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2/14 - 2/17 Cutter and Panhandle Hook


Clinton

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Speaking with Lezak this morning, he said if the ULL is strong, it likely cuts harder and KC gets dry slotted with little accumulation. Bigger snows will happen in NEB and Iowa...but, if it shears out, it will go SE more and favor KC to get accumulating snow, not a big storm, but a 1-3 inch snow in 20-22 degree air which will be quite the change to all other snows at 32-33 this winter. 

So, here in KC, I guess I'm rooting for a weaker storm, I don't think I have ever wished for that. LOL

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2 minutes ago, MIKEKC said:

Speaking with Lezak this morning, he said if the ULL is strong, it likely cuts harder and KC gets dry slotted with little accumulation. Bigger snows will happen in NEB and Iowa...but, if it shears out, it will go SE more and favor KC to get accumulating snow, not a big storm, but a 1-3 inch snow...

This is what the models have been showing all along.

I'd rather the guys up north have a stronger storm to enjoy rather than suffer through another 1" nuisance snowfall. Bring on Spring and let's be done with this garbage winter (here anyway).

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23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24)

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DMX with a  rather lame disco. Can tell it's a relative newbie.

Cold air advection increase Wednesday behind the system as
northwesterly winds take over. As the Tuesday system exits our next
system developing over the southwest will again lift into the
midwest. Given the colder temperatures in place, this time
precipitation will fall in the form of snow. While there is decent
agreement in the track of the system, differences remain between
the GFS and Euro suites. Both GFS and Euro deterministic runs are
more aggressive in snow totals than their ensemble mean
counterparts, and the GFS remains further southeast than the more
consistent track of the euro solution. Given the cold thermal
profiles and a period of strong omega within the DGZ, expect there
could be a period with higher snowfall rates and SLRs as snow
falls late Wednesday night into Thursday. While totals remain a
little uncertain, confidence is increasing in at least some impact
to travel by Thursday morning in central to southern Iowa.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Ugh! The last two runs of the Euro and now the 18z GFS have introduced mixed precipitation in my area for the first part of the storm, thus lowering snow totals! But the low is well south in Indiana and the 540 line is just south…hmmm! Hopefully these models adjust to the conditions 😏

 

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Is it Spring?!

Highs 70-75  Mon-Tues    Lows in the mid 40's. 

Rain the next several days, some storms heavy, high winds/gusts. 

The entire pattern looks like Spring with a strong SW inflow. 

<sigh> ...Winter's O-ver.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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We have to keep in mind that winds are forecasted to be 40 mph plus. With a drier snow, it should easily blow around. Feels like that part of the storm hasn’t been talked about enough by forecasters. Wednesday afternoon to Thursday morning has the chance to get pretty dicey. We have Parent/Teacher Conferences from 2-6 pm on Wednesday. Gosh it would be too bad if they were cancelled by weather. 😂

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1 hour ago, WinterSquall23 said:

Felt this was appropriate. 

As in Mean to SE Mi . 

22FC0F86-FE0E-4869-A2B7-33F171D67508.png

Was never our storm. But looks like northern SEMI will get a bit.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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WPC today has quite the tease for Chicagoland folks

hazards_d3_7_contours.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Nws offices were told to cover their asses. Typical of the current state of our leadership in government. CYA, or better just pretend you're invisibly shaking hands with someone on stage. This government and their leadership need help. 1 to 8 inches sounds like what every woman hears on a first date too. Sorry, not sorry. ToastedRavs, a bit toasted and a bit salty on this Monday night. Lol. 

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