PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like snow is really starting to accumulate over towards PDX and east of the Willamette River and north of HWY 26. So a large part of the PDX metro. 

[Phishy Wx]

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Prairiedog]

Radar shows a lot of blue over me and from Lebanon, Salem and north and east to Sandy including PDX  and Gresham but not doing anything here.  Temp is bouncing between 39-40.  Still getting a little southerly drift.  It's killing me.  I might moderate a degree or two being along the creek but still too warm yet for anything. 

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

How's the ICON?

[VancouverIslandSouth]

35 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

The best dynamics have trended north in the models over the past day or 2. It originally looked like the bullseye would be more Malahat to Nanaimo.  Now it’s more Ladysmith to Qualicum.  We’ll have to see what transpires here more south, late this afternoon and this evening, as a little more moisture lifts north and things possible destabilize a bit. 

I kind of figured this would happen, Nanaimo's a snow magnet. They've often get hit even in the dry blasts like Jan 2017 or Feb 2018. Hopefully some of that moisture can break through the outflow. Clouds are a bit thicker here now and I noticed a few small flakes making it to the surface. Looks like nearly 6" up at my parent's place in Nanoose 

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Makes me nauseous!! No dripping here thankfully! Temp is 33.1 degrees with a DP  of 28! Trees are still caked! The snow has evaporated from the roads it looks like though. 

Dewpoint is low here so not much is really melting off the ground.    And the shaded sides of the trees still perfectly caked in snow.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That band over PDX is pretty impressive. 

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

6 minutes ago, Doinko said:

How's the ICON?

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Uhhhh...

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That band over PDX is pretty impressive. 

 

Just on the edge here. Hope we can cool down a bit

[FroYoBro]

Been getting some snowflakes mixing back in with the rain over the last hour. Had a high of 38, but now down to 36. Still too much southerly breeze here, but hopefully that dies in the next couple of hours. 

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Uhhhh...

Why are we always focusing on the long range????

[ShawniganLake]

7 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

I kind of figured this would happen, Nanaimo's a snow magnet. They've often get hit even in the dry blasts like Jan 2017 or Feb 2018. Hopefully some of that moisture can break through the outflow. Clouds are a bit thicker here now and I noticed a few small flakes making it to the surface. Looks like nearly 6" up at my parent's place in Nanoose 

It’s starting to snow here now. And temps are dropping with an increasing NNE wind. Temps have dropped through the 30s.

 29.5F with a steady light blowing snow. 

[Perturbed Member]

[Requiem]

Seems like someone in Washington County will get nailed-- just the question of where that enhancement takes place and when.

[OysterPrintout]

Just did the drive home - wasn't TOO worried but better to not risk a Sylvan Hill Thunderdome if you don't have to. Was all chunky rain in washington county. Sylvan Hill was snowing pretty good. Downtown mostly slushy roads. Across the river and home now where there's a mix that is currently mostly snow. Grass starting to get covered.

[Timmy]

Hwy 30

[SnowySeeker50]

38 degrees and sunny.

[OysterPrintout]

Getting in range of GRAF 3k hourly runs for the real degenerates out there 

[Requiem]

Definitely some of the heaviest snow I've seen here since February 2019.

[TacomaWx]

Light snow reported at JBLM now. Precip hasn’t quite made it up to Tacoma yet…but during peak daytime heating probably better it holds off anyhow. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS shows an inch at PDX Sunday morning (low 40s by afternoon FYI), no real accumulations below 1000' south of PDX, though it shows 5" up here. Front moves through very quickly, and we are quickly into a cool airmass with clearing and lows into the 20s Sunday night. 

[OysterPrintout]

5 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Definitely some of the heaviest snow I've seen here since February 2019.

actual real snow here right now too

[Tor]

33.3 and loads of big fat flakes. Firs, cedars drooping from the heavy wet snow. 300', 15 miles NW of Portland off Hwy 30.

[SnarkyGoblin]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS shows an inch at PDX Sunday morning (low 40s by afternoon FYI), no real accumulations below 1000' south of PDX, though it shows 5" up here. Front moves through very quickly, and we are quickly into a cool airmass with clearing and lows into the 20s Sunday night. 

I couldn't be happier with that kind of forecast if I were in your location.

[SouthHillFrosty]

GFS looks good for this weekend 

[TacomaWx]

A regional blessing all the way down to southern CA. You can see the blue skies disappear in the central sound too as the band tries to creep north. Quite dynamic looking over NW OR. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Regional 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

A regional blessing all the way down to southern CA. You can see the blue skies disappear in the central sound too as the band tries to creep north. Quite dynamic looking over NW OR. 

What a BEAST.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Been snowing hard for the last hour or more. About 3.5-4” now depending on where you measure. Some of the best afternoon stickage I’ve ever seen this late in the season. Light east wind. Down to 32.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Been snowing hard for the last hour or more. About 3.5-4” now depending on where you measure. Some of the best afternoon stickage I’ve ever seen this late in the season. Light east wind. Down to 32.

Drop a photo?

[Doinko]

Stopped snowing. Still pretty mild

[Requiem]

7 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

actual real snow here right now too

We may finally break out of the grays and get some actual widespread blue accumulation if this keeps up

[OysterPrintout]

Safe to say 12z GRAF has busted pretty badly on daytime temps here. The 3k 12 hour one looks accurate. 18z up in a few minutes.

[GHweatherChris]

All the good banding of moisture is skirting around me currently, off and on light snow.  I think 1-2" here overnight is a safe bet with potential of 3-5".

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Drop a photo?

From the park by our place. Gorgeous out here.

[ShawniganLake]

11 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

GFS looks good for this weekend 

Olympic snow shadow and swamp gas areas clearly defined. 
 

light blowing snow here. 

[Cold Snap]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

From the park by our place. Gorgeous out here.

With how radar looks I wouldn’t be surprised if you almost doubled your total of what you have right now.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Snow is clearly moving up the southern puget sound. Would be curious to see how far it can make it up

[Cascadia_Wx]

Some real good stickage too despite the late October sun angles. Everything is flocked.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

From the park by our place. Gorgeous out here.

What is your elevation? 

[OysterPrintout]

Hot off the presses - temps correct this time 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

What is your elevation? 

300’

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Snow is clearly moving up the southern puget sound. Would be curious to see how far it can make it up

We may get echoes over Tacoma soon…but the models that do show accumulating snowfall indicate any meaningful precip rates would hold off until after dark. Really good scenario if it works out that way. 

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Some real good stickage too despite the late October sun angles. Everything is flocked.

Nice! Nothing here yet, still dry and 35 degrees

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

We may get echoes over Tacoma soon…but the models that do show accumulating snowfall indicate any meaningful precip rates would hold off until after dark. Really good scenario if it works out that way. 

Yea hopefully. I am just being greedy at this point lol. I don’t expect anything at my house tbh 

[Christensen87]

Teaser from Cliff Mass just now...

"And a major snow event may occur over western WA on Sunday.  But that will be discussed in another blog!"

[Doinko]

1" officially at PDX

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea hopefully. I am just being greedy at this point lol. I don’t expect anything at my house tbh 

I think 1/2”-1” is possible from Seattle south and a bit more towards Olympia. I’m thinking more like 1/2” IMBY realistically…but we will see. Odds definitely seem to drop off north of sea-tac. Radar looks promising for the south sound right now.