jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Ok then.. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 LOT issuing WWA. Bumped totals a little further north. Now going with 2-4 from Dixon into the suburbs 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, FV-Mike said: LOT issuing WWA. Bumped totals a little further north. Now going with 2-4 from Dixon into the suburbs Turning more into a long duration event. Looks to snow well in into Thursday with that northern piece coming into play now. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The Euro is finally running. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 38 minutes ago, FV-Mike said: LOT issuing WWA. Bumped totals a little further north. Now going with 2-4 from Dixon into the suburbs 18z NAM looking stronger up your way, and raised totals down my way from the 12z. I still think 2-4 for mby is a good guess. Look at that cutoff just west of KC, brutal. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSquall23 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 6 hours ago, ATW said: If only the temps were a bit colder. I’m curious to see which model scores the victory. 4 hours ago, jaster220 said: The Update is, well, the Update LOL LATEST UPDATE... Update .UPDATE... Issued at 1047 AM EST Tue Jan 24 2023 We will be issuing a Winter Weather Advisory momentarily from 500am to 1000pm on Wednesday. The will include the southern row of counties along I-94, the next row of counties to the north from Allegan over to Ingham and the next row from Kent east through Clinton. At this time we feel the heaviest snow will occur in the southeast section of our forecast area including Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, Jackson, Eaton Rapids and Lansing. 3-6 inches of snow is likely in this southeast group. In the remaining counties we are expecting 2-5 inches of new snow. The morning commute will be impacted along I-94 as the snow moves in between 500am and 600am. All areas in the advisory will see impacts during the afternoon/evening commute. Kent County is on the fringe of needing to be included, but we feel enough snow will occur in the several hours (noon-300pm) leading into the evening commute that impacts will push conditions into the Advisory category there. As for the details, the models have been fairly steady state now for several runs tracking the low to the northeast through the state of Ohio. The low center Wednesday evening at 00z is in the vicinity of Cleveland which is generally not a good location (a bit too far to the east) to give the GRR cwa warning level snow. The ECWMF actually tracks the low to the east of Cleveland. BUFKIT overviews at JXN are fairly impressive with fairly strong lift through a deep layer, including into and through the DGZ. We should see snow rates towards or exceeding 1 inch per hour during the day on Wednesday. Most significant impacts will be to travel, especially given the fact that much of the area has not see appreciable snow in weeks. && 4 hours ago, Niko said: 6"+ I'd say is a good call for our region. Have a feeling this one will be a surprise somehow. It’s got potential! GOLU model will confirm. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The TXT Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 256 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023 MIZ076-082-083-250500- /O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0001.230125T1200Z-230126T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0001.230125T1000Z-230126T0100Z/ Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Detroit, Adrian, and Monroe 256 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 inches. * WHERE...Wayne, Lenawee and Monroe Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 8 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow will develop around 6 am, however, amounts and impacts during the morning commute are expected to remain relatively minor. Snow will then steadily increase in intensity with the peak of the heaviest snowfall rates between 10 am and 4 pm Wednesday. Travel conditions will deteriorate considerably during the afternoon into the early commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. 1 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 50 minutes ago, Clinton said: 18z NAM looking stronger up your way, and raised totals down my way from the 12z. I still think 2-4 for mby is a good guess. Look at that cutoff just west of KC, brutal. NAM says "can't leave Chicago out" 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 DTX making note of another "heat of the day" timing that's been such a theme in these last (2) winters These rates will be sufficient to overcome the "poor" timing as the best snow falls through the mildest middle of the daytime period (although the 32F or so surface temperatures will still have some impact on accumulation potential on paved surfaces). This may also become evident downwind of Lake Erie as this is not a typical late January event in the sense that there is little/no ice cover on the lake and a pocket of +2C water sits in the western portion of the lake. Although this should not have too drastic an impact, this may cut back on accumulations just a bit near the shoreline. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Latest thinking from EAX. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, Clinton said: Latest thinking from EAX. Can’t wait… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 33 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said: Have a feeling this one will be a surprise somehow. It’s got potential! GOLU model will confirm. I think so too. I am thinking somewhere in the 6-9 inch range throughout the entire area is a good bet. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 28 minutes ago, jaster220 said: The TXT Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 256 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023 MIZ076-082-083-250500- /O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0001.230125T1200Z-230126T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0001.230125T1000Z-230126T0100Z/ Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Detroit, Adrian, and Monroe 256 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 inches. * WHERE...Wayne, Lenawee and Monroe Counties. * WHEN...From 5 AM to 8 PM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow will develop around 6 am, however, amounts and impacts during the morning commute are expected to remain relatively minor. Snow will then steadily increase in intensity with the peak of the heaviest snowfall rates between 10 am and 4 pm Wednesday. Travel conditions will deteriorate considerably during the afternoon into the early commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Here we go. Time to Rock N Roll...!!!! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Snow and Ice Outlook 4 - 8 in Snow Upcoming Start 7:00 AM Wednesday, 1/25 End 11:00 PM Wednesday, 1/25 Snowfall Amount Probability Greater than a foot 1% 8 - 12 in 9% 4 - 8 in 68% 2 - 4 in 19% Less than 2 in 3% 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 hours ago, jaster220 said: (SIGH)..we finally get a sunny day (along with an extra 8 or more degs warming) the day leading into a storm when we don't need it. Well, thx to lower DP's we still had patchy coverage of the snow that fell Sunday. Any shaded area maintain 90% full sun more like 5%. Still, a win in my book considering what it's been like around here since coming over. Peeps with north facing homesteads will certainly be stacking snow-on-snow Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 28 minutes ago, Niko said: Snow and Ice Outlook 4 - 8 in Snow Upcoming Start 7:00 AM Wednesday, 1/25 End 11:00 PM Wednesday, 1/25 Snowfall Amount Probability Greater than a foot 1% 8 - 12 in 9% 4 - 8 in 68% 2 - 4 in 19% Less than 2 in 3% You could get a classic "last minute upgrade" this region is famous for. 1 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, jaster220 said: You could get a classic "last minute upgrade" this region is famous for. Latest storm graphic certainly is leaning that way with the "yellows" shooting up into Macomb! 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSquall23 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 53 minutes ago, Niko said: Snow and Ice Outlook 4 - 8 in Snow Upcoming Start 7:00 AM Wednesday, 1/25 End 11:00 PM Wednesday, 1/25 Snowfall Amount Probability Greater than a foot 1% 8 - 12 in 9% 4 - 8 in 68% 2 - 4 in 19% Less than 2 in 3% @Niko I like those odds. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Saw a WPC report of 5 inches of snow less than a 1/2 mile to my south that was reported at 4 PM. So I got more than 5 inches of snow! 6 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSquall23 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 26 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Well, thx to lower DP's we still had patchy coverage of the snow that fell Sunday. Any shaded area maintain 90% full sun more like 5%. Still, a win in my book considering what it's been like around here since coming over. Peeps with north facing homesteads will certainly be stacking snow-on-snow Our house faces North. So our front yard can be totally covered while the back yard gets nuked. All winter in the front and spring in the back. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Tulsa, OK is still reporting rain and upper 30s. The NWS has lowered them to 1-2". What a waste of a good storm. 3 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 50 minutes ago, jaster220 said: You could get a classic "last minute upgrade" this region is famous for. Perhaps. I am thinking w/ the 4am cycle, there is a chance that they might upgrade it to a WSW. Mind you, my area is expected to receive at least 6"+. So, not sure how NOAA see's that as a WWA. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 23 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said: Our house faces North. So our front yard can be totally covered while the back yard gets nuked. All winter in the front and spring in the back. How much are you expecting in ur neck of the woods? Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 51 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Latest storm graphic certainly is leaning that way with the "yellows" shooting up into Macomb! This clearly has my area in the 6-8" range! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 33 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said: @Niko I like those odds. Still have a 1% of a FOOTER!! Not off the table completely. Would that be crazy! