Andie Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 DFW is at a relative warm 44* with light rain. We’re on the edge of the freezing stuff. Will see 32 tonight but the rain will likely have stopped. We missed this one but winter isn’t over. Californians can’t drive on ice and snow anyway and we have plenty of those here. 3 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 24, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, jaster220 said: You're slipping there bro. The Feb 2021 storm had the entire state of IN with 8-12" maps. Coverage of that was even larger iirc, and the end of Jan '21 storm that nailed Chicago also covered the N half of Indiana into WOH with a very solid storm on the order of this one. What strikes me is how weak the output is with this GOMEX Low. I'd expect to see the entire swath about 5-6" deeper across the board. I was making the point of not only including the MW but the S Plains in this storm scenario. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 This storm would be so much easier if we had cold air in place. The snow amounts would be much more impressive.... Here in KC, the new data has trended down and further south and east. We're still in it, should look quite wintry tomorrow morning. Hey, I'll take a snowy morning where ever I can get it. Good luck to everyone!! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, MIKEKC said: This storm would be so much easier if we had cold air in place. The snow amounts would be much more impressive.... Here in KC, the new data has trended down and further south and east. We're still in it, should look quite wintry tomorrow morning. Hey, I'll take a snowy morning where ever I can get it. Good luck to everyone!! I guess i shouldn’t be too upset with the last minute shift SE since this was never “KC’s” storm but hopefully we can pull out 1-2 inches tonight 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 7 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: I guess i shouldn’t be too upset with the last minute shift SE since this was never “KC’s” storm but hopefully we can pull out 1-2 inches tonight Yep, I think we can score a nice winter scene by morning. On another subject, what the hell is going on with our Jayhawks? I can't remember the last time we lost 3 in a row!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 NAM finally came to its senses. Dusting - 1” would be my call. KC classic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Almost every model is now showing about 2" for the Iowa City area. Looks like perhaps a partial phasing with that northern stream system is what is pulling some moisture back into IL and Eastern Iowa. It won't be much, but it's something. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 35 minutes ago, MIKEKC said: Yep, I think we can score a nice winter scene by morning. On another subject, what the hell is going on with our Jayhawks? I can't remember the last time we lost 3 in a row!!! I have no idea what’s going on with them sigh!! This is going to be a long month coming up with March madness approaching if they don’t get it together. As long as the chiefs make the Super Bowl I’m happy lol 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: I have no idea what’s going on with them sigh!! This is going to be a long month coming up with March madness approaching if they don’t get it together. As long as the chiefs make the Super Bowl I’m happy lol Everyone feels very sorry for Kansas losing 3 in a row... LOL. Defending national champs... Won the Big 12 like 19 of 20 years. How awful it must be to be a Jayhawk fan. If you want misery, be a Hawkeye fan. Haven't won a regular season Big Ten title since 1979 (I wasn't even born) and haven't gone to the Sweet 16 since 1999. Then we show flashes of greatness (like last year) only to fall flat on our face. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The NE Kansas Weather Rule is storms that are north trend further north and storms that are south trend further south. Call it settled science if you will...lol. Hope those in the path score big! I'm out...can't get excited about yet another 0-1 incher. 2 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATW Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 hours ago, Clinton said: If we can average 10:1 ratios which EAX indicated it's a little bump in accumulations for mby. If only the temps were a bit colder. I’m curious to see which model scores the victory. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Last minute model trends keeping heaviest stuff south of the Tulsa area now, with some as little as an inch or so here. Others still keep us in the gradient with 3-6". I'll stick with my 2-5" forecast, but this may end up busting here. Just a little to the south they will get slammed. 1 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The ground outside is slowly turning white 5 2 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Black Hole said: Last minute model trends keeping heaviest stuff south of the Tulsa area now, with some as little as an inch or so here. Others still keep us in the gradient with 3-6". I'll stick with my 2-5" forecast, but this may end up busting here. Just a little to the south they will get slammed. It's a massive precip shield, but look how far Tulsa is from the SLP 1 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 DTX has waffled on the snow intensity for tomorrow night. I see they are back to the +SN idea again. 2 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, jaster220 said: DTX has waffled on the snow intensity for tomorrow night. I see they are back to the +SN idea again. I just saw that too. Mine is the same amigo as well. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Spread the wealth. @tStacsh with a headline Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Niko said: I just saw that too. Mine is the same amigo as well. I think they liked the 6z Euro. 12z NAM also has a nice looking burst mid-afternoon for us. Should be #funtimes amigo 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, jaster220 said: I think they liked the 6z Euro. 12z NAM also has a nice looking burst mid-afternoon for us. Should be #funtimes amigo You bet. Also, I am now starting to see a very thin layer of high clouds starting to move in. