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1/24 - 1/26 TX Panhandle Cutter


Tom

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Ok then..

 

23-01-24 pm DTW Grid Icon.PNG

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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1 minute ago, FV-Mike said:

LOT issuing WWA. Bumped totals a little further north. Now going with 2-4 from Dixon into the suburbs

Turning more into a long duration event. Looks to snow well in into Thursday with that northern piece coming into play now. 

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38 minutes ago, FV-Mike said:

LOT issuing WWA. Bumped totals a little further north. Now going with 2-4 from Dixon into the suburbs

18z NAM looking stronger up your way, and raised totals down my  way from the 12z.  I still think 2-4 for mby is a good guess.  Look at that cutoff just west of KC, brutal. 

 

image.png

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6 hours ago, ATW said:

If only the temps were a bit colder. I’m curious to see which model scores the victory. 

 

4 hours ago, jaster220 said:

The Update is, well, the Update LOL

LATEST UPDATE...
Update

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1047 AM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

We will be issuing a Winter Weather Advisory momentarily from
500am to 1000pm on Wednesday. The will include the southern row of
counties along I-94, the next row of counties to the north
from Allegan over to Ingham and the next row from Kent east
through Clinton. At this time we feel the heaviest snow will occur
in the southeast section of our forecast area including
Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, Jackson, Eaton Rapids and Lansing. 3-6
inches of snow is likely in this southeast group. In the remaining
counties we are expecting 2-5 inches of new snow. The morning
commute will be impacted along I-94 as the snow moves in between
500am and 600am. All areas in the advisory will see impacts during
the afternoon/evening commute. Kent County is on the fringe of
needing to be included, but we feel enough snow will occur in the
several hours (noon-300pm) leading into the evening commute that
impacts will push conditions into the Advisory category there.

As for the details, the models have been fairly steady state now
for several runs tracking the low to the northeast through the
state of Ohio. The low center Wednesday evening at 00z is in the
vicinity of Cleveland which is generally not a good location (a
bit too far to the east) to give the GRR cwa warning level snow.
The ECWMF actually tracks the low to the east of Cleveland. BUFKIT
overviews at JXN are fairly impressive with fairly strong lift
through a deep layer, including into and through the DGZ. We
should see snow rates towards or exceeding 1 inch per hour during
the day on Wednesday. Most significant impacts will be to travel,
especially given the fact that much of the area has not see
appreciable snow in weeks.

&&

 

4 hours ago, Niko said:

6"+ I'd say is a good call for our region.

Have a feeling this one will be a surprise somehow. It’s got potential!  GOLU model will confirm. 

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The TXT

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
256 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

MIZ076-082-083-250500-
/O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0001.230125T1200Z-230126T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0001.230125T1000Z-230126T0100Z/
Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Detroit, Adrian, and Monroe
256 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8
  inches.

* WHERE...Wayne, Lenawee and Monroe Counties.

* WHEN...From 5 AM to 8 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow will develop around 6 am,
  however, amounts and impacts during the morning commute are
  expected to remain relatively minor. Snow will then steadily
  increase in intensity with the peak of the heaviest snowfall
  rates between 10 am and 4 pm Wednesday. Travel conditions will
  deteriorate considerably during the afternoon into the early
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.
  • Excited 1
  • Snow 2

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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50 minutes ago, Clinton said:

18z NAM looking stronger up your way, and raised totals down my  way from the 12z.  I still think 2-4 for mby is a good guess.  Look at that cutoff just west of KC, brutal. 

 

image.png

NAM says "can't leave Chicago out"

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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DTX making note of another "heat of the day" timing that's been such a theme in these last (2) winters

These rates will be sufficient to overcome the "poor" timing as the
best snow falls through the mildest middle of the daytime period
(although the 32F or so surface temperatures will still have some
impact on accumulation potential on paved surfaces). This may also
become evident downwind of Lake Erie as this is not a typical late
January event in the sense that there is little/no ice cover on the
lake and a pocket of +2C water sits in the western portion of the
lake. Although this should not have too drastic an impact, this may
cut back on accumulations just a bit near the shoreline.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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33 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said:

 

 

Have a feeling this one will be a surprise somehow. It’s got potential!  GOLU model will confirm. 

