weatherfan2012 Posted November 24, 2018 Report Share Posted November 24, 2018 Winter weather advisory issued for tomorrow.Too bad I’m in FL. ji is likely the most weenies person I have ever seen he will one day hype winter the next cancel it all togeather talk about lame Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 24, 2018 Report Share Posted November 24, 2018 Gorgeous day. 75*. Sunny, breeze.Front finally moving in. High tomorrow int he low 50's. Temps slowly rising to 70 Thursday. Then some wind and rain Fri. Still rather dull weather. But we had an outstanding Thanksgiving here. Breaks over, back on our heads ! Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 Back home in MD. Cloudy and 41*F with isentropic lift/rain approaching. Sharp cold front passage after sundown tomorrow. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2018 It just keeps raining. Another 0.27” this morning. It’s already the wettest year on record @ BWI, going back to at least 1872. Closing in on the record at both Dulles and DCA too. Just a little over 1” left. Temps now approaching 50*F with misty/foggy conditions ahead of the warm front. Sharp cold front crosses this evening, then a reinforcing shot of cold air arrives Wednesday morning on strong NW winds. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Waves of heavy wind rolling down the mountains this morning, with calm in between. Currently 39*F and cloudy. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2018 Cloudier than expected today. NWS just dropped highs by several degrees. Looks like wind chills drop to -20*F in the mountains tonight, so wind chill advisories have been issued by LWX. The next pressure surge looks interesting. Wind advisories for gusts to ~ 50mph could be issued for the higher terrain first, after ~ 9pm tonight, and probably for the lowlands thereafter, between 5AM and 2pm tomorrow (when boundary layer mixing becomes more efficient). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Holy cow, massive gust of wind just now. Shook the house and made screaming noises through the windows. Edit: The entire household is awake now. Everyone is like “wtf was that?!” Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Wind advisory now for gusts to 55mph. That big gust was probably up around 55mph. Struck the house at just the right angle, I guess. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Holy cow, massive gust of wind just now. Shook the house and made screaming noises through the windows.Edit: The entire household is awake now. Everyone is like “wtf was that?!” What is going on up there this year? Your winter has been far windier and active in my recollection than previous winters. Texas is waiting its turn. We're expecting a bad February and March. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 What is going on up there this year? Your winter has been far windier and active in my recollection than previous winters. Texas is waiting its turn. We're expecting a bad February and March.Plenty of wind for sure. Tends to happen with W/NW flow. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 If there’s one thing this climate excels at, it’s cold wind. Today was raw. Wind chills in the teens and 20s all day with 40-50mph gusts. Brrr. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 29, 2018 Report Share Posted November 29, 2018 Phil, I can't get anyone to weigh in on Oklahoma and Texas. They're all so preoccupied with the northern plains. What can you say about our late fall and winter action? How long and how deep ? Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2018 Phil, I can't get anyone to weigh in on Oklahoma and Texas. They're all so preoccupied with the northern plains. What can you say about our late fall and winter action? How long and how deep ?I’m not sure yet, but I’d watch January 5th to 25th for some potential cold and/or storminess. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 30, 2018 Report Share Posted November 30, 2018 Thanks. That gives me time to prepare. Also, I hope to have my heating repaired by then. Some part is coming from a "Patagonia" sheep outpost ! Or seems so. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted December 1, 2018 Report Share Posted December 1, 2018 Gfs shows big snow storm next weekend apparently or gooofuuus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 1, 2018 Report Share Posted December 1, 2018 Not if my heating isn't fixed ! Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 5, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 5, 2018 Very light snow flurries around today. Heavier squalls down in VA and a nice band up in NJ w/ the norlun trough. Then NC/S-VA gets slammed by a blizzard this weekend and we get nothing, save a last minute northward jog in the storm track. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 5, 2018 Report Share Posted December 5, 2018 We will see 1.50" to 1.75' rain beginning Thursday afternoon through Saturday afternoon. By the time the temps reach freezing the rain will dry up. Typical Texas style. Low Sunday evening 31*High 50*......oh well. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Low of 20.7*F this morning. Coldest of the season so far. Now we head into a tranquil pattern for the next week. Watching for a stronger cyclone around December 15th. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 8, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 8, 2018 Looks like 19*F at Dulles, 16*F at Martinsburg. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 9, 2018 Report Share Posted December 9, 2018 3" rain the past 24 hrs. Going down to 34* and cloudy skies tonight. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted December 10, 2018 Report Share Posted December 10, 2018 Low of 20.7*F this morning. Coldest of the season so far.Now we head into a tranquil pattern for the next week. Watching for a stronger cyclone around December 15th. most likey what will happen is you go out of town mother nature decides to throw snow after snow event on to the reagion it seems to work like clock work with you with our weather don't know what it is that mother nature has with you phil but it seems like she has your name on her list when your away 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2018 ^^^ Ugh tell me about it. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted December 10, 2018 Report Share Posted December 10, 2018 ^^^ Ugh tell me about it. if there is a silver lining at least the northeast gets screwed to nothing worse then storms that smack the south screw us then smack the northeast so at least there crying as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 11, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2018 20.1*F this morning. Nice and crisp. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 13, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 13, 2018 Hard to believe how calm it’s been this week. Almost no wind to speak of. Huge change from the last 2 months. And it looks like the tranquil weather will continue until the solstice. Also, what once looked like an intense storm on the 15th has fizzled into an occluded piece of crap. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted December 13, 2018 Report Share Posted December 13, 2018 Hard to believe how calm it’s been this week. Almost no wind to speak of. Huge change from the last 2 months. And it looks like the tranquil weather will continue until the solstice.Also, what once looked like an intense storm on the 15th has fizzled into an occluded piece of crap. I was surprised really that Justin Berk went for such an active December in his winter outlook giving the last few December's have been mostly crappy.the thing is those his winter snow fall prediction can still varfi just from one or 2 storms this winter.berk is a great met it just a pain in the real to forecast in this reagion as so much can complicate things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 16, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2018 ~ 2” of rain over the last 36hrs. Officially the wettest year on record at the three major airports (DCA, IAD, BWI). Cold front blows through tomorrow, finally mixing out the muck as gusty downsloping winds dry/deepen the boundary layer. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Rain totals ended up between 3-4” across the DC area. Clearing out today with a light west wind. Expecting a gusty flip to the NW later today behind the cold front, which should complete the clearing-out of the low level moisture. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Brief pulse of wind with the front, gust to 41mph. Now dry and breezy with the cool advection ongoing. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 17, 2018 Report Share Posted December 17, 2018 Still,boring. High in the low 60's. Lows 40-45* today and through the weekend. Overcast Saturday will see a high of 67, but no big whoop.20% chance of rain Wed.. I'm sure January will get interesting so I should be grateful that Christmas will be boring weather wise. Mid January and February are out best chances of snow and deep cold. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 19, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 19, 2018 Yet another flood watch up for Thurs night/Fri. This is the 25th flood watch of the year. Also, a powerful 100mph LLJ will move over the region Thurs night, so gusty winds and spin-up tornadoes are possible in any convective elements that are able to develop along/behind the warm front. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 21, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 21, 2018 We just blasted into the warm sector last night. Temp went from 40*F to 62*F in just a few hours on a rare surge of SE winds (almost never get SE winds here except during hurricanes). Now it’s in the mid-60’s with a southerly breeze and high humidity. Cold front moves thru late this evening. Chance for severe weather and gusts to 60mph right along the front, then the pressure surge/CAA moves in after midnight on gusty winds to 45mph. Temps could drop 30-40 degrees in just 6hrs overnight out west over the terrain. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 22, 2018 Report Share Posted December 22, 2018 Highs in the 60's. Lows 40-57*. Light breeze, sunny, it's Spring. Boring, followed by very Dull. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted December 22, 2018 Report Share Posted December 22, 2018 We just blasted into the warm sector last night. Temp went from 40*F to 62*F in just a few hours on a rare surge of SE winds (almost never get SE winds here except during hurricanes). Now it’s in the mid-60’s with a southerly breeze and high humidity. Cold front moves thru late this evening. Chance for severe weather and gusts to 60mph right along the front, then the pressure surge/CAA moves in after midnight on gusty winds to 45mph. Temps could drop 30-40 degrees in just 6hrs overnight out west over the terrain.I like Justin Berk and respect him alot as he is a good met but I will amint I was surprised he went for a big december on his winter outlook considering the trend has been for the last few years has been for warm Decembers over all and winter not getting started until January and also considering the trend for the NAO to refuse to go into any sort of long negative phase would be interested to know what he was seeing that lead him into thinking December would be a big cold and snow month for the region.And clearly this was not the December that Justin quite expected in his winter outlook but the thing is if that storm did hit us early in the month then he would have verified it's the luck of the draw sometimes. I don't think january is going to end up being as he expected eather as he went for January being the warm month and I can see how it could go cold it's funny in a way that his entire outlook can very well prove right but his timing of the progression may be off a bit this winter. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 23, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2018 Yeah December is barely even a winter month here. Our fun starts during the third week of January. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted December 23, 2018 Report Share Posted December 23, 2018 Yeah December is barely even a winter month here.Our fun starts during the third week of January. and march has been wanting to be cold and snowy as of late.also if next winter turns into a moderate borderline strong El nino I wonder with the solar min possable East Qbo if as we have been speculating for a while now that 2019-2020 ends up being the Block Buster in the likes of 2009-2010 95-96 like cases. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted December 30, 2018 Report Share Posted December 30, 2018 Yeah December is barely even a winter month here.Our fun starts during the third week of January. watch 2019-2020 be our blockbuster moderate or greater El nino East Qbo solar min it would scream big winter to a tee. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 30, 2018 Report Share Posted December 30, 2018 It could.. but this winter is just beginning in many ways. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted January 13, 2019 Report Share Posted January 13, 2019 Wow a system that looked like only a few inchs has turned into an overachiever for our reagion for a change this reminds me of some of our old school 6 inch + snow events which has been missing as of late so this is nice to see after a week of horror in my family this past week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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