March 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Tom]

31 minutes ago, Black Hole said:

Still looking pretty chilly for this time of year the next few days. Sunday morning will be the coolest with low 20s possible. This is probably going to be the last hard freeze given that the extended forecast looks pretty mild. At this point I am ready to move on from winter so I'll hope we stay mild after this. 

Next severe risk looks to be next Thursday. 

Same here...I've had my summer tease of warmth last week and now we are entering an unsettled and cooler pattern next week that should bring more storms into the valley.  Although, not far from here, the mountains in NM are getting pounded right now with heavy snow in Taos, NM.  With that being said, I may do some storm tracking around these parts depending on how next week evolves.

https://live2.brownrice.com/embed/tsv

[MIKEKC]

1 hour ago, Tom said:

Same here...I've had my summer tease of warmth last week and now we are entering an unsettled and cooler pattern next week that should bring more storms into the valley.  Although, not far from here, the mountains in NM are getting pounded right now with heavy snow in Taos, NM.  With that being said, I may do some storm tracking around these parts depending on how next week evolves.

https://live2.brownrice.com/embed/tsv

Hey Tom, any sustained warmth coming soon for the heartland. I see some warmth next week, but, more chances of freezes and possible snow look to hang out the rest of the month into April!! A couple bumps in there, but, not many. 

A low of 15 tomorrow morning and a high of maybe just 28-30 for KC tomorrow. That's 30 degrees below average. This is an impressive cold airmass coming in this weekend. 

[Tom]

7 minutes ago, MIKEKC said:

Hey Tom, any sustained warmth coming soon for the heartland. I see some warmth next week, but, more chances of freezes and possible snow look to hang out the rest of the month into April!! A couple bumps in there, but, not many. 

A low of 15 tomorrow morning and a high of maybe just 28-30 for KC tomorrow. That's 30 degrees below average. This is an impressive cold airmass coming in this weekend. 

Your area should warm up next week as storms cut NW of you which will feel like Spring but it's going to a typical back n forth battle of the seasons through the rest of this month.  I see some warmth really building as we flip into APR, esp down by @Andie @OKwx2k4 @Black Hole into the Plains/MW for a period in early April.  Should really green things up and allow for vegetation to blossom.

[jcwxguy]

Convective look to the snow showers

[jcwxguy]

[hawkstwelve]

We've had light snow falling most of the day today along with fairly steady winds which have led to near whiteout conditions on occasion, especially looking out over the farmland. Almost looks like fog with the sun shining through the light/ground snow.

Pair all that with a temp of 11 and it does not look or feel like March out there!

[Hawkeye]

Next week was looking like maybe a big surge of warmth up here, with storms firing along the front.  Over the last day or two models have gradually shifted south, keeping this area cooler and less wet.

[Andie]

DFW will see a freeze Saturday night. Until Easter we will be chilly.  That’s the norm here. 

[westMJim]

The official high at Grand Rapids yesterday was 49 reached at 4:25 AM the temperature fell all day and reached the low of 27 at 11:59 PM. There was 0.35” of ran fall and a trace of snow fall, there was no sunshine. The overnight low here in MBT so far for today is the current temperature of 20 and there is snow falling and I have 2” now on the ground. For today the average H/L is 45/27 the record high of 75 was set in 1894,1903 and 2012. The record low of 5 was set in 1965 and todays record snow fall amount of 5.7” was set in 1965.

[Clinton]

It is a chilly morning with a temp of 19.  Wind Chills in the area are in the single didgets.

 

NWS Kansas City

 

@NWSKansasCity

 

 

If you are heading out early this morning, bundle up because its cold out there! Here's some wind chills as of 6am: KC: 2 Lees Summit: 0 St Joseph: -1 Kirksville: -3 Chillicothe: 2 Sedalia: 5 Olathe: 4 Gardner: 3 Marshall: 6 Maryville: -1 Moberly: 7

[Clinton]

No sustained warmth showing up when looking at the MJO.  Cold rain and sloppy snow could last into mid April.

