2/14 - 2/17 Cutter and Panhandle Hook

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[Grizzcoat]

FV3 has some company--

[hlcater]

This is looking like a nice one.

[Grizzcoat]

ICON also with a tick NW

[Bellona]

Man that cutoff is brutal. I will be less than happy if I miss this by 30 miles.

[DSM WeatherNut]

Lot of consistency now.   

[james1976]

I'm not too invested on this even though I will be in IA. I have too much going on this week to really take it in. Hoping you guys to the south and east and southwest can score!

[jaster220]

0z suite is fully sampled then, correct?

[Grizzcoat]

[james1976]

1 minute ago, Grizzcoat said:

You might be riding the edge too 

[Grizzcoat]

5 minutes ago, james1976 said:

You might be riding the edge too 

Luckily this time the S edge of Polk and Dallas counties  should have higher totals than N parts. I live and work ( KDSM)  on the S part. Got robbed on one earlier this winter that N parts did much better.... It seems like always riding the edge....

[james1976]

3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Fully changed over to a very wet snow that hasn't started accumulating yet. Going to probably end up on the lower range of guidance for tonight but we'll see.

Your post literally just reminded me that I'm in a WWA up here in MN for 1 inch of snow and 45mph wind haha. Headline says from midnight til 9am.

[james1976]

3 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Luckily this time the S edge of Polk and Dallas counties  should have higher totals than N parts. I live and work ( KDSM)  on the S part. Got robbed on one earlier this winter that N parts did much better.... It seems like always riding the edge....

Hope you score!

[jcwxguy]

gfs slightly south for eastern nebraska 

[jcwxguy]

[Grizzcoat]

GFS seems to wane this time once into E.IA--but still very consistent

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[OttumwaSnomow]

29 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Luckily this time the S edge of Polk and Dallas counties  should have higher totals than N parts. I live and work ( KDSM)  on the S part. Got robbed on one earlier this winter that N parts did much better.... It seems like always riding the edge....

Talk about riding the edge.  Somehow I have eeked out 15 inches this season  and amazingly  have plowed businesses 7 to 9 times and salted alot. Meanwhile   many along the i80 corridor  have had about the same or slightly  more, the real jump in seasonal  snowfall is just north of i80.  We do better on snow down here than most would think. I suspect  in general  more gulf moisture. Its my goal to  keep extremely  accurate  snowfall records since they seem to be lacking.  But even cocorahs  from Bloomfield  has over  13 inches. In 2018/19 I meticulously measured  69 inches in the hills west of Ottumwa. I believe  was one of higher  amounts in Iowa.

[jcwxguy]

[Grizzcoat]

RAP-

[jcwxguy]

[Grizzcoat]

[james1976]

GEFS continues to be quite a bit SE of the OP

[Grizzcoat]

ukie

[Hawkeye]

The 00z UK has missing snow again, so here's the liquid total.

[DSM WeatherNut]

This seems normal.   I see it going back nw after these runs.   Wishcasting maybe.

[Hawkeye]

The Euro totals continue to drop and sag south.  

[Grizzcoat]

You gotta love automation when it comes to Metars- (pretty tough to have FZFG with winds gusting to 60mph ((severe thunderstorm material ))-- maybe BLSN?-- but what do I know)

METAR: KFAR [Fargo/Hector Intl]

METAR: KFAR 150753Z AUTO 34040G52KT M1/4SM R36/1600V2400FT FZFG VV003 M13/M14 A2959 RMK AO2 PK WND 35054/0657 SLP035 T11331144 PWINO FZRANO $

[Grizzcoat]

3km NAM is tick NW-

[Grizzcoat]

reg NAM has Oma dome over my house-- watch it be correct.

[Grizzcoat]

06Z RDPS-

[ToastedRavs]

Advisory for Des Moines.  But warnings to east and west on 80. Including Omaha. Des Moines and their way or the highway strikes again. Warm bias bastards. I hope Des Moines gets pummeled and they get called out. 

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

Wicked cutoff