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September 2018 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Apparently my eyes are still working ok. Motion was more northerly thus clipping the far west side of Calhoun county and sparing Marshall. I'm ok with that. No shortage of rain here the past month including yesterday starting Sept off right. 

 

@ Tom

 

How's yby doing for moisture? Still dry over there? At one point you mentioned cracking ground at your place.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement

National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI

537 PM EDT MON SEP 3 2018

 

MIZ066-073-032230-

Calhoun MI-Eaton MI-

537 PM EDT MON SEP 3 2018

 

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

 

At 536 PM EDT, emergency management reported a strong thunderstorm

near Olivet, or 8 miles north of Marshall, moving east at 30 mph.

 

This storm has a history of producing tree damage in western Calhoun

County. Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph with downed

tree limbs will be possible with this storm.

 

Locations impacted include...

Lansing... Charlotte... Albion...

Marshall...

 

This strong cell passed just to my NW, but we'll get clipped by some residual showers. Remains to be seen if that stuff popping down in N IN around S. Bend makes it up here or not?

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Tornado spotted nw of Cedar Rapids, has been good, tight rotation on radar.

 

Man you Iowa guys have been action city over there. Meanwhile, hurricane warnings posted for Mississippi coast

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Apparently my eyes are still working ok. Motion was more northerly thus clipping the far west side of Calhoun county and sparing Marshall. I'm ok with that. No shortage of rain here the past month including yesterday starting Sept off right.

 

@ Tom

 

How's yby doing for moisture? Still dry over there? At one point you mentioned cracking ground at your place.

Cracks are long gone amigo. The ground is crazy moist now. Reminds me of how it looked back in May/June during the wetter periods.

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WOW....just WOW. Plentiful rainfall w some loud thunder and lightning. I am pretty sure my area received over an inch. Easily! Thank goodness I decided to just relax today and stay indoors and catch up on some paperwork. It was a busy weekend.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Dumped out another 0.55" from last night and today. That would be 2.44" event total so far. 
Just started downpouring. Radar is looking good for me heading into the evening as the boundary is starting to lift back north.
Tornado Watch and warning eastcentral IA. Its active! Gonna be very interesting to see how Gordon plays out.

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WOW....just WOW. Plentiful rainfall w some loud thunder and lightning. I am pretty sure my area received over an inch. Easily! Thank goodness I decided to just relax today and stay indoors and catch up on some paperwork. It was a busy weekend.

 

Nice! That stronger SWS cell earlier was the real-deal T-storm. Could hear non-stop rumbling as it passed just 2-3 miles to my west. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Storms keep moving up from the south. Third rain of the day with more the next 2 days. Completely saturated here but not officially in flood watch, 1 county away. Somehow the corn is ready to harvest for many. Been a long time since we saw the sun. We need some dry and windy days. Can’t believe I just typed that. Ha.

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It's absolutely unreal how often these strong cells have moved in CR only on the nw side, with my house on the southern edge.  It must be a 90+% rate.  There's a weather station only a half mile to my nw.  That station has received more rain than me every single event this summer, except one about a week ago.  That's how crazy this is.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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It's absolutely unreal how often these strong cells have moved in CR only on the nw side, with my house on the southern edge.  It must be a 90+% rate.  There's a weather station only a half mile to my nw.  That station has received more rain than me every single event this summer, except one about a week ago.  That's how crazy this is.

Are you seeing any heavy downpours yet? Storm is getting close to NE side now.

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You've got to be kidding me.  This red cell just totally whiffed me by a half mile.  I'm getting nothing.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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A couple stations on the nw/n side of CR and Hiawatha received 1.5-1.8 inches in 30 minutes.  Many stations on that side of the city are now over 4 inches for the day, compared to 1.5-1.85 on my side and just south.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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A couple stations on the nw/n side of CR and Hiawatha received 1.5-1.8 inches in 30 minutes.  Many stations on that side of the city are now over 4 inches for the day, compared to 1.5-1.85 on my side and just south.

I got 0.79 inches from this storm. That brings my total so far to 4.73 inches since Saturday. 

