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September 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest


TigerWoodsLibido

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Too bad they are going to lose. I hope they keep it within one score here for ranking consideration later.

Jake Browning made some poor decisions...and the slow start...otherwise they looked good and should have a great season.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Failed to reach 70 here today. High of 69. Gonna be cool tonight with a dew point of 52 currently.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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2 of the PNW schools had a fun day beating up on cupcakes, the other 2 played extremely difficult games and came out on the short end, the conference is always a grind, I just hope there is at least 1 good snow game (most likely in Pullman, Salt Lake, or Boulder)

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Pretty stout little ridge coming on the heels of next weekend's trough on the 6z. Last night's 0z GFS showed a ridge too, just not as robust.

 

 

12Z GFS shows some rain primarily in WA on Friday into Saturday and then shows it turning warm and sunny again starting Sunday through at least Wednesday.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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There also hasn’t been an EPS run to speak of for days. So strange...

Have not checked it. Its lost some meaning to me since it has over-promised troughing numerous times in the last month and seems to flip-flop more frequently. Maybe its the seasonal change?

 

What happened to our deep Labor Day weekend trough? We are heading out on the water today. And not on the east side of the mountains. ;)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Have not checked it. Its lost some meaning to me since it has over-promised troughing numerous times in the last month and seems to flip-flop more frequently. Maybe its the seasonal change?

 

What happened to our deep Labor Day weekend trough? We are heading out on the water today. And not on the east side of the mountains. ;)

What happens to any of the troughs or cooldowns that are advertised anymore?

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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What happens to any of the troughs or cooldowns that are advertised anymore?

There are times when ridging is promised and it always seems to become deep troughing. Last spring for example.

 

We have the opposite right now. So I look for the first sign of the troughing being gutted in the models because that usually becomes the reality.

 

This will change again and troughing will be the default winner again. Maybe soon. But I will have to wait and see it happen before I start assuming that all ridging in the models will ultimately fail.

 

Right now I assume all troughing will be weaker than shown and ridging will pop up as it gets closer.   For now.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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WRF now only shows a brief period of morning clouds tomorrow and the GFS MOS shows a high in the mid 70s. I was resigned to the fact that tomorrow would be cool and cloudy and a little wet just a couple days ago. Now tomorrow afternoon looks beautiful.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12Z ECMWF agrees with GFS on precip... rain on Friday night into Saturday mainly for WA.     And also shows a pretty nice day on Sunday.    But then deviates from the GFS with a second rain event on Monday again and more rain in Oregon with that system.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12Z ECMWF agrees with GFS on precip... rain on Friday night into Saturday mainly for WA. And also shows a pretty nice day on Sunday. But then deviates from the GFS with a second rain event on Monday again and more rain in Oregon with that system.

Still over a week out though. One of these frontal systems has to eventually punch through that Coast Range shadow.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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12Z ECMWF agrees with GFS on precip... rain on Friday night into Saturday mainly for WA. And also shows a pretty nice day on Sunday. But then deviates from the GFS with a second rain event on Monday again and more rain in Oregon with that system.

Looks more like the GFS ensembles.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Looks more like the GFS ensembles.

 

That seems sort of meaningless as well.  

 

This entire weekend and next week looked fairly troughy at one point.    Any model showing less troughiness and rain has been the winner lately... no matter what the GFS ensembles and EPS have said.

 

Has to change eventually... but won't believe until I see it.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Another beautiful day in the Central Willamette Valley. Low to mid 80s. Currently 81F. Longest dry streak in our history.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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76/48 today

Beautiful day at the Fair

78 in Issaquah on the lake... light wind too. Just perfect.

 

And so nice to be able to see the other side of the lake unlike last time in the smoke.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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