAM...I think OMA/LNK posters are in for a couple inches from this one...DSM riding the edge per GFS/NAM but Euro hits DSM with some snow. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018022106/057/sn10_acc.us_c.png http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018022106/054/sn10_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 No snow please Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 How much ice did you have accumulate today?Just under a 1/2in. I am about an hour SE of KC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 OAX is riding the Euro for tomorrow's wave. I think we need to wait for afternoon to see an advisory as Fobert has never issued a headline. I know this is the wrong thread, but as always he has a Northeast Nebraska boner for Saturday's wave. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 OAX is riding the Euro for tomorrow's wave. I think we need to wait for afternoon to see an advisory as Fobert has never issued a headline. I know this is the wrong thread, but as always he has a Northeast Nebraska boner for Saturday's wave. The NAM has been almost spot on for me down here, which has me worried because it shows nearly a half in of ice tonight and tomorrow. Also it continues to trend cooler for Friday. Hope you get some snow as the NAM suggest you will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 The NAM has been almost spot on for me down here, which has me worried because it shows nearly a half in of ice tonight and tomorrow. Also it continues to trend cooler for Friday. Hope you get some snow as the NAM suggest you will.Thanks, and hope you don't see all that ice! 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 NAM still ramped up here, with 3-5" across Lancaster County. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 12z NAM keeps up upward trend in snow totals. Liking my spot for a few inches. Might be a enough to fire up the snow blower before the weekend event. Not that that’s a lock by any means. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 I'm gonna make a "just in case" firewood run later. Looks like we're getting some form of winter precip tomorrow. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 18z NAM bringing the sauce with tomorrow’s system. Up to 7” Kuchera. Most other short term models also showing 4+”. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Winter weather advisory posted. MPX saying up to localized 5” amounts. Seems about right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 winter weather advisory here now too. up to 2" of snow and .1-.2" of ice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Wow...NAM really upping the ante here. 1-3 inches of snow and .20-.30 of ice. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Yeah NAM is cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs on ice accumulation. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 NAM has almost .4" ice between OMA/LNK. That's well within the ice storm warning criterion right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 NAM has almost .4" ice between OMA/LNK. That's well within the ice storm warning criterion right?Yes it is. I think they know better than to listen to the North American Moist- I mean Mesoscale model though. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Still no AFD from OAX. Wonder what they're up to. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Im in a WWA as well. Wast expecting that. Potential for 2" of snow and 2 tenths ice. That would be quite the mess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Snow looks like it will start earlier than expected. Radar returns for South of us at the KS/NE state line right now. It's mostly virga atm, but the surface should saturate soon enough. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 00z NAM 72hr snow amounts looking pretty good for Omaha and Lincoln. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Decent radar returns heading up here. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 First flakes are flying. Nice surprise weenie band coming up. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Also seeing light snow in my area, hoping to pick up an inch over night. Rather would see snow than the dreaded frozen precip...... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 First flakes are flying. Nice surprise weenie band coming up. Good to hear it's reaching the ground. Beatrice hasn't reported anything. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Fat flakes flying down in Southeast Lincoln now. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Just started coming down pretty hard here in Papillion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Coming down pretty good too in Omaha! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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