Jump to content

March 2023 Observations and Discussion


Tom

Recommended Posts

I see a 19F on the latest ob for Tulsa. Not a record, but definitely cold for this time of year. Should warm up big time over the next few days and could be pushing 80 by Wednesday. Some rain Tuesday, but next severe threat still looks like Thursday. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The storm for next Thursday and Friday looks interesting and powerful.  A legit severe weather threat for the southern plains and potentially a blizzard NW of the I-35 corridor in Nebraska and Iowa.

  • Like 3
  • Rain 1
  • scream 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

There is this cute little woodpecker near the house every day for the last few weeks. The tree right in front of my house just might be one of its favorite places 😇

Your friendly "Woody Wood Pecker" ....I have one of those in my backyard as well and enjoy hearing the sound of him pecking away on my trees.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

KC almost set a record yesterday and its another chilly morning with a temp of 16.

The record for coldest high temperature for yesterday's date (3/18) in Kansas City is 26 (1965). We only hit 27 yesterday just missing the record but that was good enough for the silver.

Ya, I was combing through some social media and it looked like mid January with squally snow showers yesterday back home.  Glad I'm not there!

Meanwhile, where it really does Look and Feel like the dead of Winter is up in the U.P.  I've skied here before the name change when it was Indianhead Mtn Resort and now SnowRiver.  Fresh powder on the trails this morning as they got 20" of snow the past couple days.  Ahhh, it brings back some good memories....


https://www.snowriver.com/live-cam

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, westMJim said:

It went from sunny to near blizzard conditions several times yesterday.  Amazed at the amount of melting when the sun came out and it was 19 degrees.   Sun should do a number on the snow today even though temps will top out in the 30’s.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

This airmass is no joke.  It's currently 19º here at mid afternoon.

It's kinda upsetting having it this cold now! Hopefully the tulips 🌷 won't be damaged. They are several inches tall and were okay down to the mid teens the other day, but I'm not sure how they'll look after it warms up again after yesterday morning's low of 9⁰, another frigid night, and extended below freezing temperatures. 

 

9 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

There is this cute little woodpecker near the house every day for the last few weeks. The tree right in front of my house just might be one of its favorite places 😇

I see these occasionally. Looks like it's a Downy or Hairy woodpecker. 

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Today's morning low was 22.5 this was the coldest morning since the 21.0 low on February 5th. Today will be our last well below normal day for quite a while. Temps look to rebound to near normal tomorrow and then get to well above normal by Thursday. Dry weather looks likely till our next rain chances come Friday.
Records for today: High 79 (1918) / Low 7 (1993) / Precipitation 3.15" (1958) / Snow 17.0" (1958). That 1958 snowstorm was the storm that brought over 40" of snow to much of NW Chester County into SE Berks County with Morgantown recording a storm total of 50.0"
image.png.fff84694bb36d186547fe466fce73ffc.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  Climate change is real and natural but not to be feared as there exists no evidence that it will lead to any future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be static and unchanging. The raw analytics across all available long term COOP sites in Chester County has only yielded simple cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Data derived from climate models is to be viewed with healthy skepticism. To date we have been unable to validate even one predicted climate or weather event as attributable to climate change. True climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Brutal cold yesterday here in S MI as temps hovered all day between 20-25F. Way BN. Squalls throughout the day added up in the snow dept. Now, Dtw is at 37.0" for the season and for the month, ranks at an impressive 16.1", which is wild, considering the mild winter we had here.

  • Like 3

Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct'22:  Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22:  2.5" Below Average /Normal is 2.9"

Dec'22:  5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.5"

Jan'23:  11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.3"

Feb '23:  2.2"  Well Below Average / Normal is 18.4"

March '23: 16.1" Above Average / Normal is 5.0"

(Season is @ 37.0")

Link to comment
Share on other sites

56 today.  Warming to 80 Wednesday the 77 Thursday and a 60% chance of thunderstorms.  
Hoping so. We need it. 

  • Like 2

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Andie said:

56 today.  Warming to 80 Wednesday the 77 Thursday and a 60% chance of thunderstorms.  
Hoping so. We need it. 

