PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

Really good point. 

Thanks!   

But then its back to much colder air by late in the week.   

[Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone]

Mid WV radar image is nice looking. Curled fist punch look right into Dallas, Monmouth, Salem, Albany areas. 

[Perturbed Member]

4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Really good point. 

How are things in your area? Hopefully this band that is rotating from the south can hit you guys in the S/SW metro.

[TT-SEA]

And then some more lowland snow late in the week as well.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Salem gusting from the south at 25 mph, Aurora has now flipped to NE winds… 

Edited February 23 by SilverFallsAndrew

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF still shows significant snow on the ground around Portland and SW WA at the end of next week.

[RCola]

00z definitely more encouraging for the weekend snow in Seattle. Not sold yet because of how burned we've been this year, but this was a good run. Curious to see what the EPS says for the next 7-10 days. If it's anything like the operational and/or the GEFS, it should be a good run with snow chances. 

[TT-SEA]

I think that band of snow curling in from the west down south might make it to the SW side of Portland.

Also significant enhancement on the radar from Tacoma to Olympia and around the Kitsap Peninsula right now.    When you run the UW radar loop it looks like the energy from the old Portland deformation band has translated north.

[Cold Snap]

58 minutes ago, JW8 said:

Blazers did not get a heads up

Didn’t something similar happen to them during 1/10/17 I remember their flight go redirected onto SEA because of that snow storm.

[Snownerd3000]

 

 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, RCola said:

00z definitely more encouraging for the weekend snow in Seattle. Not sold yet because of how burned we've been this year, but this was a good run. Curious to see what the EPS says for the next 7-10 days. If it's anything like the operational and/or the GEFS, it should be a good run with snow chances. 

Based on the ECMWF... there are lowland snow chances on about 6 of the next 10 days.  

[Gradient Keeper]

Heck of a Euro run. What an outstanding pattern overall. I would not be surprised if both troughs trend colder too.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF shows troughing across most of the CONUS by the end of the run.

[Dave]

Even Coburg appears to have sticking snow. As of now, it looks like the only place in the WV to get skunked is Eug/Springfield. I haven't given up hope yet though.

[Gradient Keeper]

Radar is BLOWING up in the WV. This may lift north into PDX later too.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Dave said:

Even Coburg appears to have sticking snow. As of now, it looks like the only place in the WV to get skunked is Eug/Springfield. I haven't given up hope yet though.

It s hard to tell, but it looks like this band has set up just north of Eugene. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Radar is BLOWING up in the WV. This may lift north into PDX later too.

West and South salem are getting hammered right now per cams. 

[Cold Snap]

57 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Actually closer than I thought... snow does start in the Seattle area between 8-9 p.m. on Saturday.   

Nice! Though I’m hoping this isn't the start of a trend to bring that storm in earlier. It would be a bummer for my flight to get canceled or redirected so then I miss out on the Sunday snow. Especially since it looks better for the Puget sound region.

[TT-SEA]

Impressively snowy in the Puyallup swamp right now!    That area seems to be right where the moist air is hitting the dry outflow.   To the north of there it looks dry.    Also snowing pretty good around Tacoma.

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  The ECMWF shows 10 inches of snow for SEA over the next 10 days.  Besides that it spits out a 38/22 next Tuesday.  That's new!

If I had to choose an analog to this it would be late Feb / early March 1971.  A lot of comparisons regionwide.

[Kolk1604]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Impressively snowy in the Puyallup swamp right now!    That area seems to be right where the moist air is hitting the dry outflow.   To the north of there it looks dry.    Also snowing pretty good around Tacoma.

Was just going to say that. I'm surprised it's snowing with a dew point of 12. Figured it would be too dry 

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Impressively snowy in the Puyallup swamp right now!    That area seems to be right where the moist air is hitting the dry outflow.   To the north of there it looks dry.    Also snowing pretty good around Tacoma.

The ECMWF has been showing some situations early next week like this but with much weaker outflow and further north.  I'm going to be watching that one!  With such cold air in place over Central WA easterly seepage could work wonders for outflow areas.

[snow_wizard]

There's one stronger batch of moisture working it's way further north.  Might get interesting for more places later.