Should the MJO go into phase 7 as we enter April that would be a below average temp signal as well.

[Stacsh]

3” of lake snows already.  Feels very winter out.  Squally weather all day today.  Currently 16 with snow/blowing snow 

[Tom]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

No sustained warmth showing up when looking at the MJO.  Cold rain and sloppy snow could last into mid April.

Should the MJO go into phase 7 as we enter April that would be a below average temp signal as well.

I just read that Chicago will have the 2nd coldest weekend of 2023...let alone in Mid-March!  Just so sad to have all the wasted BN temps so late in the season.  

[Tom]

Some bone-chilling cold up in the Dakota's this morning...that Glacier has held its ground for many months up there.  I remember a few years back that parts of W ND didn't have any snow at all for a few months one winter.  Ol' Man Winter has decided to come back for a lot of those folks.

 

 

[Tom]

@Madtown...setting record lows this morning...BRRRR!

[Stacsh]

What month is this? 

[westMJim]

Getting a heavy snow shower here at the current time . There is now 3" of snow on the ground here. Before todays snow the seasonal total here at Grand Rapids was 105.2"

[Hawkeye]

This airmass is no joke.  It's currently 19º here at mid afternoon.

[Icewoz]

Amazing how they predict cold air so well

[Andie]

DFW will see a late freeze tonight.   
Currently 46*. Wind NNE 7 mph

Humidity 56%   Feels damp and chilly   
Pretty miserable. Cold air gave me a migraine so I’m ready for slightly warmer weather.  Possible rain Thurs.  Thsts s long way away in No Texas!

 

[Timmy Supercell]

Winter still holding on! Chilly 25 right now with some frigid NNW winds out. The high was briefly 43 but the average afternoon temp was in the upper 30's. I'd say it feels like January.

[Timmy Supercell]

There is this cute little woodpecker near the house every day for the last few weeks. The tree right in front of my house just might be one of its favorite places 

[westMJim]

The official high of 27 at Grand Rapids was recorded just after midnight and the low of 15 was set at 9AM. There was 0.12” of precipitation that fell as 4” of snow fall for the season GR is now up to 109.2” for March there now has been 22.1” of snow fall. Between snow squalls there was 47% of sunshine yesterday. Overnight with clear skies it has now fallen all the way down to 15 here in MBY. And I have 3.5” of snow on the ground.  For today the average H/L is now up to 46/28 the record high of 81 was set in 2012 and the record low of 0 was set in 1923 the record snow fall amount of 3.3” fell in 1971. Last year the H/L was 43/37. The next several days look to be turning warmer with several chances of rain or snow. Next weekend is a toss up at this time.

 

[westMJim]

Today the sun is above the horizon around 12H 8M that is about the same as it is on September 22^nd

 

[Clinton]

KC almost set a record yesterday and its another chilly morning with a temp of 16.

The record for coldest high temperature for yesterday's date (3/18) in Kansas City is 26 (1965). We only hit 27 yesterday just missing the record but that was good enough for the silver.

#ChillinInKC

#ItWasStillWayTooCold

[Black Hole]

I see a 19F on the latest ob for Tulsa. Not a record, but definitely cold for this time of year. Should warm up big time over the next few days and could be pushing 80 by Wednesday. Some rain Tuesday, but next severe threat still looks like Thursday. 

[Black Hole]

Here is the CSU and SPC probabilities for Thursday, which will probably be the best chance of svr wx. 

[westMJim]

There was a major accidents on I-96 yesterday about 50 miles east of here. From Wood TV

https://www.woodtv.com/news/ionia-county/firefighters-50-plus-vehicle-pileup-on-i-96-near-portland/

And Wzzm

https://www.wzzm13.com/article/news/local/i-96-closed-after-50-car-pile-up-portland/69-32804989-8c99-4113-8a3b-cefc654e4982

 

[Clinton]

The storm for next Thursday and Friday looks interesting and powerful.  A legit severe weather threat for the southern plains and potentially a blizzard NW of the I-35 corridor in Nebraska and Iowa.

