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East and Gulf Coast Weather 2018


Phil
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DCA up to 4” on the day, 7.7” for the season. Still a super low number, but at least we’re outside “disaster” territory.

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After tomorrow’s upper 70’s, it might actually snow again next week. Would be into April at that point.

 

Sometimes you just have to lol and roll with it.

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Pretty heavy winds and downpours blowing through with the front. Temperature down to 62*F and dropping as of 12:45pm.

 

High was 75.1*F, occurring around 12:20pm.

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A few decent gusts roaring through this afternoon. Strong enough to shake the house a bit.

 

There was a set of three gusts earlier that were probably into advisory criteria. Very pulsy.

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Our last Rain event only gave us 2" of rain, but it was slow and soaked in.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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I just had my trip to Texas canceled. I thought I was going to enjoy some thunderstorms on Monday, but given the recent snow forecasts, I am going to enjoy a couple more inches of snow.

We might not be done after this one, lol. A few more more chances through April 10th.

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Howling out there..5 minute sustained of 43mph gusting to 52mph on the ultrasonic anemometer.

 

Morning high of 70*F, down to 58*F now.

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Peak sustained wind @ IAD was 40mph, with a peak gust of 51mph. So very similar to here, as usual.

 

East of the Fall Line, BWI hit 47mph, DCA hit 46mph.

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Cherry Blossoms may be short lived.

 

The latest weather forecast models are predicting anywhere from 6 to 18 inches of snow by Sunday morning, beginning late Friday night, April 6 (all forecast graphics courtesy of Weatherbell.com):

 

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2018/04/dc-cherry-blossom-peak-to-be-met-by-peak-snow/

 

IMG_3070.JPG

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Should mostly miss south. Some intermittent snow showers are possible.

 

Cold front is on the doorstep, though. High was 73*F today but tomorrow will probably struggle to hit 40*F.

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Cherry Blossoms may be short lived.

The latest weather forecast models are predicting anywhere from 6 to 18 inches of snow by Sunday morning, beginning late Friday night, April 6 (all forecast graphics courtesy of Weatherbell.com):

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2018/04/dc-cherry-blossom-peak-to-be-met-by-peak-snow/

attachicon.gifIMG_3070.JPG

early in the week the data was showing that but as has been the trend the whole winter now carrying over to spring the models are to amp strong with the storms 5 to 7 days out and ends up much weaker and to the south or to far north where we get mostly miss.some years have a tendcey to repeat them selfs and it has certainly done that this year.
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Going down to 38* tonight, damp, cold, windy. Nearly froze me arse off going to the store today.

High of 86* by Thursday. That should be sufficient to kill half of us off. Really, this winter has been seriously weird here this year.

 

I don't think I have been this chilled in a Texas winter. Windy, just a misery.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Beautiful day today. Temperatures easily rising through the mid-70s, dewpoints waaay down in the 30s, and a regionwide blizzard of cherry blossom petals.

 

Becoming gusty, though. Red Flag Warning issued for said low humidity, winds to 40mph, and the resultant decrease in fuel moisture values (8-10%).

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The areas of the Panhandles of Texas, Oklahoma, and northern Colorado into Arizona are dealing with drought. This drought is expected to intensify and expand this year.

 

Fire season is upon us and having lived around wildfire I am not looking forward to this summer. I live SW of Ft. Worth and we have already had a 2000 acre fire just down the road from us. A 500 acre fire is big, so anything beyond that grows exponentially. Oklahoma just battled a 120,000 acre wildfire last night.

 

We have scattered showers today but it was preceded with some large lightning strikes capable of setting off wildfires. Buckle up.

 

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap.aspx

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The areas of the Panhandles of Texas, Oklahoma, and northern Colorado into Arizona are dealing with drought. This drought is expected to intensify and expand this year.

 

Fire season is upon us and having lived around wildfire I am not looking forward to this summer. I live SW of Ft. Worth and we have already had a 2000 acre fire just down the road from us. A 500 acre fire is big, so anything beyond that grows exponentially. Oklahoma just battled a 120,000 acre wildfire last night.

 

We have scattered showers today but it was preceded with some large lightning strikes capable of setting off wildfires. Buckle up.

 

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap.aspx

Anywhere west of I-35 is going to be a disaster this year in my state, I'm afraid. If it were any other state it would be a national disaster but "Oh well, it's just Oklahoma, they're used to it." Lol.

