Jump to content

PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

00z HRRR gets the band out of here in a hurry after sunset. Goes for 0-2 inches in the west metro. Strong totals downtown and north. Looking at the radar and the bigger picture, I doubt it will play out like this. 

snku_acc-imp.us_state_or.png

How much do you think we'll get?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

I deserve thisScreenshot_20230222-175423.thumb.png.953bfcac7692f8cb8b6fdf8d0eab16d5.png

Yeah, pretty light here so far. About 2" still on the grass but wet asphalt remains. Took a drive around and it's a different world closer to the river, even DT Vancouver has significantly more coverage on the pavement.

Edited by BLI snowman
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

How much do you think we'll get?

My gut feeling is we will get 3-6 inches. Timing is good and we haven't seen the best dynamics out of this yet for our area. The low looks healthy and juicy and I doubt it will hurry off that quickly to the SW.

I might be wishcasting though. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Can obviously see why models tend to struggle in events like these. Low development is weak…. We’re looking at what? 1000mb low? A slight shift north or south appears to have major implications with the snow line. To my untrained eyes, it is still lifting north slightly but nearly stationary. It will eventually make it way back south. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It did in Feb 2014!

Remember that very well! Got a solid 2” and it was an amazing feeling. Unforecasted snow always has a special feeling forecasted snow doesn’t have.

  • Like 1

(Previous name: MillCreekMike)

Everett, WA (elev. 180’)

2023-2024 Snowfall:

1/11: Tr.

1/18: Tr.

Go M’s

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This could be a pretty historic event along the southern Oregon coast. 

049364F3-B24B-42CB-9FDB-AB6B3A075865.png

  • Like 7

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5.3” at the park rose office?! That’s insane! They have a lot more coming. 

  • Like 2
  • Snow 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, pretty light here so far. About 2" still on the grass but wet asphalt remains. Took a drive around and it's a different world closer to the river, even DT Vancouver has significantly more coverage on the pavement.

Yeah we still only have a heavy dusting here, bummer. Weird how the precip is just vanishing into thin air as soon as it reaches this area. Is it because the Gorge outflow doesn't quite reach this part of town?

Wondering if there's any chance of the hole filling in later, or if we're screwed. Got a sinking feeling that the lack of Gorge outflow here is going to keep that donut hole going for the rest of the night.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, pretty light here so far. About 2" still on the grass but wet asphalt remains. Took a drive around and it's a different world closer to the river, even DT Vancouver has significantly more coverage on the pavement.

Getting pretty snowy out. East wind is decently strong too. Hoping for some sleddable snow at least

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

00z HRRR gets the band out of here in a hurry after sunset. Goes for 0-2 inches in the west metro. Strong totals downtown and north. Looking at the radar and the bigger picture, I doubt it will play out like this. 

snku_acc-imp.us_state_or.png

Why do you think that? This has the makings of an all-time snow hole for sw metro. I pray that I’m wrong. Though north Beaverton could end up doing better than west Tigard / Sherwood.

  • Excited 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Yeah we still only have a heavy dusting here, bummer. Weird how the precip is just vanishing into thin air as soon as it reaches this area. Is it because the Gorge outflow doesn't quite reach this part of town?

Wondering if there's any chance of the hole filling in later, or if we're screwed. Got a sinking feeling that the lack of Gorge outflow here is going to keep that donut hole going for the rest of the night.

 

It's been more about the position of the low stretching the deformation band apart over NW Clark County since early afternoon, keeping the precip rates pretty light. It's below freezing everywhere in Clark County now, so temps won't be an issue going forward, but the eastside has had colder temps + much better precip rates hence the high totals. Hopefully that changes here soon as the low shifts, we'll see.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

A few more evening pics…My gravel walkways cleared out, but stayed around the other surfaces nicely. At work all of the snow melted off the ground but the trees were still flocked, not sure if I have ever seen that before! 
29.6 degrees. 

E42521D0-CA1F-47F4-A630-ECE127FFF47F.jpeg

AB0D242E-578E-47B7-8ED0-B63175D0FDFB.jpeg

96FFCF79-0302-40AB-AC4B-0189E09F769B.jpeg

  • Like 3

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

How much at your place in the West Hills?

At least 3 inches and absolutely dumping snow atm

  • Like 5
  • Snow 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

My gut feeling is we will get 3-6 inches. Timing is good and we haven't seen the best dynamics out of this yet for our area. The low looks healthy and juicy and I doubt it will hurry off that quickly to the SW.

I might be wishcasting though. 

That would be amazing. Hopefully that happens

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

It's been more about the position of the low stretching the deformation band apart over NW Clark County since early afternoon, keeping the precip rates pretty light. It's below freezing everywhere in Clark County now, so temps won't be an issue going forward, but the eastside has had colder temps + much better precip rates hence the high totals. Hopefully that changes here soon as the low shifts, we'll see.

On satellite it looks like the low is still shifting a bit more north, not sure if I'm getting fooled or not. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have a feeling the south sound is going to over perform tonight. Central sound though we will have to wait and see.

  • Like 3

2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 48

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I am distributed about the lack of snow pics out of Portland….. 

yeah I think people are sick of seeing my pics here at the Snohomish/Skagit border lol! Let’s see more southern snow pics! 

  • Like 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, pretty light here so far. About 2" still on the grass but wet asphalt remains. Took a drive around and it's a different world closer to the river, even DT Vancouver has significantly more coverage on the pavement.

SR 14 is a sh*t show.

  • Excited 1

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

I have a feeling the south sound is going to over perform tonight. Central sound though we will have to wait and see.

I agree.  The Central Sound has some dry air to deal with.  The ECMWF insists it will snow pretty soon though.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Like 6

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, dhoffine said:

Good old cold east wind is blowing out here in Enumclaw, very cold, and no moisture, of course :)

I'm thinking you sitting pretty for the weekend event.  It all evens out.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...