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April 2018 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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After yesterdays “heat wave” when the temperature shot all the way up to 64° that is good for the warmest day this year so far beating out February 20th high of 63° Even with yesterdays “heat” the mean temperature so far this April is just 34.0° (-10.3°) still on tract for one of the coldest April’s on record. And looking ahead there are more much colder than average days ahead the average H/L today is 57/37 and by Tuesday it is 59/38 the forecasted highs for the next 5 days are 48,36,35,38 and 44.

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Yeah baby! Marshall was in the 70's for two hrs! Total bust by NWS but I'd give you ten bucks if you could find one person who's upset about it

Man, it was beautiful yesterday. I stepped outside at least more than 10X just to feel and breathe that warmth. :D

 

Official high yesterday was a lovely 77F. :)

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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WSW is only one county north of me. :o My forecast is calling for Ice accumulations. That HP to the north in Canada will do its dirty job. :rolleyes:  :wacko: 

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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A nasty weekend coming up. Indoor plans are recommended. ;)

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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DMX regarding next week. Funny how they end it:

Upper ridging then moves into the region again for Thursday and

Friday with temps returning to the 40s north and 50s south. These

highs are about 10 degrees below normal for this time of year so

definitely below normal through the week, except for Tuesday. At the

end of the extended into next weekend will come the next big storm

system. At this time there are large disagreements between the

models with the GFS and Canadian further south with the low and

trough while the Euro tracks the low further north and east. This

is beyond the range of this forecast package but will bear watching.

For now we just have rain mentioned west on Friday. May need to

consider thunder if the Euro is correct or snow if the GFS is

correct. The crazy cold spring pattern continues for the

foreseeable future.

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dtx.png

 

Man, that pink color is just one county north of me.

 

@Jaster....hey buddy, you think we are in for any surprises for this weekend?! My temp on Sat will be dropping to near 32F w hvy presip. Idk, but, this thing is screaming hvy wet snow accumulations. Something to keep an eye on. :unsure:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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dtx.png

 

Man, that blue color is just one county north of me.

 

@Jaster....hey buddy, you think we are in for any surprises for this weekend?! My temp on Sat will be dropping to near 32F w hvy presip. Idk, but, this thing is screaming hvy wet snow accumulations. Something to keep an eye on. :unsure:

I'm not jaster but I think you'll get ice.

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The euro continues to spit out insane snow amounts in part of Nebraska when this system is combined with the big one a week out.  The latest run drops up to 4 feet.

 

ecmwf_acc_snow_nebraska_222.png

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I'm not jaster but I think you'll get ice.

I agree. Ice is looking pretty significant.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Under a WWA for my area for significant icing. Any more south, and this thing may show a different outcome. Interesting weekend coming up.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Currently cloudy and chilly w temps in the low 40s.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Rain and wind currently and temp at 37F. I hope my area stays all rain. I hate ice! :wacko:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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WSW for my area.....

 

Per Noaa:

 

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Significant icing and heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total sleet accumulations of up to a half inch and ice accumulations of two tenths to three tenths of an inch are expected. Northeast winds of 20 to 30 miles per hour with gusts of 30 to 40 miles per hour are also expected, with the strongest winds occuring this afternoon through tonight. * WHERE...Macomb County. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Sunday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel will be dangerous and nearly impossible. Tree branches could fall. Expect significant reductions in visibility at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of ice will make travel very hazardous or impossible. Strong winds are also expected. &&  :rolleyes: :wacko: :ph34r:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Wow, earlier in the winter, never thought i was gonna do well in the plains, but as winter progressed my jackpot area in the upper midwest came true! 

 

ScreenShot2018-04-14at9.57.55PM.png

 

test

 

ScreenShot2018-04-14at9.58.35PM.png

 

ScreenShot2018-04-14at10.11.36PM.png

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2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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We are in the midst of natures fury across the majority of our sub forum. A day, a weekend, many of us will not forget for a very long time. Where do we go from here??? Models are suggesting, let's do this again for parts of N NE/IA/MN and into WI. Building a glacier in late April???

 

00z GFS...

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018041500/126/snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

00z Canadian...

 

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2018041500/126/snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

 

00z Euro pretty much lines up with the GFS/Canadian...

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One has to wonder, if these wetter trends continue for parts of the central Plains into May, could the CFSv2 lead the way for this Summer???  A lot is riding on what happens here over the next several weeks.

 

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_5.png

 

 

 

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_10.png

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On this last day to file your taxes (Thanks Uncle Sam), we are in the midst of natures fury across the majority of our sub forum.  A day, a weekend, many of us will not forget for a very long time.  Where do we go from here???  Models are suggesting, let's do this again for parts of N NE/IA/MN and into WI.  Building a glacier in late April???

Sad that climo finally has to kick in with this storm and we get mostly rain.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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One has to wonder, if these wetter trends continue for parts of the central Plains into May, could the CFSv2 lead the way for this Summer??? A lot is riding on what happens here over the next several weeks.

 

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_5.png

 

 

 

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_10.png

Man, if there's ever a place that needs the rain, the green spot is it.

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Models continue to shift south with the big weekend storm.  The latest euro has nothing in Iowa.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Rain and thankfully above freezing, so all liquid form. Temp @ 36F.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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This extremely cold April continues. With the month now at the half way point the mean temperature at Grand Rapids is now 34.4° that is colder than a average March witch is 35.6°. We (along with many other locations in the upper Great Lakes and upper Midwest) This year has been one of the coldest starts to April in recorded history. And will likely end up being one of the top ten coldest in recorded history as well.

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Cloudy and chilly w snowshowers later on accumulating to near an inch. :rolleyes:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Currently, trees are still bare. This reminds me of Spring 2014, when May arrived w 75% of bared trees. Weather should quiet down as the week goes on and more moderating temps.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Lots of rain on the EC today. Friends and family of mine are emailing me pics of streets that are closed due to major flooding.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Please let this be right.  The snowstorms and cold are exciting from the weather geek perspective, but I am done with it.  The avg high is 61 now.

 

KCID_2018041600_forecast_EPS_360.png

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Whateva happened to severe weather season here in MI this Spring? An inch of snow expected here tonight w breezy conditions and temps dropping in the upper 20s. Crazy! :ph34r: :wacko:

 

Btw: average high this time of the year is 61F. Go figure! :rolleyes:

 

Per Noaa:

There is a chance of snow tonight as a low pressure system dropsthrough southern Michigan. Locations north of M-59 could get around 1inch of accumulation by Tuesday morning with lesser amountssouthward toward the Ohio border. Highest amounts look to be in theThumb where 1-2 inches may fall.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Getting a moderate snow shower here at this time. Snow is staying on bare spots of house roofs, note the ground is still covered with the weekends sleet or snow cover so it looks like winter out in mid April. The current temperature here at my house is 33° with that snow falling.

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