[Tom]

8 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

There is this cute little woodpecker near the house every day for the last few weeks. The tree right in front of my house just might be one of its favorite places 

Your friendly "Woody Wood Pecker" ....I have one of those in my backyard as well and enjoy hearing the sound of him pecking away on my trees.  

[Tom]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

KC almost set a record yesterday and its another chilly morning with a temp of 16.

The record for coldest high temperature for yesterday's date (3/18) in Kansas City is 26 (1965). We only hit 27 yesterday just missing the record but that was good enough for the silver.

#ChillinInKC

#ItWasStillWayTooCold

Ya, I was combing through some social media and it looked like mid January with squally snow showers yesterday back home.  Glad I'm not there!

Meanwhile, where it really does Look and Feel like the dead of Winter is up in the U.P.  I've skied here before the name change when it was Indianhead Mtn Resort and now SnowRiver.  Fresh powder on the trails this morning as they got 20" of snow the past couple days.  Ahhh, it brings back some good memories....

https://www.snowriver.com/live-cam

[Tom]

Woah, saw this on the snowfall maps this morning.  As crazy as this sounds, it snowed WAY down south near the Mexico border in SW TX!

[Stacsh]

1 hour ago, westMJim said:

There was a major accidents on I-96 yesterday about 50 miles east of here. From Wood TV

https://www.woodtv.com/news/ionia-county/firefighters-50-plus-vehicle-pileup-on-i-96-near-portland/

And Wzzm

https://www.wzzm13.com/article/news/local/i-96-closed-after-50-car-pile-up-portland/69-32804989-8c99-4113-8a3b-cefc654e4982

 

It went from sunny to near blizzard conditions several times yesterday.  Amazed at the amount of melting when the sun came out and it was 19 degrees.   Sun should do a number on the snow today even though temps will top out in the 30’s.  

[Sparky]

18 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

This airmass is no joke.  It's currently 19º here at mid afternoon.

It's kinda upsetting having it this cold now! Hopefully the tulips won't be damaged. They are several inches tall and were okay down to the mid teens the other day, but I'm not sure how they'll look after it warms up again after yesterday morning's low of 9⁰, another frigid night, and extended below freezing temperatures. 

 

9 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

There is this cute little woodpecker near the house every day for the last few weeks. The tree right in front of my house just might be one of its favorite places 

I see these occasionally. Looks like it's a Downy or Hairy woodpecker. 

[chescowxman]

Today's morning low was 22.5 this was the coldest morning since the 21.0 low on February 5th. Today will be our last well below normal day for quite a while. Temps look to rebound to near normal tomorrow and then get to well above normal by Thursday. Dry weather looks likely till our next rain chances come Friday.

Records for today: High 79 (1918) / Low 7 (1993) / Precipitation 3.15" (1958) / Snow 17.0" (1958). That 1958 snowstorm was the storm that brought over 40" of snow to much of NW Chester County into SE Berks County with Morgantown recording a storm total of 50.0"

[Niko]

Brutal cold yesterday here in S MI as temps hovered all day between 20-25F. Way BN. Squalls throughout the day added up in the snow dept. Now, Dtw is at 37.0" for the season and for the month, ranks at an impressive 16.1", which is wild, considering the mild winter we had here.

[Andie]

56 today.  Warming to 80 Wednesday the 77 Thursday and a 60% chance of thunderstorms.  
Hoping so. We need it. 

[Iceresistance]

8 minutes ago, Andie said:

56 today.  Warming to 80 Wednesday the 77 Thursday and a 60% chance of thunderstorms.  
Hoping so. We need it. 

