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2/21 - 2/24 Powerhouse Upper Midwest/GL's Winter Storm


Tom

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42 minutes ago, Icewoz said:

Lame storm yet again. 

I'd say somebody just outside the UHI region will get the right combination to be very memorable storm and not in a good way. Just not sure exactly where?

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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2 hours ago, WinterSquall23 said:

Stay safe out there.  It a mess out here.  Fortunately we have had mostly sleet near 59.  News said that this storm has just started. Heaviest rates are between 6pm and 10 pm. 

Wow, new graphic. Loss of daylight not good.

 

2023-02-22 7pm DTX Storm Graphic pg1.png

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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000
FXUS63 KDTX 222327
AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
627 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2023

.UPDATE...

Reports of a tenth to near a quarter inch across Lenawee and Wayne
Counties has prompted an upgrade to an ice storm warning for
Lenawee/Monroe/Wayne Counties. Locals near Lake Erie in Monroe County
will likely have limited icing, however farther inland (particularly
near Petersburg, Dundee and Milan) icing to a quarter inch is
expected.

The convective burst which rolled across the area earlier and
produced a few elevated thunderstorms proved very efficient at icing
per spotter reports. Given upstream radar and with the loss of
daytime heating, icing on trees and power lines should prove very
efficient through the rest of the evening.

&&

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Was hopeful temps would climb all night. Not so lucky

For DTW...The peak freezing rain intensity (moderate to briefly
heavy) will persist through 04Z before it moves off to the east. Sfc
temps will hold around 32 degrees through the evening, then they
will actually drop a degree or two overnight.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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We have a light glaze of ice and maybe an inch of snow. It's amazing how bad of a situation that can cause. I drove around the area and roads are snow packed to go along with the ice. I'm thinking tomorrow mornings drive won't be a good one. The secondary low is now swinging out of Colorado and snow squall warnings are breaking out. Hoping to get another inch or two and then bring on the warm up. 

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40 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Was hopeful temps would climb all night. Not so lucky

For DTW...The peak freezing rain intensity (moderate to briefly
heavy) will persist through 04Z before it moves off to the east. Sfc
temps will hold around 32 degrees through the evening, then they
will actually drop a degree or two overnight.

Stuck at 31.  Took some pics of the ice here. Roads are wet and icy as the rain is pouring for a few hours now. 

6F9C8CFF-1EA8-4269-8CBD-6F2BC8981F2B.jpeg

E0D04AF5-4E07-4007-8C99-00DE2694D1B3.jpeg

BCADE7E1-EF2D-45DD-9C3F-914E6A680C37.jpeg

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3 minutes ago, WinterSquall23 said:

Stuck at 31.  Took some pics of the ice here. Roads are wet and icy as the rain is pouring for a few hours now. 

6F9C8CFF-1EA8-4269-8CBD-6F2BC8981F2B.jpeg

E0D04AF5-4E07-4007-8C99-00DE2694D1B3.jpeg

BCADE7E1-EF2D-45DD-9C3F-914E6A680C37.jpeg

I am in Macomb and sitting here listening to  the rain and some sleet back in the mix again now.....trees also look like they are very much ice covered....I am hoping we do not lose power

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It's been snowing lightly since 7:00am, intensified late this afternoon. Was able to get out on the sled for a ride, strong East winds 4 - 6 " accumulation.

jaster220 must have a closet full of towels to throw in, he's not spared us his presence yet !!!!

 

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18 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Man, NWS MPX is getting roasted on their tweet about the 5.5" total at MSP through 6PM. Since the 'historic snowstorm' apparently didn't pan out everyone thinks it gives them the right to give forecasters a bunch of crap, as if they didn't just try to do the best they could. Makes no sense.

Yeah im guessing 6" tops here so far. And now we're in a dry slot that was not ever forecasted. Unfortunately it just hasn't panned out. Long night to go yet so we'll see how this plays out.

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1 hour ago, uticasnow said:

I am in Macomb and sitting here listening to  the rain and some sleet back in the mix again now.....trees also look like they are very much ice covered....I am hoping we do not lose power

Wow! Same here 28 now but thankfully the rain has stopped here. It’s going to be an ice rink on our road.  We have one tree leaning from the top. Hope we don’t lose it. 

A3768AFF-105F-4631-AF3A-7CD5F92BEC8A.jpeg

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This was a very complex storm system and the models didn't handle it all to well.  While my area did get extremely heavy rain and some freezing rain, I think this part of the storm stole the moisture farther N and NW.  This system more or less ended up being an elongated double barrel system with wave #1 yesterday and wave #2 that ejected out of CO late last night and formed the second wave of heavier snow that fell across the Plains and now over MN/WI.  Yesterday, ORD reported a record daily RN of 1.20".

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1 minute ago, Tom said:

This was a very complex storm system and the models didn't handle it all to well.  While my area did get extremely heavy rain and some freezing rain, I think this part of the storm stole the moisture farther N and NW.  This system more or less ended up being an elongated double barrel system with wave #1 yesterday and wave #2 that ejected out of CO late last night and formed the second wave of heavier snow that fell across the Plains and now over MN/WI.  Yesterday, ORD reported a record daily RN of 1.20".

The models didn't budge for days. I do think moisture was stole from up this way. oh well.

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It looks like the Grand Rapids metro area dodged bullet. But that said there is around 1.5 to 2” of solid ice/snow on the ground and there is a good amount of ice on the car windows. The trees and wires do not look really all that bad. As sleet/ice storms go this was not all that bad. Most of the power outages are to the south along I94. Where just under 200,000 customers are with out power. 

Yesterday’s official H/L at Grand Rapids was 31/26 there was 0.84” of precipitation of that 1.6” was reported as snow. Here in my yard I have just under 2” of snow/sleet/ice. There was no sunshine yesterday. For the season GR is now up to 86.1” of snow fall. At Lansing there was 0.82” of precipitation and at Muskegon there was less with just 0.44” there. The overnight low and current temperature here at my house is 27. For today the average H/L is now up to 36/21 the record high of 63 was set in 1984 and again in 2000. The record low of -10 was set in 2015 and the record snow fall amount of 5.9” fell in 1994.

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Temperature hung around 32⁰ all day yesterday so there's still ice on the trees of up to around 1/4" with a bunch of ice chunks littering the ground under the trees. I was on the northwest side of the main rainfall shield and ended up with 0.55". (.06" of that fell overnight) 

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It seems like the models had the right idea with the snow across Minnesota.  However, the series of waves were not as strong as earlier predicted.  The final, main, wave was predicted to be several mb deeper than it turned out to be.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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