PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[dhoffine]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm thinking you sitting pretty for the weekend event.  It all evens out.

That would be just fine by me, no work, means more play

[snow_wizard]

Down into the 31s here now.  ECMWF shows this wind will be blowing at around 22 degrees late tonight.

[Snownerd3000]

37 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

00z HRRR gets the band out of here in a hurry after sunset. Goes for 0-2 inches in the west metro. Strong totals downtown and north. Looking at the radar and the bigger picture, I doubt it will play out like this. 

Hrrr has performed like garbage don't sweat it

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It looks like the best chance for places in the central and south valley start between midnight - 2am for Eugene, 4-6am for Salem to Wilsonville. That band may also lift through the metro area during mid morning and eventually disintegrate as the low picks up speed moving south. 

[MillCreekMike]

Radar has started to look pretty good in the South Sound especially over the last few frames

[OysterPrintout]

Radar looking like the trailing edge is at Salem? Who knows what overnight holds but the euro says not so much. 

[Ellsworb]

I hesitate to even call it a flurry on the east shore of Lake Tapps.  Temp down to 33, but surprised by the lack of precip falling considering the radar and pictures of places literally in all directions from me.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Filling in nicely!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Dumping snow and 29 degrees with a nice breeze, 1/2 already.

[thisisacreativename]

Still ~60 percent humidity here, might take awhile to reach the surface.

[Snownerd3000]

Don't like this. Right on the edge of the PS hole.

[jakerepp]

My kind of paradise

[The Blob]

I decided going to work wasn't worth it.

[MillCreekMike]

You’ve gotta imagine this should fill in somehow..

[snow_wizard]

Looks like some juicier stuff is getting into southeast King County now.

[MossMan]

February 22nd is a popular day for snow! 

[BurienSnowGlobe]

Definitely looks like it finally pushed further north on radar after stalling out around federal way for a while

[Hour364Please]

4 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

Radar has started to look pretty good in the South Sound especially over the last few frames

It's pretty much stopped snowing in the Puyallup valley.  I hope you are right.

[Cold Snap]

1 minute ago, MillCreekMike said:

You’ve gotta imagine this should fill in somehow..

That’s what I’m hoping! It seems like it would because it’s filling up in the north sound where the dry Fraser outflow is.

[SunAndSnow]

Big north/south gradient in PDX metro. Friends near the airport and NWS station have 5”, my parents in SE have 3” and I’ve got 1” in Oak Grove. Only 10 miles between the 3.

[GHweatherChris]

And there is the kiss of death, just updated with the WWA...

 

Tonight

Snow showers likely, mainly between 7pm and 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Wind chill values between 16 and 21. East northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Dumping snow and 29 degrees with a nice breeze, 1/2 already.

This will actually be quality snow for you.  I know that isn't the case with a lot of the snow you get.  Going to be a great late season event when all is said and done.

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, Hour364Please said:

It's pretty much stopped snowing in the Puyallup valley.  I hope you are right.

Snow has stopped here also 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Looking at the news from PDX, looked like lots of people got caught by the snow and are now stuck in traffic trying to get home. A predictable consequence of failing to issue a warning despite the model guidance that something significant was highly likely.

[GHweatherChris]

Radar does look to be enhancing again in this neck of the woods, my predicted dusting may start to commence soon.....

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

February 22nd is a popular day for snow! 

Weird.  Historically late February used to be kind of a snow hole in the records.  That is being made up for big time.

[Requiem]

Absolute mess out there-- traffic gridlocked, cars abandoned, crashes, etc. Glad to not be out there atm. Still dumping snow.

[GHweatherChris]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

And there is the kiss of death, just updated with the WWA...

 

Tonight

Snow showers likely, mainly between 7pm and 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Wind chill values between 16 and 21. East northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

At least it is still shorts weather!!

[TeacherLori]

Hello,

Need some quick advice. My daughter is in Portland for work (just finished) and is wondering if it's safe for her to drive home to Lynnwood. She said snow is sticking to the streets. She's wondering if she should overnight in Portland and head back tomorrow, or make a break for it right now. Your thoughts?

