Jump to content

2/21 - 2/24 Powerhouse Upper Midwest/GL's Winter Storm


Tom

Recommended Posts

37 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

This one’s staying north. Hope we either get all rain or dry slotted at this point and can avoid any ice.

I have the same feeling about this one as well, right now this looks like an FSD to MSP special (once again)... @hawkstwelve and @james1976 are looking to reel in yet another one! 

  • Like 2
  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Someone has mentioned that this could cause a very nasty outbreak in Dixie Alley, it all starts on Wednesday at my location!

I know someone in UP Michigan. She's going to be blitzed by this.

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Bellona said:

Waterloo must get rocked with sleet on the GDPS. Only .6 snow and no ice. 

Ya, same with Milwaukee! Those 3 inches arrive in that first wave…then it’s a sleet fest! Yet the 0z GFS has my area for .50 ice! So, this is something to monitor for sure! It will be interesting to see what the EURO puts on the table.

 

 

  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pretty awesome write up from MPX

The first wave will be primarily driven by lower level frontogenesis
as the lingering frontal boundary from Monday`s clipper system
tightens up and forms a band of snow on Tuesday. Currently, this is
more favored across southern Minnesota and Wisconsin, generally along
or north of I-90. This band will likely lead to several inches of
snow. There will be a brief break Tuesday night into Wednesday, but
then a second round of snow will develop as the main storm develops
to the southeast, and tracks across the region late Wednesday through
Thursday night. It is this second round of snow that would produce
the more widespread, heavy snowfall amounts across the region, and
when combined with the first band, ends up with incredible snowfall
totals over multiple days.

If you`re reading this discussion, then you are probably on the more
weather-savvy side compared to most people. And if you`re weather-
savvy, then you`re probably familiar with the ample weather sites
that show model data such as storm total snowfall accumulation. For
that reason, we figured it worth addressing the snow amount potential
in this discussion so here it goes.

From a probabilistic standpoint, some locations across the forecast
area have a greater than 50 percent chance of seeing at least 18
inches of snow over a 72hr window from Tuesday morning through
Thursday night. That`s incredible. The location will likely change,
so it`s not that important. What is important is that those
probabilities actually exist in the guidance, especially this far out
into the forecast. This lends some insight into the realistic totals
that we may see come Friday morning. Another noteworthy statistic is
that the lowest 5 percent of forecast (think low-end) still has
accumulating snow pretty much everywhere, and a heavier band of at
least several inches across the region. On the flip side, we won`t
dwell much on the 95 percent (think high-end), but it would indicate
that there is potential for some locations to see over two feet of
snow. Reality will likely fall somewhere in the middle, which is why
we don`t produce snowfall totals beyond 3 days into the future.
  • Like 3
  • Snow 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thanks for posting all these maps everyone. This has potential to be an amazing storm for me. I plan on going to Devil's Head Wednesday, spending the night because I'll probably be trapped there, then going to Cascade the next day. Really hope this works out, the snow this year has been terrible for almost the entire winter. Last storm here was mind blowingly amazing though, if it's even remotely close to that one I'm going to be really happy. Had the most fun with the last storm snowboarding than I've had in a long time.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

What I find interesting on the Canadian model, the low is over SE Colorado then moves to KC, but puts done nothing. Sweet path typically for us. ICON and to some extent the GFS want to put snow down around some of the area. 

I thought you would be reeling this one in!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 2/17/2023 at 11:22 AM, Icewoz said:

Boring yet again for DTX

 

23 hours ago, uticasnow said:

Another snozzer for Southeast Michigan

Third year running of mostly standing on the sidelines watching the game. This looks like GHD-2 but displaced about 150 miles north. Doubtful south half of DTX gets into sig snow, but like Thur storm it could trend enough to escape a complete whiff. Long ways til all is said-n-done on this. Finally this pattern showing it's true potential, just half a state too far north.

  • Like 1

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 5767

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    2. 5767

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    3. 5767

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

×
×
  • Create New...