I think so too. I am thinking somewhere in the 6-9 inch range throughout the entire area is a good bet.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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28 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

The TXT

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
256 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

MIZ076-082-083-250500-
/O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0001.230125T1200Z-230126T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0001.230125T1000Z-230126T0100Z/
Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Detroit, Adrian, and Monroe
256 PM EST Tue Jan 24 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8
  inches.

* WHERE...Wayne, Lenawee and Monroe Counties.

* WHEN...From 5 AM to 8 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Light snow will develop around 6 am,
  however, amounts and impacts during the morning commute are
  expected to remain relatively minor. Snow will then steadily
  increase in intensity with the peak of the heaviest snowfall
  rates between 10 am and 4 pm Wednesday. Travel conditions will
  deteriorate considerably during the afternoon into the early
  commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

Here we go. Time to Rock N Roll...!!!! 😀

  • Like 2

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Snow and Ice Outlook

 
 
4 - 8 in
Snow
Upcoming
Start
7:00 AM
Wednesday, 1/25
End
11:00 PM
Wednesday, 1/25
 
Snowfall Amount Probability
Greater than a foot 1%
 
8 - 12 in 9%
 
4 - 8 in 68%
 
2 - 4 in 19%
 
Less than 2 in 3%
 
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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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3 hours ago, jaster220 said:

(SIGH)..we finally get a sunny day (along with an extra 8 or more degs warming) the day leading into a storm when we don't need it. 🙄

Well, thx to lower DP's we still had patchy coverage of the snow that fell Sunday. Any shaded area maintain 90% full sun more like 5%. Still, a win in my book considering what it's been like around here since coming over. 🙂 Peeps with north facing homesteads will certainly be stacking snow-on-snow

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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28 minutes ago, Niko said:

Snow and Ice Outlook

 
 
4 - 8 in
Snow
Upcoming
Start
7:00 AM
Wednesday, 1/25
End
11:00 PM
Wednesday, 1/25
 
Snowfall Amount Probability
Greater than a foot 1%
 
8 - 12 in 9%
 
4 - 8 in 68%
 
2 - 4 in 19%
 
Less than 2 in 3%
 

You could get a classic "last minute upgrade" this region is famous for.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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4 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

You could get a classic "last minute upgrade" this region is famous for.

Latest storm graphic certainly is leaning that way with the "yellows" shooting up into Macomb!

 

23-01-24 4pm DTX Storm Graphic.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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26 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Well, thx to lower DP's we still had patchy coverage of the snow that fell Sunday. Any shaded area maintain 90% full sun more like 5%. Still, a win in my book considering what it's been like around here since coming over. 🙂 Peeps with north facing homesteads will certainly be stacking snow-on-snow

Our house faces North.  So our front yard can be totally covered while the back yard gets nuked. All winter in the front and spring in the back. 

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Tulsa, OK is still reporting rain and upper 30s.  The NWS has lowered them to 1-2".  What a waste of a good storm.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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50 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

You could get a classic "last minute upgrade" this region is famous for.

Perhaps. I am thinking w/ the 4am cycle, there is a chance that they might upgrade it to a WSW. Mind you, my area is expected to receive at least 6"+. So, not sure how NOAA see's that as a WWA.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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23 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said:

Our house faces North.  So our front yard can be totally covered while the back yard gets nuked. All winter in the front and spring in the back. 

How much are you expecting in ur neck of the woods?

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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51 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Latest storm graphic certainly is leaning that way with the "yellows" shooting up into Macomb!

 

23-01-24 4pm DTX Storm Graphic.png

This clearly has my area in the 6-8" range!

  • Snow 2

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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33 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said:

@Niko I like those odds.  

Still have a 1% of a FOOTER!! Not off the table completely. Would that be crazy!

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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28 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

Tulsa, OK is still reporting rain and upper 30s.  The NWS has lowered them to 1-2".  What a waste of a good storm.

They had the same crappy warm pre-storm conditions we had last Feb here when half our storm went down the street drains. Took forever to flip-over in the metro

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Yet another "monster" Octopus storm!

