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PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


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9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This is starting to feel like a bust tonight here. Looking like some rain shadow for a bit at least. Not even a flurry yet here. Or it's just running behind on timing

I'm thinking you'll get 6 to 10 inches tonight. Bet it will be snowing hard by midnight.

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Started snowing here, and interestingly enough, the temp has jumped up to 35 (it was sitting at 33).  Light flurries at this point.

Yeah I’m up to 36 now! I was at 32 a bit ago. Nothing falling yet. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

For those who want to watch the weather in Bellingham in real time... these are great high quality streaming cameras.  

https://www.barkleyvillage.com/web-cams

Wow looks like a heavy shower towards Yew St Hill in the 2nd camera

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Tuesday is looking really good.  The GFS is a tad south of previous runs with the low track and it continues to show snow falling early in the day temps below freezing.  850s plunge to -9 Tuesday night.  Wednesday morning is going to be straight up wintry!

Tonight is just going to come down to how much precip actually verifies.  I think an overperformance is quite possible, but the dry air will certainly eat up some moisture early in the game.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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2 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Wow looks like a heavy shower towards Yew St Hill in the 2nd camera

The quality of those cams is amazing.  Love seeing it starting as snow.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

 

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7434400.png

Really not good. Guess I can sleep well tonight though not having to worry about it. A grey nothing burger! 

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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32 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

If this next storm comes through as modeled I think we will see snow depths in town that havent been seen since 1968-1969. wild 

 

 

This is pretty much the best developing story of this winter. From Dec up through now... A genuine drought-buster of a wet season for a region that has been crippled in the last several years. This is about the best case scenario.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Really not good. 

You might get shadowed off of the Olympics with this one.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

The quality of those cams is amazing.  Love seeing it starting as snow.

Really amazing quality. 

My parents live within walking distance of that location so its really nice for me to check on what is happening there.   My mother never knows how to view them but she will call me during winter weather and ask me how the roads are at Barkley and I can give her a fairly precise answer thanks to those cameras.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Been pulling back severely on the south sound with each run

That is a bit overstated.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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  • Longtimer
Just now, TacomaWx said:

Some hardcore pre snow event weenism tonight 😂

It’s over. Maybe next year. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Not good. 

I’m sure one of us will score on some convergence zone over the next few days. Hopefully it’s both of us and not just one of us 😂

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Everett (180’ elevation) Snowfall (2022-2023)

11/29: 4”

12/2: 0.5”

12/18: Tr.

12/19: 0.5”

12/20: 2”

1/31: Tr.

2/22: 0.5”

2/26: 0.25”

2/28: 1.25”

Total: 9”

 

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1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Some hardcore pre snow event weenism tonight 😂

Yup.

I think everyone will be happy with the next 3 or 4 days.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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  • Longtimer

Interesting, I was expecting my DP to be up from my last check at 27…It’s down to 23 with the temp spike to 37…Odd! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Definitely some uncertainty regarding tomorrow night.  The ECMWF keeps wanting to put some snow over parts of King County, but the GFS doesn't show it.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 9.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 71

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 4

Highs 40 or below = 22

 

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