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PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


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  • Staff

Got about 1.5 inches here yesterday evening.   I cleared off the driveway last night and now it's icy.   

20230222_064336.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Mark Nelsen did mention the possibility of a subfreezing high on Thursday

"But if skies remain partly-mostly cloudy and 4″ snow is sitting on the ground, this could be the first time we get a sub-freezing high after February 20th in 60 years!"

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  • Longtimer
2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks awesome in Bellevue!

Meanwhile out here the skies are basically clear and its going to be a great sunrise. 

090vc01190.jpg

How much snow did you get? 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Got about 1.5 inches here yesterday evening.   I cleared off the driveway last night and now it's icy.   

20230222_064336.jpg

Didn’t see this post before I asked. We got about 3” here, hope it doesn’t all melt today before the real cold air arrives. Currently 29.8 and if the NAM is correct we are done until Sunday morning. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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  • Longtimer

Pendleton 29 with NE wind

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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23 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Snowing and have .5 inch new covering everything. 31 degrees

 

Bellevue 450 feet

Yeah, drove through and just before downtown it was snowing hard. Snowing and sticking in Redmond. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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  • Longtimer

Looking at some of these mesoscale models the south coast may be the big

winner.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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  • Staff

12Z NAM is basically on board now.    Massive increase in snow for SW WA and Portland compared to previous runs.   I think the Tacoma area and all of Pierce County might get in on the action early tomorrow morning.

 

nam-218-all-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7196800 (2).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Unfortunately, this tunneled hole in the snow looks almost perfectly lined up with my house. Heavy snow North and South but may almost all miss me unless the structure of the bands change a bit.

 

 

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 85"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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Wouldn’t be shocking if some precip managed to make it into the south sound tonight. Models show it having a tough time getting north of Olympia…but it wouldn’t be the first time we’ve seen the models underdo precip. Sunday is looking really good on the models still. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z NAM is basically on board now.    Massive increase in snow for SW WA and Portland compared to previous runs.   I think the Tacoma area and all of Pierce County might get in on the action early tomorrow morning.

 

nam-218-all-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7196800 (2).png

That's all actually from this current band of snow in Clark County. Doesn't show much after this point which is when the other models really dump the most snow

 

snku_acc-imp.us_nw.png

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  • Longtimer
2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z NAM is basically on board now.    Massive increase in snow for SW WA and Portland compared to previous runs.   I think the Tacoma area and all of Pierce County might get in on the action early tomorrow morning.

 

nam-218-all-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7196800 (2).png

A lot of that is from what’s falling now. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z NAM is basically on board now.    Massive increase in snow for SW WA and Portland compared to previous runs.   I think the Tacoma area and all of Pierce County might get in on the action early tomorrow morning.

 

nam-218-all-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7196800 (2).png

I just posted about this lol. Yeah I think some places south of Seattle just might eke out some snow tonight. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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Not as much snow here as just south of Bellevue, but a nice surprise to show up at work with snow. 

874D88A2-A541-49F3-AF91-E35E7AEDF109.jpeg

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A lot of that is from what’s falling now. 

I believe this is what it’s snowing tonight. 

48BF5D8A-9D8C-4567-B2AC-4B7A389F69C4.jpeg

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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  • Staff
9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I just posted about this lol. Yeah I think some places south of Seattle just might eke out some snow tonight. 

Given that northward extent of precip is a known modeling issue in this type of situation and the ECMWF is showing plenty of snow for Tacoma... I am guessing you will do better than you are saying. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The Hi-res models actually are on board for snow in Tacoma tonight. We will see what happens though…going to be a close call. Could end up being just a few miles too far NE as well. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Given that northward extent of precip is a known modeling issue in this type of situation and the ECMWF is showing plenty of snow for Tacoma... I am guessing you will do better than you are saying. 

Is the 6z euro showing snow? I only saw last nights run and it looked close but not far enough to get into pierce county. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Some heavier stuff heading towards me or maybe just a wee bit to the north. Hopefully it does hit. 

376E339D-E5C1-4C24-A44E-B68B1D6DCA7F.gif

Radar might be under doing this a bit. I’m at about 300’ just west of Redmond and it’s snowing hard sticking on the roads. 

  • Like 3

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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  • Staff
3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Is the 6z euro showing snow? I only saw last nights run and it looked close but not far enough to get into pierce county. 

Definitely showing snow.   2+ inches in Tacoma. 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7196800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Definitely showing snow.   2+ inches in Tacoma. 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7196800.png

Woah, I hadn’t seen that. No wonder the hi-res models seem to be on board for tonight. Good timing too as it’ll be cold tomorrow and should stick around. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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  • Longtimer
16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z NAM is basically on board now.    Massive increase in snow for SW WA and Portland compared to previous runs.   I think the Tacoma area and all of Pierce County might get in on the action early tomorrow morning.

 

nam-218-all-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7196800 (2).png

PDX proper could get skunked  

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

PDX proper could get skunked  

Euro is really showing a major event down there. I trust that more than the hi-res models. I think this will be the best event since January 2017 there. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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Just now, Slushy Inch said:

Right? Someone in our area is going to get extra lucky.

Looks like another band is forming to the east behind it. Smells like an overperformance in areas just north of Seattle. Glad I’m here for it!

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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