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 28 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: Tulsa, OK is still reporting rain and upper 30s. The NWS has lowered them to 1-2". What a waste of a good storm. They had the same crappy warm pre-storm conditions we had last Feb here when half our storm went down the street drains. Took forever to flip-over in the metro 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Yet another "monster" Octopus storm! 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 18z HRRR really takes the SLP closer, but stronger. If this was wrapping arctic air off a Canadian HP, betta believe bliz conditions would've been on the table 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 44 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Still have a 1% of a FOOTER!! Not off the table completely. Would that be crazy! 38 minutes ago, jaster220 said: 18z HRRR really takes the SLP closer, but stronger. If this was wrapping arctic air off a Canadian HP, betta believe bliz conditions would've been on the table There will be windy conditions tomorrow. Winds gusting to as high as 30mph, if not higher, but yes, that would have been awesome. At least will will have blowing and drifting of the snow. 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 14 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Still have a 1% of a FOOTER!! Not off the table completely. Would that be crazy! Anything is possible!!! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSquall23 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 21 minutes ago, Niko said: How much are you expecting in ur neck of the woods? At this point 4 inches hopefully. We are pretty much close to battleground of heavy snow. I mean if this storm sneezed we would be in the heavy stuff. Weird weather here as we have some elevation. Our area can pull a Hail Mary in the snow dept. Seen it happen here many times. We will see.. You look to be in a good spot. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Getting some light rain mixed with some wet snow flakes, the temp is down to 35 from a high of 42. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 29 minutes ago, Niko said: There will be windy conditions tomorrow. Winds gusting to as high as 30mpoh, if not higher, but yes, taht would have been awesome. At least will will have blowing and drifting of the snow. I really like windy storms (not dry bitter cold WC's) and looking at DTW's hourly the steady 15-20 mph winds and WC's running in the low 20's will make this storm seem so much more wintry than either of last winter's half slush mess storms. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 12 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said: At this point 4 inches hopefully. We are pretty much close to battleground of heavy snow. I mean if this storm sneezed we would be in the heavy stuff. Weird weather here as we have some elevation. Our area can pull a Hail Mary in the snow dept. Seen it happen here many times. We will see.. You look to be in a good spot. How long have you lived there in Milford? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 13 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said: At this point 4 inches hopefully. We are pretty much close to battleground of heavy snow. I mean if this storm sneezed we would be in the heavy stuff. Weird weather here as we have some elevation. Our area can pull a Hail Mary in the snow dept. Seen it happen here many times. We will see.. You look to be in a good spot. As @Clintonand @jaster220mentioned earlier, do not be surprised to see some surprises w/ this storm. Stay tuned! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 18Z NAM & RGEM @h29 for comparison with that HRRR 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 This storm has my area snowing until 1AM Thursday. Long duration. 3 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 After 8 hrs above freezing under full sunshine, I'm glad to see us comfortably below again. 1 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Niko said: This storm has my area snowing until 1AM Thursday. Long duration. Certainly not short duration. I'd call anything 18+ hrs "long duration" for this region. The CAT-5 monsters were on the order of 30 hrs. I'd rather get 12" in 12 hrs like the UP ofc, but we ain't them, lol. 11/29/11 in Marshall was a "thump" storm with 8.5" in 4 hrs. Massive flakes and one of the few times I've been on the recieving end of truly "puking snow" 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Certainly not short duration. I'd call anything 18+ hrs "long duration" for this region. The CAT-5 monsters were on the order of 30 hrs. I'd rather get 12" in 12 hrs like the UP ofc, but we ain't them, lol. 11/29/11 in Marshall was a "thump" storm with 8.5" in 4 hrs. Massive flakes and one of the few times I've been on the recieving end of truly "puking snow" I'd tell ya..I have a good feeling that we could be in for a big surprise w/ these storm totals...could be veryyyy impressive. I just finished telling that to @Ferndale_man, who could very easily receive more than what they are forecasting for his area, so heads up ya'll. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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