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PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


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2 minutes ago, BurienSnowGlobe said:

Any reports out of Federal Way/Des Moines/Kent? Any snow falling?

It’s been snowing at a pretty good rate a couple times but not staying consistent. Down to 33 now. 

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2023 warm season stats

Max temp-89

+80s-5

+85s-3

+90s-0

monthly rainfall-0.00”

warm season rainfall-4.42”

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25 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, pretty light here so far. About 2" still on the grass but wet asphalt remains. Took a drive around and it's a different world closer to the river, even DT Vancouver has significantly more coverage on the pavement.

SR 14 is a sh*t show.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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8 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

I have a feeling the south sound is going to over perform tonight. Central sound though we will have to wait and see.

I agree.  The Central Sound has some dry air to deal with.  The ECMWF insists it will snow pretty soon though.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, dhoffine said:

Good old cold east wind is blowing out here in Enumclaw, very cold, and no moisture, of course :)

I'm thinking you sitting pretty for the weekend event.  It all evens out.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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A part of the band over the Puget Sound has made its way inland over the Edmonds area and is expanding a bit. Good to see that it’s not getting shredded apart at least.

5E02BCE9-D9A0-49B0-AF2F-76F772647E61.thumb.png.1dc8bd78e799f03c375a725b325f2fae.png

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Everett (180’ elevation) Snowfall (2022-2023)

11/29: 4”

12/2: 0.5”

12/18: Tr.

12/19: 0.5”

12/20: 2”

1/31: Tr.

2/22: 0.5”

2/26: 0.25”

2/28: 1.25”

Total: 9”

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Is that from this event?  Very pretty!

I see you use 1930 like I use 1950....

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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1 minute ago, MillCreekMike said:

A part of the band over the Puget Sound has made its way inland over the Edmonds area and is expanding a bit. Good to see that it’s not getting shredded apart at least.

5E02BCE9-D9A0-49B0-AF2F-76F772647E61.thumb.png.1dc8bd78e799f03c375a725b325f2fae.png

Yep, decent little shower here. I'm on my in laws back deck grilling some tri tip in the snow 😀

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Home Weather Station Stats (starting Dec. 25 2021)

High - 90.7 (some data missing)

Lowest High - 23.6

Low - 15.6

Sub 40 highs - 13

Sub-freezing highs - 5

Lows below 25 - 6

Lows below 20 - 1

2021-2022 Snowfall - 10.9''

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19 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

On satellite it looks like the low is still shifting a bit more north, not sure if I'm getting fooled or not. 

That could be the reason the South Sound is getting snow and the models changed on the 18z.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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Down into the 31s here now.  ECMWF shows this wind will be blowing at around 22 degrees late tonight.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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37 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

00z HRRR gets the band out of here in a hurry after sunset. Goes for 0-2 inches in the west metro. Strong totals downtown and north. Looking at the radar and the bigger picture, I doubt it will play out like this. 

snku_acc-imp.us_state_or.png

Hrrr has performed like garbage don't sweat it

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It looks like the best chance for places in the central and south valley start between midnight - 2am for Eugene, 4-6am for Salem to Wilsonville. That band may also lift through the metro area during mid morning and eventually disintegrate as the low picks up speed moving south. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Radar has started to look pretty good in the South Sound especially over the last few frames

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Everett (180’ elevation) Snowfall (2022-2023)

11/29: 4”

12/2: 0.5”

12/18: Tr.

12/19: 0.5”

12/20: 2”

1/31: Tr.

2/22: 0.5”

2/26: 0.25”

2/28: 1.25”

Total: 9”

 

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I hesitate to even call it a flurry on the east shore of Lake Tapps.  Temp down to 33, but surprised by the lack of precip falling considering the radar and pictures of places literally in all directions from me.

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East Shore of Lake Tapps

Bonney Lake, WA

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Looks like some juicier stuff is getting into southeast King County now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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1 minute ago, MillCreekMike said:

You’ve gotta imagine this should fill in somehow..

9BF10665-33FC-405C-AA71-28F961D47169.thumb.jpeg.66b8e47f6753f92968b88333d153acda.jpeg

That’s what I’m hoping! It seems like it would because it’s filling up in the north sound where the dry Fraser outflow is.

2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 4

Number of 85+ days - 3

Number of 90+ days - 1

Number of 95+ days - 0

 

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And there is the kiss of death, just updated with the WWA...

 

Tonight
Snow showers likely, mainly between 7pm and 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Wind chill values between 16 and 21. East northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
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3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Dumping snow and 29 degrees with a nice breeze, 1/2 already.

This will actually be quality snow for you.  I know that isn't the case with a lot of the snow you get.  Going to be a great late season event when all is said and done.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

February 22nd is a popular day for snow! 

0ACB4DF2-6E70-424A-B934-C3A1A753DB29.jpeg

7A1DB5DA-2892-4E7D-9ED6-BF595967A932.jpeg

E3C4A8F2-F914-4E8D-A1FA-BBDEEB79E17F.jpeg

115E216E-B3DA-4BB6-BE5D-C555B0003E70.jpeg

9FB21186-C2AE-4B9A-B0E5-5AC6EF64DEA1.jpeg

Weird.  Historically late February used to be kind of a snow hole in the records.  That is being made up for big time.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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Absolute mess out there-- traffic gridlocked, cars abandoned, crashes, etc. Glad to not be out there atm. Still dumping snow.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

And there is the kiss of death, just updated with the WWA...

 

Tonight
Snow showers likely, mainly between 7pm and 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Wind chill values between 16 and 21. East northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

At least it is still shorts weather!!

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Hello,

Need some quick advice. My daughter is in Portland for work (just finished) and is wondering if it's safe for her to drive home to Lynnwood. She said snow is sticking to the streets. She's wondering if she should overnight in Portland and head back tomorrow, or make a break for it right now. Your thoughts?

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Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Looking at the news from PDX, looked like lots of people got caught by the snow and are now stuck in traffic trying to get home. A predictable consequence of failing to issue a warning despite the model guidance that something significant was highly likely.

You could see it coming from a mile away.  I was pretty mystified last night.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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Just now, TeacherLori said:

Hello,

Need some quick advice. My daughter is in Portland for work (just finished) and is wondering if it's safe for her to drive home to Lynnwood. She said snow is sticking to the streets. She's wondering if she should overnight in Portland and head back tomorrow, or make a break for it right now. Your thoughts?

Stay put!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 72

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Looking at the news from PDX, looked like lots of people got caught by the snow and are now stuck in traffic trying to get home. A predictable consequence of failing to issue a warning despite the model guidance that something significant was highly likely.

January 2017 repeat?

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