St Paul Storm Posted April 9, 2018 Report Share Posted April 9, 2018 Whether it’s 5” or 31”, it’s a lot for what will be mid-April. Such a wide swath of snow depicted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 NWS Hastings now looking at the weekend storm a little closer. Says if it keeps coming south, this closed low will bring colder air and snow. However, no solution for track is favored yet, so we could be dry slotted with warmer air and very little to no precipitation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Im all down for 70s and t-storms!! I just had heavy snow yesterday. I love wild weather swings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 I might drive to the Twin Cities and visit my mom this wkend (at least that is what I will tell the wife) and go snow chasing... 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 ^ that’s pretty. 06z GFS not too far from what the Euro is showing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Blocking keeps wrecking havoc in the modeling and the shifts south keep on coming on. Looks like MSP is def in the game now to see a major snowstorm. Gosh, that would be incredible to see a Top 3 snowstorm in April...I think you have a shot to smash records with this one. On the severe wx side, looks like its primarily dwindling around IA and focusing more into parts of the S MW and moreso across the southern Plains. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Wow, very impressive signal off the 00z EPS for parts of SD/MN/N WI to see 12"+! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 that screams power outages to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Yeah ratios should be less than 10:1. 10-20” of water-logged snowflakes is never good. Throw in gusts over 40mph and that’s trouble. ‘Crippling’ snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 ^^^ Always nice to see Ladysmith on a map.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 I see the 00z euro keeps the warm front farther south on Friday, so northern Iowa through the north Chicago burbs get stuck in the 40s. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 I see the 00z euro keeps the warm front farther south on Friday, so northern Iowa through the north Chicago burbs get stuck in the 40s.12z NAM trending that way, as well as, the 06z GFS. Guess the luck of reaching 70F on Friday is running out! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Enjoy your 40s while I’m grilling in shorts! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 12z NAM trending that way, as well as, the 06z GFS. Guess the luck of reaching 70F on Friday is running out! Mby was never even teased with the chance Gotta nab my 1st 60 of the spring, ha! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 12z GFS with a very slight tick north with the heaviest snow but overall similar to the 06z. 12z GEM brings the sauce. Northern MSP to Duluth shut down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 CMC and GFS bring accumulating snow to Central Nebraska late Friday night through Saturday. We'll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 12z GFS with a very slight tick north with the heaviest snow but overall similar to the 06z. 12z GEM brings the sauce. Northern MSP to Duluth shut down.Hopefully we don't get stuck in limbo with this one. Not sure I can take a snowfall under 3 inches this time of year! Give me spring or give me winter, you can keep this mixing seasons funny business away from here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Changes again on the 12z Euro...continue to shift south...thats a major Hudson Bay Block Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Changes again on the 12z Euro...continue to shift south...thats a major Hudson Bay BlockLooks that way. Cant get any maps to load though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Wow, the euro now only brings the warm front up to just past Cedar Rapids by midday Friday before sinking back south of CR by evening. It gets even more interesting beyond that, as the euro now sags the low so far southeast, the second piece of energy that re-energizes the storm now gives eastern Iowa into Wisconsin another snowstorm. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Lol. You knew one of the models had to blink soon. There was way too much consistency this far out. Poor Duluth goes from 20” to nothing in a single run. I don’t buy it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Changes again on the 12z Euro...continue to shift south...thats a major Hudson Bay BlockLooks similar to the other models for as much as has loaded. I might be in for more accumulations if these verify Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Lol. You knew one of the models had to blink soon. There was way too much consistency this far out.I love tracking storms during these blocky patterns as each run provides a different solution. I think odds are increasing in your favor, and even into GoSaints area for a good snowstorm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 I added some graphics to my post above. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Wow, the euro now only brings the warm front up to just past Cedar Rapids by midday Friday before sinking back south of CR by evening. It gets even more interesting beyond that, as the euro now sags the low so far southeast, the second piece of energy that re-energizes the storm now gives eastern Iowa into Wisconsin another snowstorm. ecmwf_t2max_iowa_84.pngecmwf_ptype_slp_conus_126.pngecmwf_acc_snow_conus_156.pngCan you post the snow maps when they fully load? Thanks in advance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 I love tracking storms during these blocky patterns as each run provides a different solution. I think odds are increasing in your favor, and even into GoSaints area for a good snowstorm.Probably going to bounce around pretty hard for another 2 days at least. These blocking patterns are impossible for the models to figure out. It appears it’s going to snow. Just gotta see how big we can go. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Wowzers, that’s a big shift...looks like those spots that just got crushed last week are in the game yet again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 I added some graphics to my post above.That temp gradient....wowzers. That’s disgusting. Thanks for posting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 What the EFFING F is going on??? Good god, enough already. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Absolutely disgusting. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 If it's going to snow, i'd prefer it be epic, like this is showing, but I'd just much rather have the 60s and 70s and get this cold out of here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Changes again on the 12z Euro...continue to shift south...thats a major Hudson Bay BlockAny indications of this going away? (Please say yes) 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 What the EFFING F is going on??? Good god, enough already. ecmwf_acc_snow_iowa_144.png The OmaDome looks mis-shapen, likely just a glitch in the matrix... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Hopefully we don't get stuck in limbo with this one. Not sure I can take a snowfall under 3 inches this time of year! Give me spring or give me winter, you can keep this mixing seasons funny business away from here. Looking more and more like 3”+. We’ll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 10, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Any indications of this going away? (Please say yes)Let’s see the 12z EPS run and if the shift south continues. The southern Energy coming up from the south is another piece to the puzzle that could maximize its potential. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 D**n that’s a lot of ice it looks like here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Here’s the icon at 120 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018041012&fh=120 Looks similar to euro Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 LOL- This one would be a fun one to guess totals for specific areas. Duluth- Eau Claire-MSP-Gosaints backyard on the ridge-Cedar Repaids-James-Madison-Green Bay-Money's backyard- 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 All the pieces would have to come together perfectly to get this scenario, so it probably won't happen. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 10, 2018 Report Share Posted April 10, 2018 Omg! Well if it snows i hope its epic. No cold cloudy windy crap. 70s and storms or heavy snow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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