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There may have been a possible tornado just to the SW of my area. There are trees down on the NW side of CR and 1,900 people lost power. I did see some gusty winds, but they didn't seem to be higher than 30mph.

 

Yeah, I saw that on the KCRG news.  The damage is less than a mile from my house.  I'd certainly rather miss the heavy rain if it comes with damage.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I guess my criticism worked cuz we're back under the Flash Flood Watch. Training band of heavy rain setting up over here now. Someone's gonna end up with a warning before the night is over and it may be us. The ground is saturated all over Southeast Nebraska thanks to heavy rain the past couple nights.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Chicago broke a daily rainfall record during yesterday's deluge of tropical downpours.  These storms packed a punch when they rolled through and delivered some incredible rainfall rates.  For example, the town of Somonauk received 1" in 9 min!

 

feature09042018.jpg?quality=85&strip=all

 

 

 

DmNtMktXcAA9OZE.jpg

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Nice rainfall yesterday IMBY, w amounts exceeding 1"+. Currently, muggy and warm w hazy sunshine as temps begin to rise into the upper 80s to near 90, if not better.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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We got dumped on in Southwest Omaha last night, it was a very noisy late night around here with several rounds of thunderstorms between midnight and 6am this morning. Even had a Flash Flood Warning for the county I live in (Sarpy County).

 

Picked up 2.45 inches of rain in my rain gauge from this latest round... so far sitting at just over 3.5 inches total for this event going back to Saturday morning, and it looks like plenty more to come.

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Gordon expected to become a Hurricane (CAT1) and target the northern Gulf Coast area. Also, another storm to follow down the road will be Florence. Tropics are getting a little active.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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I guess my criticism worked cuz we're back under the Flash Flood Watch. Training band of heavy rain setting up over here now. Someone's gonna end up with a warning before the night is over and it may be us. The ground is saturated all over Southeast Nebraska thanks to heavy rain the past couple nights.

It was us. It's expired now, but we were placed under a warning this morning. Apparently there's still some areas of high water around Lincoln. Steady moderate rain continues.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Yeah I noticed that yesterday. Euro and GFS are agreeing. So much for the big cooldown.

Might have to wait a bit for the tropics to cool down towards the very end of the month.  They always tend to throw in a wrench into long term forecasting.  If anything, the northern tier of the sub may see brief, transient cool downs from storms systems targeting S Canada.

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Might have to wait a bit for the tropics to cool down towards the very end of the month.  They always tend to throw in a wrench into long term forecasting.  If anything, the northern tier of the sub may see brief, transient cool downs from storms systems targeting S Canada.

Euro weeklies are looking decent for the period around the 20th till the end of the month. Just gotta hope there's no more tropical systems to throw a wrench into it.

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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It's the Tropics. Happens every time a system forms and heads our way. Any anticipated cool downs get delayed. Just the way it works, lol

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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It's the Tropics. Happens every time a system forms and heads our way. Any anticipated cool downs get delayed. Just the way it works, lol

Gordon actually will keep things cooler around here.  In fact, the 12z GFS/GGEM keep the system to our south and we sit under HP and cool day/nights!  That would be a perfect fall-like weekend around here with highs near 70F (low 70's?) and sunshine.

 

Euro weeklies are looking decent for the period around the 20th till the end of the month. Just gotta hope there's no more tropical systems to throw a wrench into it.

I can wait.  As long as the 90's are over with after this week, I'm ok with it.  

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It's the Tropics. Happens every time a system forms and heads our way. Any anticipated cool downs get delayed. Just the way it works, lol

Yup. Happened 2 years ago with Matthew and last year with Jose and Maria. That's why we had epic heat waves in September both years.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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The track of Gordon now looks to take the remnant low over Southeast Iowa on Saturday. That should produce lots of heavy rain around here. 

 

The euro is the only model left that still drops heavy rain in Iowa this weekend.  The GFS, Canadian, and ICON are showing Gordon's remnants slamming on the brakes in Missouri and turning east into the Ohio Valley due to stronger ridging up here.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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