 

Careful down there, friend. I remember the Bastrop fires years ago and that was awful. A bunch of men in my little company that I worked for here at the time sent aid for all of those folks. It was really sad.

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High of 87*F here today. Too fast!

Wow! That's toasty man. I'm kinda thinking I may end up in the "Goldilocks" spot here in the Ozarks this warm season. We'll see though. I hope you do not get hammered with heatwaves this summer, given that I know neither of us care for heat that much. Stay cool.

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Despite the rain we received this year Texas is seeing a serious fire threat future.

All of the SW will be battling fires. This will be hard on ranchers, farmers and food prices.

 

This is just this week. The affected territory will grow.

Winds are high currently and no rain in sight

 

IMG_3075.GIF

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Anywhere west of I-35 is going to be a disaster this year in my state, I'm afraid. If it were any other state it would be a national disaster but "Oh well, it's just Oklahoma, they're used to it." Lol.

Careful down there, friend. I remember the Bastrop fires years ago and that was awful. A bunch of men in my little company that I worked for here at the time sent aid for all of those folks. It was really sad.

Thank you my friend. The Bastrop fires were just horrendous. We are very concerned. The Panhandle fires recently were very chilling as 3 good people lost their lives, a young nurse and 2 young farmers that were trying to save their herd.

In 2010 there was a fire that began in Bowie Texas and raced all the way to Nokona. It only took 15 minutes to destroy all that land. With the 2000 acre fire near me this year we are all on the lookout.

I'm lucky that I'm surrounded on the windward side by a golf course and their sprinklers. It saved us once, maybe it will again.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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We were awoken to an explosive clap of thunder a few hours ago. Some epic ducting under the inversion. Gf and family are back to sleep, but I’m still wide-eyed.

 

Racked up 2” of rain in 2hrs..total of 2.21” since midnight, 2.30” for the event in total. Might hit 2.5” before the cold front blows through.

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The 40-50mph winds last night tore off most of the flowers. Came from the wrong direction (E/SE) so the trees didn’t handle it very well. Lots of limbs downed and many trees uprooted, as their root systems grow to withstand W/NW winds.

 

Now westerly winds have returned behind the cold front, some periods of rain/sleet sneaking over the mountains during the last few hours (the ridges are currently experiencing quite the upslope blizzard).

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With all the wind you guys have received this year, I'm surprised you have any trees standing.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Had a gusty snow shower ~ 30mins ago.

 

Haha, wow. If this pattern had occurred in January, it would have been one heck of a winter.

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Beautiful afternoon, high of 62.6*F with light winds and sunshine.

 

Looks like another breezy day behind the cold front tomorrow, but my hunch is downsloping overwhelms the cold advection just long enough for temps to approach 60*F. So hopefully not as brutal as yesterday.

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Showery today, a bit breezy since 11AM too.

 

Winchester gusted to 55mph, so there are some higher gusts out west. Whether or not they make it here remains to be seen.

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There's no doubt that North Texas has had a cooler than usual April to date. I don't have to be a met to observe that plants are behind in their growth and I'm chilled outside many/most days.

 

We've had a lot of wind this month as well. It just roars. They've begun issuing driving warnings due to wind speed. This will add to the wildland wildfire danger as the drought west, may expand to North Texas.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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55* Light shower. Low of 46*.

 

A nice English spring day.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Low of 32.7*F this morning. Hopefully not cold enough to cause problems for the hybrid willows we just planted.

 

Now in the mid-60s with dewpoints crashing into the teens/low 20s on downsloping.

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Might get our first 90*F high of the year this week.

 

Thankfully, humidity looks pretty low through the duration of the warm spell..dewpoints peak in the low 60’s on most guidance, and that’s right before the frontal passage. Most of the time, dews are in the 50s. So, looks pretty tolerable overall.

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I'm 80* windy, rain on the way, maybe severe on Thursday.

 

So glad to see rain, with drought on your doorstep, rain's always good.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Too warm. Could hit 90 degrees today. At least the humidity is low.

 

Potentially some very interesting developments in the regional climate department, though. The North Atlantic appears to be entering into a cold event of some sort. I’m not sure whether it’s a short term or long term thing, but the implications of the circulation associated with said events favor reduced hurricane activity, an expanded PV/Arctic cold pool in eastern Canada during the winter/spring, deep convection of the subarctic NATL waters, and eventual cooling and ice growth across the NE-Canada/NATL domain.

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