Hawkeye Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 12z GDPS (Canadian) 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 12z GEFS... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Models are now pretty much locked into the track, with some deviations on amounts. We have a strong north wind blowing. When the snow arrives, it may get bad fairly quickly. As of now, we are in school with a 1:30 PM dismissal. We are scheduled to have Parent/Teacher Conferences from 2-6 PM. We are scheduled to have school and conferences tomorrow, but obviously that is in question right now. I know our superintendent doesn't want to call off, as we only have 2 more snow days left before we start making up days (we've already used 3 days and had 2 late starts). Plus it is still only Feb. 15th, most of our worst storms in history have come after this date. He may not have choice by tomorrow morning. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 The 12z UK is very weak. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 I'm very much to the point where I am a pass on 3" snowstorms. It's going to all be gone by next week, but it's going to be cold enough after the storm where I'll actually have to shovel it. Gross. 6"+ or bust. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 6+ is very uncommon now days! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 9 minutes ago, GDR said: 6+ is very uncommon now days! Exactly! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 22 minutes ago, East Dubzz said: I'm very much to the point where I am a pass on 3" snowstorms. It's going to all be gone by next week, but it's going to be cold enough after the storm where I'll actually have to shovel it. Gross. 6"+ or bust. Agree and once March hits its 12" minimum otherwise not worth tracking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 minute ago, Tony said: Agree and once March hits its 12" minimum otherwise not worth tracking. Bingo!! I'm also busy with a newborn, so my perspective is a little blurred. And I got a new rifle that I want to take out to shoot, so I need this snow to melt and those 50s! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: 12z GDPS (Canadian) I feel like the Canadian has the most realistic solution right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 5 hours ago, jcwxguy said: 4 hours ago, tStacsh said: Haven't tracked this too much, but now I'm probably close to the bullseye in Michigan for this storm. Funny how that goes. Nothing is certain until less than 24 hours out, and even then, who knows. LOL. I'm stealing NMI's snow (at least some of it). This is just wacked 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Euro 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 17Z RAP. This would be amazing if it verifies. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Some models are now showing a dry hole over far se NE and sw IA. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Doesn’t look good for eastern iowa either Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Snow is creeping up from the south and southwest. Several rural schools are letting out early. I've seen a few rogue flurries in the air, but nothing else yet. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 I think it's all over for me in Waterloo. Maybe next time. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Ive thrown in the towel for Fremont, but sref shows 2+ @ 10:1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 The view of the snow capped mountains from back in AZ…the storm has left it’s mark with very low Snow levels. I saw the radar from lat night and they had thunder snow falling up near Payson up hwy 260. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: Some models are now showing a dry hole over far se NE and sw IA. I smell another WSW bust here locally, however I wouldn’t be that disappointed this time as it should be expected now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 I see we are doing the T24 trend into the toilet Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 18z HRRR... a definite improvement for Iowa. 12z HRRR... I don't know how it can go from barely anything in sw Iowa to warning-level snow in 6 hours. 1 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MKEstorm Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 MKX has just issued a Winter Storm Warning for 6-10 inches and near blizzard conditions https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=WIZ066&warncounty=WIC079&firewxzone=WIZ066&local_place1=2 Miles SE West Allis WI&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=42.9845&lon=-87.9977#.Y-06IPdMG_Y ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, highest amounts near the lake. Winds gusting as high as 35 to 40 mph with blowing and drifting snow. Near blizzard conditions in the afternoon and early evening. * WHERE...Ozaukee, Milwaukee, Racine and Kenosha Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will mainly occur after the morning commute but will impact the afternoon and evening commute. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, MKEstorm said: MKX has just issued a Winter Storm Warning for 6-10 inches and near blizzard conditions https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=WIZ066&warncounty=WIC079&firewxzone=WIZ066&local_place1=2 Miles SE West Allis WI&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=42.9845&lon=-87.9977#.Y-06IPdMG_Y ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, highest amounts near the lake. Winds gusting as high as 35 to 40 mph with blowing and drifting snow. Near blizzard conditions in the afternoon and early evening. * WHERE...Ozaukee, Milwaukee, Racine and Kenosha Counties. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions will mainly occur after the morning commute but will impact the afternoon and evening commute. You look to be in the jackpot zone on this one. It's about time warning snows have arrived. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Quote PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Ah, my favorite words. This means drive to the hill to go snowboarding. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 18z so far looking better than 12z Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bumblin Bman09 Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Lake county upgraded to WSW . Share| Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Chicago IL 213 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ILZ006-160415- /O.UPG.KLOT.WS.A.0001.230216T0900Z-230217T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KLOT.WS.W.0002.230216T1200Z-230217T0300Z/ Lake IL- Including the cities of Waukegan, Buffalo Grove, Mundelein, and Gurnee 213 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Lake IL County. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 9 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions likely impact the morning and afternoon commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for Illinois can be obtained on the internet at www.gettingaroundillinois.com. && 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 LOT's gotta be contemplating on expanding the Warnings into N IL...the models now favor all snow for pretty much Chicago on north... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 12z EPS...another nudge SE and bump in totals...I see the Lehs Signal showing up...E IA still looks good up thru S Wisco... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSquall23 Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Was not expecting this. This system has tracked far enough south for me and @Niko to get in the game. It’s windy out here with partly cloudy skies. @jaster220 something is rolling in. ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT... A mix of snow and sleet in the morning then a mix of sleet and freezing rain in the afternoon expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations up to a tenth inch. * WHERE...Shiawassee, Genesee, Lapeer, St. Clair, Livingston, Oakland and Macomb Counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM to 10 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... Peak precipitation intensity is expected from 1 PM to 5 PM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Plan for longer travel time Thursday afternoon and evening. Slow down and use caution while driving. && 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 18Z NAM bumped up totals again. I think my 2" might just be too low...who would have thought. Tom you are starting to reel this one in. 6" might not be that far out of reach. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 OAX dropping forecast amounts for the Omaha metro already... LOL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, FarmerRick said: OAX dropping forecast amounts for the Omaha metro already... LOL What a complete dog *#%@ Winter here… honestly I didn’t think it could get any worse than last year, however here we are again. At least we will be back in the mid and upper 40’s this upcoming weekend, so it’s not like it will be cold after this system passes by. 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yerf Posted February 15, 2023 Report Share Posted February 15, 2023 LOT made their updates. Expanding the WSW 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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