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Looking at the news from PDX, looked like lots of people got caught by the snow and are now stuck in traffic trying to get home. A predictable consequence of failing to issue a warning despite the model guidance that something significant was highly likely.

You could see it coming from a mile away.  I was pretty mystified last night.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, TeacherLori said:

Hello,

Need some quick advice. My daughter is in Portland for work (just finished) and is wondering if it's safe for her to drive home to Lynnwood. She said snow is sticking to the streets. She's wondering if she should overnight in Portland and head back tomorrow, or make a break for it right now. Your thoughts?

Stay put!

[The Blob]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Looking at the news from PDX, looked like lots of people got caught by the snow and are now stuck in traffic trying to get home. A predictable consequence of failing to issue a warning despite the model guidance that something significant was highly likely.

January 2017 repeat?

[bainbridgekid]

Snowing and sticking in Edmonds now. Good sign about the Northward progress.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Every freeway is closed……? Wow

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I’m seeing reports of 9” in Gresham. 

[Hour364Please]

Just now, TeacherLori said:

Hello,

Need some quick advice. My daughter is in Portland for work (just finished) and is wondering if it's safe for her to drive home to Lynnwood. She said snow is sticking to the streets. She's wondering if she should overnight in Portland and head back tomorrow, or make a break for it right now. Your thoughts?

Head to Motel 6.  They will leave the light on.

She can start out on her trek tomorrow in the daylight.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just dumping!!! Fuckkk these models I knew it would snow here with a low of 998mb spinning around Astoria.  In all the years I have never seen a low of that strength in that area not bring measurable snow to Puget sound. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

14 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

That could be the reason the South Sound is getting snow and the models changed on the 18z.

It snowed down here today Jim.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I really don’t understand how people can’t drive in the snow. It’s really not that difficult. Always cracks me up. 

[Requiem]

2 minutes ago, TeacherLori said:

Hello,

Need some quick advice. My daughter is in Portland for work (just finished) and is wondering if it's safe for her to drive home to Lynnwood. She said snow is sticking to the streets. She's wondering if she should overnight in Portland and head back tomorrow, or make a break for it right now. Your thoughts?

It's a nightmare out there, I'd highly suggest she stays in PDX for the time being.

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I really don’t understand how people can’t drive in the snow. It’s really not that difficult. Always cracks me up. 

Gotta worry about other people though is the problem 

[Dillymill217]

South hill near graham, have picked up  about an inch and a half or so

[Doinko]

Snowing pretty heavily, and the east wind is blowing the snow all around. Wonder if we'll reach a few inches or so

[bishbish777]

It'll be interesting to see if anything can make it to Seattle proper. A couple inches tonight would be so cool.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

Gotta worry about other people though is the problem 

True. Sometimes up here I’ll get behind people creeping down the hill at 15 mph. Have to downshift or ride the brakes all the way. 

[thisisacreativename]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

True. Sometimes up here I’ll get behind people creeping down the hill at 15 mph. Have to downshift or ride the brakes all the way. 

Had to help shovel out a guy that hit his brakes going up a hill a few years ago.

[Perturbed Member]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Looking at the news from PDX, looked like lots of people got caught by the snow and are now stuck in traffic trying to get home. A predictable consequence of failing to issue a warning despite the model guidance that something significant was highly likely.

Just inexplicable that the PDX NWS didn't issue anything at all last night just because the NBM and SREF showed nothing even when every other model not named the NAM or WRF indicated that something major was on the way around here.

[Hour364Please]

Just now, bishbish777 said:

It'll be interesting to see if anything can make it to Seattle proper. A couple inches tonight would be so cool.

Just looking at the radar everything headed north is just getting shredded about Kent.

I mean shredded apart.  There is a lot of dry cold air just eating away at the moisture.

[Front Ranger]

February these days.

[OysterPrintout]

7 minutes ago, The Blob said:

January 2017 repeat?

Just 7 inches and thundersnow short!