[Doinko]

PDX could put out some ridiculous numbers the next two days

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The ECMWF has been showing some situations early next week like this but with much weaker outflow and further north.  I'm going to be watching that one!  With such cold air in place over Central WA easterly seepage could work wonders for outflow areas.

Yeah... less cold air aloft and weaker outflow might end up being much more snowy.

[snow_wizard]

27.9 now.  Brrrrr.

[SnowySeeker50]

Looks like a stronger band is inbound. The question is weather it can beat the dry air. Currently 29 degrees dp 8.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like Salem is getting some pretty heavy snow right now. Sticking to the streets all parts of the city per cams. 

[Doinko]

Looks like we're a bit too far east for those small bands in the west metro.

[Kolk1604]

As Jim mentioned, the 00z EMCWF is pretty nuts with snow totals. 

I don't have premium, don't judge me 

[Dave]

Sticking snow near Florence. Still dickk sandwich here. I'm gonna need some weenies here soon.

 

[SnowySeeker50]

After 5 hours of no snowflakes, can see a flurry starting to fall despite the dry air. The gap winds also picked up at the same time.

[Perturbed Member]

Back to moderate-ish snow here. I think this enhancing area and that band curling out of Salem should consolidate over the SW and west metro. @Doinko should be getting hit again soon.

[BLI snowman]

Happy to see Salem scoring. Been a tough stretch for them.

[RCola]

34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Based on the ECMWF... there are lowland snow chances on about 6 of the next 10 days.  

Hope one of those chances gives us a couple inches. Looking forward to future runs.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

Back to moderate-ish snow here. I think this enhancing area and that band curling out of Salem should consolidate over the SW and west metro. @Doinko should be getting hit again soon.

Just went out for a walk. Very windy and cold. Hoping for a couple more inches maybe

[Gradient Keeper]

25.7 gusty east wind

[TT-SEA]

Dewpoint of 8 at SEA... but still 27 at OLM.    

[Doinko]

The winter of 2022-2023 will be the snowiest winter since 2008/2009 at the PQR office with at least 12". Here there were a lot more that were snowier though.

[Perturbed Member]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Just went out for a walk. Very windy and cold. Hoping for a couple more inches maybe

Seems possible if that band can come up here. Its dumping in SLE and accumulating really fast. 

I hope it also spreads into SW PDX to hit those people that got pretty much completely missed so far too.

[TT-SEA]

OLM has reported light snow every hour since 11 a.m.

[Deweydog]

Coast getting some love!

 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

Seems possible if that band can come up here. Its dumping in SLE and accumulating really fast. 

I hope it also spreads into SW PDX to hit those people that got pretty much completely missed so far too.

Also a bit colder here than Salem, so if we could get those rates then that would be amazing. Hoping it can stall around the SW metro area too, I really feel bad for that area.

Seems like an okay chance PDX could manage a subfreezing high tomorrow if everything goes well and then maybe drop into the teens with their huge snowpack.

[Perturbed Member]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Also a bit colder here than Salem, so if we could get those rates then that would be amazing. Hoping it can stall around the SW metro area too, I really feel bad for that area.

Seems like an okay chance PDX could manage a subfreezing high tomorrow if everything goes well and then maybe drop into the teens with their huge snowpack.

Radar is clearly enhancing over us now. Snow falling there again? Should be soon if it isn't already.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

Radar is clearly enhancing over us now. Snow falling there again? Should be soon if it isn't already.

Very lightly at the moment

[Blizzard777]

31* snowing Federal Way…dusting so far

Heading to the Knoxville airport now for my return trip home ️ 

[Blizzard777]

Great to see PDX Score!!!! 

[Perturbed Member]

@FroYoBro in Tigard probably about to get some heavy snow soon. Looks like that band is gonna hit that SW PDX area.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Blizzard777 said:

31* snowing Federal away…dusting so far

Heading to the Knoxville airport now for my return trip home ️ 

That's a big boat parked on your street!

[Doinko]

Just now, Perturbed Member said:

@FroYoBro in Tigard probably about to get some heavy snow soon. Looks like that band is gonna hit that SW PDX area.

Doesn't look like it's weakening at all yet