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September 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

TigerWoodsLibido

By TigerWoodsLibido
in West of the Rockies

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ShawniganLake
ShawniganLake

This was taken near our cabin in the Cariboo this morning (a little over 3000ft). Extremely early for snow even up there  

Kayla
Kayla

It snowed here!

ShawniganLake
ShawniganLake

Here’s Friday and Saturday’s 24hr rain totals.    

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

what ever happened to that guy?

 

He's just living life. He was in my wedding last month. 

 

He is forecasting a cold winter and a long year for his Seahawks...

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

Posted
Posted

 

EowvkH3T_bigger.jpgRyan Maue | weathermodels.com‏

Verified account

@RyanMaue

5m5 minutes ago

 

 

More

Weather models initialized at 12z perhaps missed the burst of rapid intensification -- or will too slowly ramp up to the observed Category 4 pressures (943-947 mb)

 

The tracks from the reliable models e.g. UKMET and ECMWF remain centered on a landfall in the Carolinas …

 

 

 

EowvkH3T_bigger.jpgRyan Maue | weathermodels.com‏

Verified account

@RyanMaue

1h1 hour ago

 

 

More

Another GFS model fail -- hyper-intensity due to lack of ocean coupling and poor "microphysics" causes garbage hurricane forecasts.

This afternoon's forecast is a "toss it" already.

 

The much more reliable UKMET and European model forecasts arrive in the next 2-hours.

florence.jpg

Just saw this.....

 

Michael Ventrice@MJVentrice

The weather model news just keeps getting worse for the Carolinas. Based off recent intensity adjustments, we are now seeing the potential for Major Hurricane #Florence to achieve a Category 5 intensity prior to landfalling across the Carolinas. If correct, devastating news.

 

http://i63.tinypic.com/10oe4oy.jpg

 

https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1039246908420698113

 

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Jesse desperately needs to know if he was mad during the ceremony, bro.

 

He was in a pretty jovial mood. Perhaps a bit intoxicated.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted

I’m never moving to the Outer Banks. Ever. This is just a reminder of how dangerous that area has historically been...that narrow strip of barrier islands far removed from the Bay on the shoreline axis is no coincidence. They’ve been repeatedly hammered over time.

 

It really is a miracle that they’ve avoided something like this for over a century now. Those warm Gulf Stream waters in the mid/upper 80s are like rocket fuel for these storms. A surge of 20ft would overwash the majority of perpendicular barrier islands that people naively decided to build on.

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foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

There is a parable about building ones house on the sand...

  • Like 4

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Farmboy Collaborator

Farmboy

Posted
Posted

I’m never moving to the Outer Banks. Ever. This is just a reminder of how dangerous that area has historically been...that narrow strip of barrier islands far removed from the Bay on the shoreline axis is no coincidence. They’ve been repeatedly hammered over time.

 

It really is a miracle that they’ve avoided something like this for over a century now. Those warm Gulf Stream waters in the mid/upper 80s are like rocket fuel for these storms. A surge of 20ft would overwash the majority of perpendicular barrier islands that people naively decided to build on.

That area should just be declared a national park or monument or something and off limits to private ownership.

  • Like 1

"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

That area should just be declared a national park or monument or something and off limits to private ownership.

 

I had Airbnb guests last week from the Houston area. They were saying there were some locations which experienced 3 "100 year" floods in the Houston area last year. Because of the changes in land use, the land is unable to absorb or move water to the gulf down there as it used to. They said in some areas the government is buying/condemning these flooded out homes and declaring them off limits to future development. It seems an expensive, but wise move. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Blizzard777 Grand Master

Blizzard777

Posted
Posted

I’m never moving to the Outer Banks. Ever. This is just a reminder of how dangerous that area has historically been...that narrow strip of barrier islands far removed from the Bay on the shoreline axis is no coincidence. They’ve been repeatedly hammered over time.

It really is a miracle that they’ve avoided something like this for over a century now. Those warm Gulf Stream waters in the mid/upper 80s are like rocket fuel for these storms. A surge of 20ft would overwash the majority of perpendicular barrier islands that people naively decided to build on.

With the research I’ve done so far I’m with you but would love to visit there. Looks like the Oregon coast from the Nags Head camera.

If that area survives I will definitely be hitting my cousin up for a visit. I know this area will probably get washed clean.

I wish these live camera feeds had sound

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Wow the 18z would give the eastern seaboard some major flooding up into New England.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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TigerWoodsLibido Grand Master

TigerWoodsLibido

Posted
  • Author
Posted

18z took a step toward the Euro for Friday/Saturday. Long range says fall is here to stay. Probably jumping the gun but still nice to see.

Fall begins when this area in the west valley finally gets a .5" event XD

  • Like 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Hopefully in the next several days.

 

Doubtful the Central Willamette Valley sees a 1/2" rain event in the next several days.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Geos Proficient

Geos

Posted
Posted

Cool day, only 66 here today with on and off sprinkles during the day.

 

Heavy cells near Everett right now.

 

ATX.N0Q.20180911.0027.gif

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

It’s over. This summer sure went fast.

 

Yeah it's just so nasty out there...lol

 

41499515_335836830320522_834715241731325

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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TigerWoodsLibido Grand Master

TigerWoodsLibido

Posted
  • Author
Posted

July 4 - Sept 7

 

RIP Summer 2018

Mid April-Mid Sept here :-)

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

I heard they never really had a summer this year on top of Mt. Rainier! SAD!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Yeah it's just so nasty out there...lol

 

41499515_335836830320522_834715241731325

 

 

Randy lives in Silver Falls now?     Why no update on that development?

 

Can you make your signature bigger?   Like maybe take up an entire page with one post?    Thanks! 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Most of the region is way overdue for some extended wetness now. Might be dragging you guys along for the ride with us. :’)

 

 

We are actually due as well.    Two months is the normal length of the annual dry period here. 

 

Its moves around... but its easily identifiable when you look at the daily precip in grid form for each year.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Says the guy who constantly posts pictures of his property in response to weather observations 150+ miles away. :)

 

 

I don't post the pics and imply the same weather is happening in Oregon.     ;)

 

Its usually done when the weather is different here than other areas.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Signatures don't even show up when I view from my mobile device!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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