September 2018 Observations and Discussion

[Niko]

Gordon will definitely bring humid, warm, muggy air around here and to some of our subforum members. The nights will be mild as well and humid. Any shower activity that does make it up here will be briefly heavy from Gordon, or if any, w scattered to isolated. This has to get pushed off by a strong Canadian Frontal Boundary and to finally allow that cool air to settle in. Not happening anytime soon. As long as these tropical waves keep arriving up here, we stay moist and humid. Florence on the other hand, might be a complete miss out to sea, or a hit somewhere on the EC. To soon for any further details.

 

FWIW: my temps over the next several days remain in the 70s and 80s for highs and lows in the 60s and 70s. As you can see, not a lot of difference.

[Niko]

Currently, mostly sunny and very humid and hot w DPs near 76F and a temp of 86F. HI is @ 96F. RH at 73%, so the air is full of moisture.

[westMJim]

2018 has been a very warm to at times hot summer across much of the central US and that includes Michigan. In Michigan Sault St Marie had it warmest summer on record with a summer mean of 67.4° At Alpena it was the 3rd warmest summer on record there with a mean of 68.2° it was also the 3rd warmest at Traverse City with a mean of 71.1° At Detroit their estimated mean of 74.4° would put them in a tie for 7 warmest with 2011 and 2010. At Flint their mean of 70.5° will not rank them in the top 20. At Saginaw their estimated mean of 71.4° would put them in a tie for 17 place with 2011 and 1959. Here at GR the estimated mean of 72.6° would put Grand Rapids in a 11th place tie with 2005 and 1949. The warmest summer (June 1st to August 31st) is 74.5° in 1921 with 2012 in 2nd place with 73.6°

[Tom]

12z GEFS took a big shift south with Gordon's precip and hitting primarily MO/S IA/C IL/IN/OH...I wouldn't mind if we miss out on the heavy rains.  Share the wealth and shift it south in my book.

 

[Bryan1117]

It was us. It's expired now, but we were placed under a warning this morning. Apparently there's still some areas of high water around Lincoln. Steady moderate rain continues.

Had a Flash Flood Warning issued for Sarpy and Cass County this morning also. Been mostly dry here in Omaha since the early morning storms, however it looks like the rain and storms will be back by mid-afternoon for another soaker.

[OKwx2k4]

12z GEFS took a big shift south with Gordon's precip and hitting primarily MO/S IA/C IL/IN/OH...I wouldn't mind if we miss out on the heavy rains. Share the wealth and shift it south in my book.

 

Nice east shift too. Like it. Keep that thing east of me. No 'storms from the south' for me in fall please. According to folklore anyway...

[jaster220]

Gordon actually will keep things cooler around here.  In fact, the 12z GFS/GGEM keep the system to our south and we sit under HP and cool day/nights!  That would be a perfect fall-like weekend around here with highs near 70F (low 70's?) and sunshine.

 

I can wait.  As long as the 90's are over with after this week, I'm ok with it.  

 

Ah, ok. I didn't see the dates on that map. That's for way out 14 days from now. 

[jaster220]

Nice east shift too. Like it. Keep that thing east of me. No 'storms from the south' for me in fall please. According to folklore anyway...

 

Yeah, that tropical system last year that was expected to hit MI hard did the same thing. Barely rained in The Mitt iirc. I'm actually pleased to see the OHV get this and maybe this will start a trend of further south tracking systems. 

[Niko]

Man, its so muggy outside, you can actually feel the water in the air. Disgustedly humid. Dews in the mid to upper 70s. I feel like I am in Cancun, Mexico.

[Hawkeye]

The 12z euro caved to the other models with regard to the suppression of Gordon's remnants.

[Tom]

The 12z euro caved to the other models with regard to the suppression of Gordon's remnants.

If this were winter, I'd be going nuts, but since we've had soo much moisture over the last week or more, I'm fine with it trending south.

[Niko]

Radar looks t'stmfree for now. It will be a calm evening, unlike last night .

[St Paul Storm]

Those are some ugly temps in the 7-10 day range on the Euro. Ridge of death puts the Midwest in the oven. Gross.

[Tom]

Those are some ugly temps in the 7-10 day range on the Euro. Ridge of death puts the Midwest in the oven. Gross.

I'm seeing a couple days in the 70's and 1 day in the low/mid 80's next week (9/11-9/13).  The Dakotas bake for sure.

[St Paul Storm]

I'm seeing a couple days in the 70's and 1 day in the low/mid 80's next week (9/11-9/13). The Dakotas bake for sure.

Ah, thanks. That’s what I get for not zooming in on my phone. Yeah that’s a Dakotas bake job for sure. Let’s keep it there.

[St Paul Storm]

Couple of tornado warnings in N IA and S MN. The one in N IA is a confirmed tornado.

[Thunder98]

Frost advisory for Northwest North Dakota. Williston is forecasted to go down to 34F tonight. 

 

[james1976]

Ahhhhhhh......i dont want anymore heat!

[james1976]

Im currently under a flash flood watch til tomorrow and tornado watch til 10pm this evening. Storms are closing in on me. Had a bit of rain today 0.21" putting event total to 2.95". Im hoping to cash in on storms tonight.

[james1976]

Local met has 70s thru all next week. No real heat according to him.

[St Paul Storm]

Pouring rain and 68F. Totally feels like an Autumn rainstorm. Awesome.

[Niko]

Gorgeous evening out there. Muggy and humid though, temps still in the 80s even at this hour. Cannot wait to turn on my fireplace again.

 

@ Jaster

did ya get any rains today. My area was bonedry.

