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PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


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3 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

This is a weird graphic. Not a single gray “snow” block for anyone 😂 Michael Snyder replied to this saying “this isn’t a forecast”

F71327A8-91AD-4538-93D9-88C2CF950F3E.thumb.jpeg.e49a67c99cf6b661f4351c6ef2471b98.jpeg

The graphic doesn't match the text in the tweet either. Time for NWS to give it a rest with the NBM probabilities... they're clearly inaccurate and they are in no way "probabilities". 

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30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We hit 17 with 10” depth. We were 5 deg colder yesterday. 

 

If you don’t hear from me this week, please send a plow. 

You must have been protected from the NE winds yesterday.  We were stable at 24 all night with consistent mixing and some serious wind chill.

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10 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

The timing is good, that loop is from 9pm to 6am Tuesday morning I believe. 

For sure... that is all happening when its dark.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Next weekend definitely trending colder. 

  • Shivering 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

This is a weird graphic. Not a single gray “snow” block for anyone 😂 Michael Snyder replied to this saying “this isn’t a forecast”

F71327A8-91AD-4538-93D9-88C2CF950F3E.thumb.jpeg.e49a67c99cf6b661f4351c6ef2471b98.jpeg

Why can’t they just put out the forecasted accumulation maps like they normally do instead of this probability graph BS. This also gives the impression there won’t be sticking snow in western WA tonight which is definitely not the case. In some places this actually might be a significant snow event especially out on the kitsap peninsula, up north near the border and in the foothills. 

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4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Yesterday’s 12z GFS ensembles called it.

Now let’s trend it snowier. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, Jakewestsalem said:

15.1f this morning in my snow covered hollow in the West Salem hills

SLE hit 19 on a 5 min observation. We will find out soon if they made it officially. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

March 1951… this map is Jim-approved!

Yeah I know he mentioned that one earlier. Didn’t expect to actually see it listed.

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Just now, TacomaWx said:

Nice day coming up, high clouds streaming in from the north. Snowcover evident across the western US…but check out the storm over California. That is wild. What a winter for them. 

G18_sector_pnw_GEOCOLOR_24fr_20230225-1140.gif

Unreal.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Nice day coming up, high clouds streaming in from the north. Snowcover evident across the western US…but check out the storm over California. That is wild. What a winter for them. 

G18_sector_pnw_GEOCOLOR_24fr_20230225-1140.gif

That’s one of the most prolific moist conveyors I’ve ever seen on satellite.

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Winter Storm Warning is up! 

EB5823F1-ADA0-407D-B90E-1E472ECBA474.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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39 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It’s rare to see such model consistency, particularly for the big dumping that’s heading my way. Emotionally I still have a hard time believing I’m going to score so big twice in one season, but rationally, model consensus is model consensus.

This is a much easier situation for the models to handle than what we often see with surface lows and the initial surge of cold air.  Such as what we saw around Portland.  Not convinced downtown Vancouver will see 12-15” of snow, or whatever the models are showing.  But it’s gonna be a good event over there. 

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