Severe Storms and flooding rainfall expected, a new thread is coming

  • Storm 3

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Good morning and welcome to the spring equinox that happens at 5:24PM today. Yesterday was a sunny but cool day here in Grand Rapids with the official H/L of 34/17 there was no rain or snow fall and 100% of possible sunshine. The day started with officially 2” of snow on the ground. The overnight low here in MBY this morning so far is 28 with clear skies. There is just a trace of snow on the ground now and of course the snow piles. For today the average H/L is 46/28 the record high of 83 was set in 2012 and the record low of +3 was set in 1965 the most snow fall of 8.4” fell in 1940. Last year the H/L was 56/30. The next several days look to be seasonally mild with highs in the 40’s and low 50’s with a chance of snow or rain at times. There is a system that may affect the area on the weekend.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Happy 1st day of spring to those who celebrate! We will reach a near normal high today of near 50 degrees before we warm almost 10 degrees tomorrow to near 60. The warmest day of the week looks to be on Thursday with highs in the middle 60's but also a chance of some showers.. We could use some rain as we have not seen any measurable rain since the 11th.
Records for today: High 83 degrees (1945) / Low 9 degrees (1965) / Precipitation 1.28" (1958) / Snow 3.5" (1965)
image.png.66eec6b17015cdd36bd591ac63b16ad5.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  Climate change is real and natural but not to be feared as there exists no evidence that it will lead to any future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be static and unchanging. The raw analytics across all available long term COOP sites in Chester County has only yielded simple cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Data derived from climate models is to be viewed with healthy skepticism. To date we have been unable to validate even one predicted climate or weather event as attributable to climate change. True climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Spring will be officially arriving at 2:24pm local time!  Will it feel like Spring?  Well, for some yes...but for others up north and west most likely Not.  An active SW Flow pattern this week is going to keep my area out here in the SW largely BN and wet through mid week.  Gosh, this has been a very very big change in the overall pattern out here in Arizona since last year's Monsoon season.  Something really switched and even the locals are talking about it.  I ran into an old family friend at the grocery store yesterday morning and he even brought it up how much colder/wetter the pattern has been since last Fall.  He's been living here for about 20 years or so and this is the worst weather he's experienced out here.  

When I drive around town and look up at all the hills and mountains they are filled with blooming vegetation.  It is so green out here, its phenomenal.  I remember flipping through the models back in Sept and my intuition led me to believe that something special was going to transpire out in this region.  Remember this map?  The sign of the Cross down in AZ...#ChristConsciousness 
 

Just like it was written in scripture from the Bible...
 

Isaiah 35:1-6 In-Context

The deserts will become as green as the mountains of Lebanon, as lovely as Mount Carmel or the plain of Sharon. There the LORD will display his glory, the splendor of our God.

CFSv2 DEC Precip_Sign of The Cross.gif

Anyway, not to get to Biblical on here but that memory stands out to me as we open up to a new season later today.  In regards to Spring wx, our forecast isn't necessarily Spring Break worthy.  Although, later in the week it does get nicer but temps remain BN for the time of year.  PHX's normal highs are in the upper 70's (79F).

 

Screen Shot 2023-03-20 at 5.17.11 AM.png 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

First day of Spring!!! 🌷
By the time our storms get to us Wed/Thurs we’ll be in the 70’s-80.  
May get bumpy.


 

0D03E4A1-9A33-4541-AD49-1A971C996439.png

  • Like 3
  • Storm 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 for a low this morning. Even colder than yesterday in Ashland!

  • scream 1
  • Shivering 2

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - 0.60"
First freeze: Oct 9th
Measurable snows: 2
Coldest low: -3 (12/23)

Thunders: 11
1/3, 1/12, 3/1, 3/24, 3/31, 4/1, 4/5, 4/14, 4/21, 4/22
4/28, 

Other 2023 Stats
Max Wind: 55mph (3/24)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 1 / 0
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 0 / 1
Hailstorms: None yet

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

More like winter right now. 

High of 53 today.

Tomorrow will see low 60's, Wed. low 70's, Thurs. low 80's . Thunderstorms come in. 

Here we go.  Spring.

  • Like 2

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Breaking News: Nino 3.4 is now above average in SST, and El Nino is incoming! 

More Storms and rain for the Spring and Summer!

  • Like 4
  • Rain 1

Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Texas will be glad for the rain although I’m sure it will have plenty of rough weather along with it.  

  • Storm 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Good morning! Calendar spring started we as a nice early spring day with the official H/L at Grand Rapid of 49/27 There was no rain or snow fall and the sun was out 80% of the possible time. The day started with a trace of snow on the ground. The overnight low so far was somewhat mild 35 and that is the current temperature. Only old snow piles and snow in the shade is on the ground at this time. For today the average H/L is 47/28 the record high of 87 was set in 2012 that 87 is also the record high for the month of March. The record low for today is 9 set in 1965. Last year on this date was a very nice spring day with a H/L of 62/30. The rest of the week looks to be near to just above average temperature wise with several chances of rain and or wet snow. Very typical for this time of the year.

