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PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


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3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Radar doesn't look great right now, I think 3-4" will be what we end up with. Nice but kind of disappointing compared to the massive snowstorm east metro

There was an intense deformation band sitting over PDX, east metro and southern Clark county for more than 8 hours. Always tough to predict where those will set up and certainly going to be hard to top that. 

I can understand the disappointment though. 

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5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Best hope is for the southern activity to rotate up the westside, probably in the early morning. Window looks like it maybe extends to 7-8am before the low is finally out of the picture.

Looks like east metro wins again, but at least this winter isn't going to be completely snowless. Pretty amazing event

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  • Longtimer
4 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

Sorta? Jan 2017 had some winners and losers but a LOT more winners.

Image

True, I was thinking that and more widespread. Though we don’t know what will happen over the next 8-12 hours. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The snow is coming down in parts the Lower Mainland but it isn't sticking to the roads.  Abbotsford, Vancouver, Langley, the roads are all bare or just wet.

image.jpeg.cc121773b844a8f2a93e3bc4f712ac00.jpeg

image.jpeg.445b3b1d87db2ee0e25e3d42490acdcb.jpeg

The real snow fall is on Vancouver Island, and in a localized region.  Victoria is seeing a dusting.

image.jpeg.e689f7f2931a82adc7e6b25e4a7e53cb.jpeg

While other more rural areas are seeing the snow come down and begin to consume the roads such as the camera below south of Naniamo.

image.jpeg.260b67f1b650bb6492d5a59c9f61feb3.jpeg

Or check out the snow-crews working on Shawnigan Lake Road. ;)

image.jpeg.0e92a4ca1f1332725db1bedc62832822.jpeg

Further north towards Campbell River, the snow is coming down, but the roads seem bare or wet.

image.jpeg.c601a5fbc1d8f2ea5210a585ac33c9d0.jpeg

It's a snowy time on Vancouver Island!! 

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3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Radar doesn't look great right now, I think 3-4" will be what we end up with. Nice but kind of disappointing compared to the massive snowstorm east metro

S. Metro curse continues! I’ve got barely .5 inch in Gladstone/OC. Perspective is everything.  Your three inches seems “massive” to me.  Maybe I should rephrase that. 

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, The Blob said:

Big score for me!

20230222_213555.jpg

That’s awesome! 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Looks like east metro wins again, but at least this winter isn't going to be completely snowless. Pretty amazing event

Given the models it was a total reverse. I was completely prepared for 2" while you all got hammered. No model got this right. Hoping against hope for some overnight magic there. 

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10 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

I think you are going to get more than that 1/2” tonight based on radar. Hoping you do well!

We will see, temps down to 30…but just not getting sustained precip. We’ve slowly been getting more flakes but just enough to barely coat the beauty bark and elevated surfaces. I’m sure eventually some precip will break through and we manage 1/2” or so. Maybe more if we’re lucky. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-14

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-42

Total snowfall-7.6”

Monthly rainfall-2.38”

Wet season rainfall-20.77”

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Some nice enhancement south of Tacoma right now on the radar.

Looks good! Hopefully it can make it up to me. I have had snow overhead for five  hours that has equaled 5 snowflakes!

485B7B07-FFF7-402E-AD96-83786267909C.png

Edited by SouthHillFrosty
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  • Longtimer

Radar starting to blossom over the south valley. Next band is forming. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said:

A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.

IMG_3371.JPG

Just need some Xmas lights to top it off

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Genuinely grinning like an idiot at all the OR-flavored joy here right now. So awesome! Y'all deserve it! 🥰

It's definitely sticking here, now. We've had constant, light snow for the last several hours and I think we probably just passed 1/2 inch on gravel and cars, though not sticking to the concrete patio/streets that I can tell. 

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  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, kokaneekidz said:

Just need some Xmas lights to top it off

Yes! One of the reasons why I keep mine up until the end of February! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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8 minutes ago, SunAndSnow said:

The 26 cameras on the west side before the tunnel are so bad. So many abandoned cars, bumper to bumper traffic. NWS/local mets did a disservice not saying anything until it was too late today. 

Yeah... quite a mess.

26Jefferson_pid525.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer

One of my coworkers had to fly to Boise for a quick meeting, but unfortunately is not gonna be making it back tonight… 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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  • Staff
1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said:

A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.

IMG_3371.JPG

I missed this in all the pages since I last logged in until it was just quoted... WOW!    

Really happy for you Rob... looks insane! 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just one round of cold after another on the GFS tonight.  Looks like a very long run of chilly to cold weather coming up.  Looking further out PNA, EPO, and NAO are all minus well into March.  Things will probably be a bit on the continental side.  Oh darn!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I missed this in all the pages since I last logged in until it was just quoted... WOW!    

Really happy for you Rob... looks insane! 

Really nice looking snowstorm alright!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

More impressive air mass this time, especially given how much deeper into February this one's happening.

For sure.  1995 was a two day wonder.  This is way more.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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  • Longtimer
2 minutes ago, Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone said:

Radar finally filling in over my house last 20minutes or so. Snow sticking to everything hope for multiple hour dump! Congrats Portland folks what a day!!

Where do you live in relation to the town of Dallas proper?

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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No snow here, but windy and cold.  Down to 28.8 now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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  • Longtimer

I think we have to start talking about where our November-February averages are going to end up. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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  • Longtimer
2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Just one round of cold after another on the GFS tonight.  Looks like a very long run of chilly to cold weather coming up.  Looking further out PNA, EPO, and NAO are all minus well into March.  Things will probably be a bit on the continental side.  Oh darn!

For some reason I thought Tim wrote this and I was about to be SHOCKED about the last line, lol! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer

Looks like 6-8” here so far. Just drove home from Hillsboro.  Had to go over skyline cause roads were closed. Went by my old house there was over a foot on the road up there.  Saw a completely burned Subaru in the middle of the road.

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2 minutes ago, Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone said:

North side of town. Next to Perrydale road. 

Do you get more snow than town or about the same? 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 70.5"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Down to just flurries here now. About 2.3 inches. Radar looks like it might be wrapping up here. 

This performance in isolation is absolutely great, cold east wind and winter wonderland outside. I guess I bought too much into all those pepto maps focused on the west side since this somehow feels a bit disappointing. 

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Don't think I've ever seen an ensemble mean where 850s are below -5 for the entire run this late in the season.  Normal is nowhere in sight right now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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  • Longtimer
4 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Looks like 6-8” here so far. Just drove home from Hillsboro.  Had to go over skyline cause roads were closed. Went by my old house there was over a foot on the road up there.  Saw a completely burned Subaru in the middle of the road.

Absolutely crazy wind and snow drifts. I miss it up there.

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15 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Gefs looks amazing 

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom-1677110400-1677110400-1678125600-20.gif

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-1677110400-1677110400-1678125600-20.gif

Just an amazing pattern.  We could easily be looking at the coldest Nov - Mar average in a very long time this season.  nice to see some sustained cold finally happen.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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