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March 2023 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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14 minutes ago, jcwxguy said:

probably between 5 and 6 now, snowing about 2"/hr the last few hours

Very nice score on the weenie band… we are missing out here with only about a 1/2” here in Southwest Omaha so far. 

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Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
637 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-NEZ033-034-042>045-050>053-065>067-261500-
/O.CON.KOAX.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-230326T1500Z/
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Cuming-Burt-Platte-
Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-
Lancaster-Cass-
Including the cities of Onawa, Mapleton, Missouri Valley,
Woodbine, Logan, Dunlap, Harlan, Council Bluffs, Glenwood,
West Point, Wisner, Tekamah, Oakland, Lyons, Decatur, Columbus,
Schuyler, Fremont, Blair, David City, Wahoo, Ashland, Yutan,
Omaha, Bellevue, Papillion, La Vista, Seward, Milford, Lincoln,
and Plattsmouth
637 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches.
  Total snow accumulations of 2 to 7 inches. The higher amounts
  from Columbus to Fremont to Blair to Logan Iowa.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Iowa and east
  central, northeast and southeast Nebraska.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM CDT this morning.

a little late to the party 

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It is a very frosty morning here in MBY the current temperature with all that frost is 26. Yesterday the official H/L at GR was 37/32 there was 0.89” of precipitation and 0.2” of snow fall. There was no sun. For today the average H/L is now up to 49/30 the record high of 77 was set in 1976 and the record low of 6 was in 1996. The most snow fall of 10.2” fell in 1970. Last year the H/L was a cool 34/25 and there was 0.5” of snow fall. The next week looks to be on the cooler side of average with a one day warm up on Friday. And there are several chances of rain and snow and maybe even a thunderstorm.
 

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This system is tracking a bit farther north than most models were predicting, so I'm getting nothing.

season snowfall: 30.2"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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We just got a text that the power is out at our church on the north side of town m, so the service is cancelled. Heavy snow must have done some issues with power lines.
Now hearing no power on the west side of town. Thankfully we have power as we are located on the east side of town. 

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We have received 1.30" of rain over the last 3 days -still leaving us 2.80" below normal so far here in 2023. A beautiful day today with high temps well into the 50's to near 60 degrees. This will be our last above average day till Friday. Rain chances increase again by late tomorrow afternoon but sun will return for much of the week before more rain chances by Friday.
Records for today: High 84 (1921) / Low 18 (1951) / Rain 2.03" (1978) / Snow 2.0" (1900)
image.png.2f8cca08fddbe7703fd94c09d63d52d2.png
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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  Climate change is real and natural but not to be feared as there exists no evidence that it will lead to any future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be static and unchanging. The raw analytics across all available long term COOP sites in Chester County has only yielded simple cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Data derived from climate models is to be viewed with healthy skepticism. To date we have been unable to validate even one predicted climate or weather event as attributable to climate change. True climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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From our view on the roof we have 57*.  Partly cloudy skies.  Nice day! 

4B5AE4C1-7237-4E65-A824-1547A9A7E87E.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The weenie band continues into central Iowa.  These late March systems mean business.

image.thumb.png.d52ee75db069e7d8ba16c0e1eb5b022d.png

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season snowfall: 30.2"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I was in Omaha all weekend so I missed out on the snow. My area was one of the big winners too with reports ranging from 8-10. Got home about 430 and maybe 3” remain. Amazing what the March sun does. Biggy seems to be looming on the horizon Easter weekend. Will see if that stays. 

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Yesterday was exactly average with a HL of 49/30 there was 0.16” of rain fall and no snowfall. The overnight low here in MBY and current temperature is 34. For today the average H/L remains at 49/30 the record high of 81 was set in 1945 and the record low of 0 was set in 1965. The record snow fall of 6.9” fell in 1948. Last year it was cold with a H/L of 29/20 that high of 29 was the 4th coldest for this date. The next 5 days look to be near average with a one day warm up on Friday. Friday looks like it could be wet. In looking outside there is a trace of new snow fall on the ground here and for the season Grand Rapids is now at 109.4"

 

 

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0z Euro suggesting Ol' Man Winter not letting go for our friends up north...my goodness, it's like the "Upper MW Glacier" that won't go away so easily this season.

nsm_depth_2023032705_National.jpg

 

1.png

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One word today sums up the importance weather preparation:  Mississippi. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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46 minutes ago, Tom said:

0z Euro suggesting Ol' Man Winter not letting go for our friends up north...my goodness, it's like the "Upper MW Glacier" that won't go away so easily this season.

nsm_depth_2023032705_National.jpg

 

1.png

We now have more snow on the ground than Northern Nebraska.  They remarkably missed out on the storm over the weekend that hit my area among others.  They haven't missed many storms this year.