 

23-01-24 3pm WPC Surf 6z Wed.gif

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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18z HRRR really takes the SLP closer, but stronger. If this was wrapping arctic air off a Canadian HP, betta believe bliz conditions would've been on the table

 

23-01-24 18z HRRR h29 Surf.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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44 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Still have a 1% of a FOOTER!! Not off the table completely. Would that be crazy!

 

38 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

18z HRRR really takes the SLP closer, but stronger. If this was wrapping arctic air off a Canadian HP, betta believe bliz conditions would've been on the table

 

23-01-24 18z HRRR h29 Surf.png

There will be windy conditions tomorrow. Winds gusting to as high as 30mph, if not higher, but yes, that would have been awesome. At least will will have blowing and drifting of the snow.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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14 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Still have a 1% of a FOOTER!! Not off the table completely. Would that be crazy!

Anything is possible!!! 😳

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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21 minutes ago, Niko said:

How much are you expecting in ur neck of the woods?

At this point 4 inches hopefully.  We are pretty much close to battleground of heavy snow.  I mean if this storm sneezed we would be in the heavy stuff.  Weird weather here as we have some elevation.  Our area can pull a Hail Mary in the snow dept.  Seen it happen  here many times.  We will see..  You look to be in a good spot. 

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29 minutes ago, Niko said:

 

There will be windy conditions tomorrow. Winds gusting to as high as 30mpoh, if not higher, but yes, taht would have been awesome. At least will will have blowing and drifting of the snow.

I really like windy storms (not dry bitter cold WC's) and looking at DTW's hourly the steady 15-20 mph winds and WC's running in the low 20's will make this storm seem so much more wintry than either of last winter's half slush mess storms.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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12 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said:

At this point 4 inches hopefully.  We are pretty much close to battleground of heavy snow.  I mean if this storm sneezed we would be in the heavy stuff.  Weird weather here as we have some elevation.  Our area can pull a Hail Mary in the snow dept.  Seen it happen  here many times.  We will see..  You look to be in a good spot. 

How long have you lived there in Milford?

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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13 minutes ago, Ferndale_man said:

At this point 4 inches hopefully.  We are pretty much close to battleground of heavy snow.  I mean if this storm sneezed we would be in the heavy stuff.  Weird weather here as we have some elevation.  Our area can pull a Hail Mary in the snow dept.  Seen it happen  here many times.  We will see..  You look to be in a good spot. 

As @Clintonand @jaster220mentioned earlier, do not be surprised to see some surprises w/ this storm. Stay tuned!

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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18Z NAM & RGEM @h29 for comparison with that HRRR

1839437909_23-01-2418zNAMh29Surface.thumb.png.b474cb3c2b9fa49c39391a8e206f1b1f.png469416649_23-01-2418zRGEMh29Surface.thumb.png.8348012450a695486c89884a2ee43630.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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This storm has my area snowing until 1AM Thursday. Long duration.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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After 8 hrs above freezing under full sunshine, I'm glad to see us comfortably below again.

image.png.6957e0b1a626fbc648ea31f0761dfad7.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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1 minute ago, Niko said:

This storm has my area snowing until 1AM Thursday. Long duration.

Certainly not short duration. I'd call anything 18+ hrs "long duration" for this region. The CAT-5 monsters were on the order of 30 hrs. I'd rather get 12" in 12 hrs like the UP ofc, but we ain't them, lol. 11/29/11 in Marshall was a "thump" storm with 8.5" in 4 hrs. Massive flakes and one of the few times I've been on the recieving end of truly "puking snow"

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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2 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Certainly not short duration. I'd call anything 18+ hrs "long duration" for this region. The CAT-5 monsters were on the order of 30 hrs. I'd rather get 12" in 12 hrs like the UP ofc, but we ain't them, lol. 11/29/11 in Marshall was a "thump" storm with 8.5" in 4 hrs. Massive flakes and one of the few times I've been on the recieving end of truly "puking snow"

I'd tell ya..I have a good feeling that we could be in for a big surprise w/ these storm totals...could be veryyyy impressive. I just finished telling that to @Ferndale_man, who could very easily receive more than what they are forecasting for his area, so heads up ya'll.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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