Severe Storms and flooding rainfall expected, a new thread is coming

[westMJim]

Good morning and welcome to the spring equinox that happens at 5:24PM today. Yesterday was a sunny but cool day here in Grand Rapids with the official H/L of 34/17 there was no rain or snow fall and 100% of possible sunshine. The day started with officially 2” of snow on the ground. The overnight low here in MBY this morning so far is 28 with clear skies. There is just a trace of snow on the ground now and of course the snow piles. For today the average H/L is 46/28 the record high of 83 was set in 2012 and the record low of +3 was set in 1965 the most snow fall of 8.4” fell in 1940. Last year the H/L was 56/30. The next several days look to be seasonally mild with highs in the 40’s and low 50’s with a chance of snow or rain at times. There is a system that may affect the area on the weekend.

[chescowxman]

 

Happy 1st day of spring to those who celebrate! We will reach a near normal high today of near 50 degrees before we warm almost 10 degrees tomorrow to near 60. The warmest day of the week looks to be on Thursday with highs in the middle 60's but also a chance of some showers.. We could use some rain as we have not seen any measurable rain since the 11th.

Records for today: High 83 degrees (1945) / Low 9 degrees (1965) / Precipitation 1.28" (1958) / Snow 3.5" (1965)

[Tom]

Spring will be officially arriving at 2:24pm local time!  Will it feel like Spring?  Well, for some yes...but for others up north and west most likely Not.  An active SW Flow pattern this week is going to keep my area out here in the SW largely BN and wet through mid week.  Gosh, this has been a very very big change in the overall pattern out here in Arizona since last year's Monsoon season.  Something really switched and even the locals are talking about it.  I ran into an old family friend at the grocery store yesterday morning and he even brought it up how much colder/wetter the pattern has been since last Fall.  He's been living here for about 20 years or so and this is the worst weather he's experienced out here.  

When I drive around town and look up at all the hills and mountains they are filled with blooming vegetation.  It is so green out here, its phenomenal.  I remember flipping through the models back in Sept and my intuition led me to believe that something special was going to transpire out in this region.  Remember this map?  The sign of the Cross down in AZ...#ChristConsciousness 
 

Just like it was written in scripture from the Bible...
 

Isaiah 35:1-6 In-Context

The deserts will become as green as the mountains of Lebanon, as lovely as Mount Carmel or the plain of Sharon. There the LORD will display his glory, the splendor of our God.

Anyway, not to get to Biblical on here but that memory stands out to me as we open up to a new season later today.  In regards to Spring wx, our forecast isn't necessarily Spring Break worthy.  Although, later in the week it does get nicer but temps remain BN for the time of year.  PHX's normal highs are in the upper 70's (79F).

 

 

[Andie]

First day of Spring!!!
By the time our storms get to us Wed/Thurs we’ll be in the 70’s-80.  
May get bumpy.

 

[hawkstwelve]

ECMWF has really been standing on it's own for the Wed/Thurs system, maintaining a more southerly and weaker track while the GFS/CMC remains northern and stronger.

Will the Euro score a major victory on it's own, or will the two underdogs overtake the King and pull out the W? Stay tuned!

[gimmesnow]

That forecast in Ironwood, I really messed up, I screwed up and should have left Cascade directly to Snow River.

[Timmy Supercell]

16 for a low this morning. Even colder than yesterday in Ashland!

[MIKEKC]

Winter wanting to hang out right up to April 1st. This is at the end of the Canadian model....

[MIKEKC]

Snowstorm in KC 1 week from today....

The pattern is far from springy!! Anybody have teleconnections or other data to support a wintry last week of March which nobody wants. 

[WinterSquall23]

Snow squalls all day Saturday.  Temp stayed below freezing all day even with the sun.  Amazing!  #MarchIsNoJoke. 

[james1976]

About 40 last couple days up here. Very slow melt. Still a lot of snow OTG. Spring starts today! Hope we get to some real spring weather soon.

[hawkstwelve]

Sounds like NWS FSD is leaning towards the Euro solution over the GFS, although they mention there is still considerable spread among the ensembles so it's still up in the air. 

Hard to bet against the Euro, especially when it's consistent like this. Gotta think it will win out and FSD won't see more than an inch which, honestly, is A-OK with me.