[OKwx2k4]

Ah, thanks. That’s what I get for not zooming in on my phone. Yeah that’s a Dakotas bake job for sure. Let’s keep it there.

Since they literally stole all of our snow the last 3 winters, I'm good with them baking.

[Hawkeye]

An EF1 tornado touched down less than a mile from my house last night.  It had a 1.4 mile long track through a residential area.  It was never warned.

[CentralNebWeather]

Over 2 inches in the last hour and storms keep coming. Just incredible. It is like the tropics with our everyday rainfall. It will be interesting at the end of 2018 if we set a yearly precipitation record.

[CentralNebWeather]

My county is now in a flood warning. Possibly up to 6” in places by the time it ends according to local met. Insane. I have over 3” now and it continues to pour.

[St Paul Storm]

A D**n deer was eating my tomatoes and it knocked over my rain gauge when I went to check the rain totals. I’d say around 2” so far.

 

Confirmed tornado was on the ground and debris ball on radar just east of Rochester near Gosaints.

[Tom]

A d**n deer was eating my tomatoes and it knocked over my rain gauge when I went to check the rain totals. I’d say around 2” so far.

 

Confirmed tornado was on the ground and debris ball on radar just east of Rochester near Gosaints.

When the wild interferes...doh!  I'm sure those tomatoes taste wonderful.  There's nothing better than home grown, freshly picked tomatoes.  Yum!  Over here, we had a confirmed EF-0 tornado as well.  Sheesh, this pattern has delivered tornado's in IA/MN/WI/IL/MI over the last few days.  That's some wild stuff!

 

[Tom]

Many of us across the MW/GL's will have a real taste of early Autumn starting late tonight and lasting all the way into the early part of next week.  My grid has highs in the low/mid 70's (maybe some upper 60's?) over the next 5-6 days.  I'll take it.  Nothing in the extended that screams heat around here, yet...might be finally turning the corner.  I'm really curious to see where Florence tracks as this potential beast may be the one that can really effect the U.S.pattern.  I've seen tropical systems in the past (Ex: Sandy) that can phase and buckle into a major trough in the East.  There is a lot on the table heading into the middle of the month (Day 10-15), esp when I see the 00z GEFS illustrating lots of HP across S Canada later next week.  This type of pattern tells me the odds are in favor that a Canadian airmass will be lurking.  I'll be looking for cooler trends over the coming days.

 

[Tom]

In other news, I love it when I see nature balance things out.  For instance, will Gordon provide drought busting rains across N MO???  Sure looks like this region is going to score Bigly with Gordon's remnants.

 

 

 

[Niko]

Marvelous morning out there....deep blue skies, but humid. Temps are already in the 80s.

[Minny_Weather]

Welp the cold front passed through this morning and with that it looks like the wet pattern is over. Picked up another 2.5" last night which would bring our total since Saturday night to 10.5". Not too bad. Nice North wind now and still cloudy. 67.5*F.

[jaster220]

Gorgeous evening out there. Muggy and humid though, temps still in the 80s even at this hour. Cannot wait to turn on my fireplace again.

 

@ Jaster

did ya get any rains today. My area was bonedry.

 

Nada. Just blast furnace hot

 

An EF1 tornado touched down less than a mile from my house last night.  It had a 1.4 mile long track through a residential area.  It was never warned.

 

Not good

[james1976]

Dumped out 2.35" from overnight rain. Event total is 5.30" now. Lot of water filled ditches around here.

[jaster220]

 

 

I'm sure those tomatoes taste wonderful.  There's nothing better than home grown, freshly picked tomatoes.  Yum!  Over here, we had a confirmed EF-0 tornado as well.  Sheesh, this pattern has delivered tornado's in IA/MN/WI/IL/MI over the last few days.  That's some wild stuff!

 

I have to 2nd your thoughts amigo!

 

Anyways, looks like we had (4) confirmed twisters in GRR's zone of operations on Saturday. The least damage remarkably was from that monster rotating Supe caught on video. This one north of Marshall near Lansing proves that even an EF-0 can put the hurt on structures and can't be taken lightly. 

 

[Niko]

I have to 2nd your thoughts amigo!

 

Anyways, looks like we had (4) confirmed twisters in GRR's zone of operations on Saturday. The least damage remarkably was from that monster rotating Supe caught on video. This one north of Marshall near Lansing proves that even an EF-0 can put the hurt on structures and can't be taken lightly. 

 

20180901 GRR Bath Twnshp EF-0 graphic.PNG

Absolutely correct.

 

From Jaster: I'm sure those tomatoes taste wonderful.  There's nothing better than home grown, freshly picked tomatoes.  Yum!

I agree 110%. Nothing better than freshly cut tomatoes, cucumbers, peppers, etc. My favorite is Figs. In Greece, I have a huge tree on my property that makes them every August. Man, I eat them like crazy. Best taste to pull them off the tree.

[Niko]

It is heating up out there.Temps nearing 90F. UGH!

[Niko]

Looks like some t'stms possible later today and night for MBY. Hope they hold together.

[Hawkeye]

I'm about to go over an inch for the day.  It's just light to moderate rain, though, with no thunder.  There is a band of heavy rain about to pass south of CR.

[gabel23]

By no means am I complaining because we have had enough rain this summer, I only ended up with 1.9" of rain since Saturday. Pretty crazy to think as areas right around me picked up over 7". I'm fine with what I got; I have had enough rain! Here is a screen shot of my area, notice how that sliver of blue goes right up into my area! This is only Monday thru today, I completely got missed over the weekend.