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10 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

We now have more snow on the ground than Northern Nebraska.  They remarkably missed out on the storm over the weekend that hit my area among others.  They haven't missed many storms this year.

It's a cold Winter's day in Kearney today...

Screen Shot 2023-03-27 at 6.49.33 AM.png

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Was up in Hurley snowboardidng Whitecap Mountains, what an awesome place. Definitely under rated, awesome spring conditions for their last weekend. Going to be there next winter for sure. Snow was great, missed the snow down here but almost all the resorts were closed anyways. Next weekend doing Lutsen, looks like it actually might be pretty awesome. GFS already showing something great for us at Lutsen next weekend.

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

0z Euro suggesting Ol' Man Winter not letting go for our friends up north...my goodness, it's like the "Upper MW Glacier" that won't go away so easily this season.

nsm_depth_2023032705_National.jpg

 

1.png

Gross. Hope not. My grids have 30s this week and then 40s/low 50s so hopefully whatever falls will be rain.

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A sunny start to the week but clouds increase and some rain by late today. Dry and cooler most of the week before warmer weather by Friday but also rain Friday night into Saturday...but may approach 70 degrees in the rain on Saturday!
Records for today: High 85 (1921) / Low 17 (1982) / Rain 1.85" (1983) / Snow 1.5" (1959)
image.png.85f8008fb83af49aae913ff9fd70eaf4.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  Climate change is real and natural but not to be feared as there exists no evidence that it will lead to any future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be static and unchanging. The raw analytics across all available long term COOP sites in Chester County has only yielded simple cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Data derived from climate models is to be viewed with healthy skepticism. To date we have been unable to validate even one predicted climate or weather event as attributable to climate change. True climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Hello from NYC. Here the weather is kinda coolish w some showers expected to arrive tanite. Temp attm near 51. I saw some flowers blooming here yesterday, which is kinda odd. A little too early. Here for business and pleasure and hopefully, the week gets warmer but from what I am seeing, looks like the highest readings will top in the upper 50s at some point and then fall into the 40s for highs and lows in the 30s.

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Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct'22:  Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22:  2.5" Below Average /Normal is 2.9"

Dec'22:  5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.5"

Jan'23:  11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.3"

Feb '23:  2.2"  Well Below Average / Normal is 18.4"

March '23: 16.1" Above Average / Normal is 5.0"

(Season is @ 37.0")

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12 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

We now have more snow on the ground than Northern Nebraska.  They remarkably missed out on the storm over the weekend that hit my area among others.  They haven't missed many storms this year.

Meanwhile here in Omaha, our "EPIC" March continues as we sit at around 1.5" of snowfall for the month officially (OmahaSnowFan called it at the start of the month that we would only end up with 2" total LOL). What's more frustrating outside of the cold and nuisance snow showers is that we are quickly falling behind on moisture again (only 0.82" for the month so far) as the bulk of the moisture and action continues to miss us to the west, north, east, and south. 

This lousy pattern doesn't seem like it's going to budge and it doesn't give me much hope that things are going to change during spring. 

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Yesterday was a rather nice late March day, While this year had been mostly above average in the temperature department there have not been any real warm days yet this year. The warmest so far at Grand Rapids is just 54 back on February 14th At Lansing the 58 on the same day is the warmest and at Muskegon it topped out at 59. We shall see how warm we get on Friday

The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 50/33 there was 013” of rain fall and 0.1” of snow fall. So far the overnight low here in MBY has fallen to 25. For today the average H/L is now up to 50/31 the record high of 78 was set in 1905 and the record low of 8 was set in 1923. The record snow fall of 3.3” fell in 1947. Last year today was a very cold day with the H/L of 33/17 That high of 33 is the 4th coldest and the low of 17 is the 8th coldest for this date. It looks like March will go out like a lion this year.

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