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Today should be the best day of the week with temps near 60 degrees and sunny! Rain chances start to increase by Thursday through Saturday. This would be some much needed rain for the many farmers in the county. We may not see another sub freezing morning for at least the next week or longer.
Records for today: High 85 (1948) / Low 12 (1986) / Precipitation 3.45" (2000) / Snow 5.0" (1932)
image.png.4a0690b3340162cd6f48c7e170d15150.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  Climate change is real and natural but not to be feared as there exists no evidence that it will lead to any future calamity. The only true “Climate Deniers” are people who think the climate should be static and unchanging. The raw analytics across all available long term COOP sites in Chester County has only yielded simple cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Data derived from climate models is to be viewed with healthy skepticism. To date we have been unable to validate even one predicted climate or weather event as attributable to climate change. True climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 hours ago, Andie said:

Texas will be glad for the rain although I’m sure it will have plenty of rough weather along with it.  

It seems like in some of parts of the south, every time it rains it thunders. And most of the time it thunders, tornado sirens.. 

Or am I exaggerating? 😅

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 53 (as of 12/3)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - 0.60"
First freeze: Oct 9th
Measurable snows: 2
Coldest low: -3 (12/23)

Thunders: 11
1/3, 1/12, 3/1, 3/24, 3/31, 4/1, 4/5, 4/14, 4/21, 4/22
4/28, 

Other 2023 Stats
Max Wind: 55mph (3/24)
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 1 / 0
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 0 / 1
Hailstorms: None yet

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Euro has gone crazy-- personally--  I think  it's off. Likely WAY off, but its the Euro. -- But if so-- Top 10 snowiest March is possible for DSM and other locales in IA-- DSM currently 9.9" for March-- need 15.8" for Top 10. Long stretch - I get it- but Euro keeps shoving snowfield further SE with this system.  Local DMX disco's have gone full blown spring with no hint of snow in S.IA---  Is this winter fatigue - or legit forecasting??? I think some of both. Time will tell.

sn10_acc-imp.us_mw.png

  • Like 3

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

More sun than expected allowed Cedar Rapids to jump to 58º this afternoon.  It's really feeling like spring.

  • Like 3

season snowfall: 30.2"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

It seems like in some of parts of the south, every time it rains it thunders. And most of the time it thunders, tornado sirens.. 

Or am I exaggerating? 😅

At certain times of the year I could swear that thunder triggers the tornado sirens!!   
We’ve had one siren event so far this year.   The NW horizon was black as night and sirens wailing.  Always gives me the creeps.  
No,…I wouldn’t say you you’re exaggerating. 🤔
 

Rain coming Friday.  

  • Storm 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

51 minutes ago, Stacsh said:

La Niña to El Niño means a probable poopy summer in the Great Lakes.   2009 was terrible 

2009 was a very wet year, and also a wet and very cool summer here. At least we didn't have a drought! 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yesterday was the warmest day so far this March with an official H/L of 53/32. There was no rain or snow fall and the sun was out 52% of the possible time. The overnight low so far this morning is a mild 41 and with cloudy skies that is the current temperature. For today the average H/L is now at 47/29 the record high of 85 was set in 2012 and the record low of 6 was set in 1906 the most snow fall of 6.5” fell in 1965. Last year the H/L was 46/37.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

30% chance of rain today. 70% tomorrow.  
It will be a humid day with a high of 80.  The Low will push in from the west coast and deliver some much needed rain.  
We need it. It’s been a dry spring. 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was awakened by the sound of the gusty SW winds wailing against the south facing windows around 2:30am.  CF is making its way through the valley as we speak.

Screen Shot 2023-03-22 at 5.29.33 AM.png

 

Snowbowl has had 10" over the past 2 days and prob another FOOT by tomorrow...the incredible ski season continues (351" to date)...

Screen Shot 2023-03-22 at 5.32.58 AM.png

 

 

 

Pretty cool vids showing up on social media of the "Eye of the storm" that slammed into San Fransisco yesterday and continues to spin just offshore.  Notice the multiple vortices that spin up.  What a powerful cyclone!

image.gif

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It appears we may need a thread for the early weekend lakes cutter.  The southeast models have come northwest and the nw Euro is sagging back southeast.

image.thumb.png.059149f1dd39188c90d269b90edff4b1.png

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 30.2"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

12z UK

image.thumb.png.e226ddb0e6856331a5e8ed8232be949e.png

I just noticed last night models were trying to show some snow this weekend. LOL  Obviously this is never gonna happen, but I'll still follow along.  Looks like the GFS and several other models have the heavier snow further east than the UK and Euro do.  

Season Snowfall: ~ 20.00"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, bud2380 said:

I just noticed last night models were trying to show some snow this weekend. LOL  Obviously this is never gonna happen, but I'll still follow along.  Looks like the GFS and several other models have the heavier snow further east than the UK and Euro do.  

GFS came pretty far NW in the 12z run along with the NAM 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tom unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...