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Spread the wealth. @tStacsh with a headline A few inches will at least make it look like winter out. (I'm still thinking we end up with at least 3" here in GR) Not complaining. With the cold shots coming and some systems, our side of Michigan will look like winter for the next couple weeks with Lake Michigan wide open. Hope you guys can score 5-6" or even more out of this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The Update is, well, the Update LOL LATEST UPDATE... Update .UPDATE... Issued at 1047 AM EST Tue Jan 24 2023 We will be issuing a Winter Weather Advisory momentarily from 500am to 1000pm on Wednesday. The will include the southern row of counties along I-94, the next row of counties to the north from Allegan over to Ingham and the next row from Kent east through Clinton. At this time we feel the heaviest snow will occur in the southeast section of our forecast area including Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, Jackson, Eaton Rapids and Lansing. 3-6 inches of snow is likely in this southeast group. In the remaining counties we are expecting 2-5 inches of new snow. The morning commute will be impacted along I-94 as the snow moves in between 500am and 600am. All areas in the advisory will see impacts during the afternoon/evening commute. Kent County is on the fringe of needing to be included, but we feel enough snow will occur in the several hours (noon-300pm) leading into the evening commute that impacts will push conditions into the Advisory category there. As for the details, the models have been fairly steady state now for several runs tracking the low to the northeast through the state of Ohio. The low center Wednesday evening at 00z is in the vicinity of Cleveland which is generally not a good location (a bit too far to the east) to give the GRR cwa warning level snow. The ECWMF actually tracks the low to the east of Cleveland. BUFKIT overviews at JXN are fairly impressive with fairly strong lift through a deep layer, including into and through the DGZ. We should see snow rates towards or exceeding 1 inch per hour during the day on Wednesday. Most significant impacts will be to travel, especially given the fact that much of the area has not see appreciable snow in weeks. && 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 hours ago, Ferndale_man said: Good stuff. That should be a headline. Yes..tell that to NOAA!! Matter of time I guess. It will either be a WWA or WSW, even though, my forecast is calling for heavy snow tomorrow and part of tomorrow nite w/ 5-7"+. 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 I could be fine with this 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 25 minutes ago, tStacsh said: A few inches will at least make it look like winter out. (I'm still thinking we end up with at least 3" here in GR) Not complaining. With the cold shots coming and some systems, our side of Michigan will look like winter for the next couple weeks with Lake Michigan wide open. Hope you guys can score 5-6" or even more out of this. I think it will be the first time this season the entire state has a real blanket of white. Plus temps stay wintry 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, jaster220 said: I could be fine with this 6"+ I'd say is a good call for our region. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Euro isn't running yet. Should have started 20 minutes ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Everything is snow covered 3 1 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 HRR has bumped north and Detroit does well. Takes the low closer to Cleveland where the Euro is East of Cleveland. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Can't help but think what this storm really could have been with colder air for points north of center of projected path. I think the southern end of the predicted swath of heavier snows will struggle with a sloppy mess. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATW Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 hours ago, winterfreak said: NAM finally came to its senses. Dusting - 1” would be my call. KC classic. We’ll, I think it’s safe to say this is not mid Missouri’s storm either. More models than not now only have around 2” here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Euro servers went down, so no 12z run at this time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 (SIGH)..we finally get a sunny day (along with an extra 8 or more degs warming) the day leading into a storm when we don't need it. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Nam seems better and more expanded snowfield on the NW flank. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 20 minutes ago, tStacsh said: Can't help but think what this storm really could have been with colder air for points north of center of projected path. I think the southern end of the predicted swath of heavier snows will struggle with a sloppy mess. Yep. For comparisons, the 2/24/16 GOMEX storm with cold air would've easily been a 15-18" Big Dog. Marshall ended with 11.6" thanks to the warm slop-fest scenario. Hoping temps get down to 32F and stay there tomorrow. By 0z we should be safely below freezing and whatever mushiness will be on it's way to solidifying. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, jaster220 said: (SIGH)..we finally get a sunny day (along with an extra 8 or more degs warming) the day leading into a storm when we don't need it. Thick soupy clouds here, all winter, every day. I'll trade ya. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, tStacsh said: Nam seems better and more expanded snowfield on the NW flank. Definitely lingers snow westward into IA & WI. Might be why some of the more robust totals to my SW aren't happening up here. Sure has a death band of front-end stuff down in S Ohio of all places. Looks like a tiny bit of that finally gets into my area in the early evening. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, tStacsh said: Thick soupy clouds here, all winter, every day. I'll trade ya. This is the ONE day I would gladly take what GRR is getting attm Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 32 minutes ago, tStacsh said: HRR has bumped north and Detroit does well. Takes the low closer to Cleveland where the Euro is East of Cleveland. Liking that track. I do think that model will over-inflate a bit tho I'd love it to be correct on this one, lol Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3k NAM shows 2-2.5" around these parts. Temps though hovering around or even slightly above freezing during the day tomorrow will make accumulations almost impossible during the day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Liking that track. I do think that model will over-inflate a bit tho I'd love it to be correct on this one, lol Oh, I don't buy the higher end totals of this storm...yet. Not one forecaster is predicting anything outrageous. Most still have Detroit in the 5" high end range. Just monitoring the trends. My call is for it to outperform the 2" forecasted here. I've seen it time and time again, NW of the forecasted snow area always seems to do better than advertised. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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