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March 2023 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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1 hour ago, Clinton said:

No sustained warmth showing up when looking at the MJO.  Cold rain and sloppy snow could last into mid April.

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Should the MJO go into phase 7 as we enter April that would be a below average temp signal as well.

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I just read that Chicago will have the 2nd coldest weekend of 2023...let alone in Mid-March!  Just so sad to have all the wasted BN temps so late in the season.  

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Some bone-chilling cold up in the Dakota's this morning...that Glacier has held its ground for many months up there.  I remember a few years back that parts of W ND didn't have any snow at all for a few months one winter.  Ol' Man Winter has decided to come back for a lot of those folks.

Glacier.jpeg

 

 

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Screen Shot 2023-03-18 at 5.57.00 AM.png

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DFW will see a late freeze tonight.   
Currently 46*. Wind NNE 7 mph

Humidity 56%   Feels damp and chilly   
Pretty miserable. Cold air gave me a migraine so I’m ready for slightly warmer weather.  Possible rain Thurs.  Thsts s long way away in No Texas! 😄

 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Winter still holding on! Chilly 25 right now with some frigid NNW winds out. The high was briefly 43 but the average afternoon temp was in the upper 30's. I'd say it feels like January.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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There is this cute little woodpecker near the house every day for the last few weeks. The tree right in front of my house just might be one of its favorite places 😇

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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The official high of 27 at Grand Rapids was recorded just after midnight and the low of 15 was set at 9AM. There was 0.12” of precipitation that fell as 4” of snow fall for the season GR is now up to 109.2” for March there now has been 22.1” of snow fall. Between snow squalls there was 47% of sunshine yesterday. Overnight with clear skies it has now fallen all the way down to 15 here in MBY. And I have 3.5” of snow on the ground.  For today the average H/L is now up to 46/28 the record high of 81 was set in 2012 and the record low of 0 was set in 1923 the record snow fall amount of 3.3” fell in 1971. Last year the H/L was 43/37. The next several days look to be turning warmer with several chances of rain or snow. Next weekend is a toss up at this time.

 

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I see a 19F on the latest ob for Tulsa. Not a record, but definitely cold for this time of year. Should warm up big time over the next few days and could be pushing 80 by Wednesday. Some rain Tuesday, but next severe threat still looks like Thursday. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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image.pngHere is the CSU and SPC probabilities for Thursday, which will probably be the best chance of svr wx. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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8 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

There is this cute little woodpecker near the house every day for the last few weeks. The tree right in front of my house just might be one of its favorite places 😇

Your friendly "Woody Wood Pecker" ....I have one of those in my backyard as well and enjoy hearing the sound of him pecking away on my trees.  

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1 hour ago, Clinton said:

KC almost set a record yesterday and its another chilly morning with a temp of 16.

The record for coldest high temperature for yesterday's date (3/18) in Kansas City is 26 (1965). We only hit 27 yesterday just missing the record but that was good enough for the silver.

Ya, I was combing through some social media and it looked like mid January with squally snow showers yesterday back home.  Glad I'm not there!

Meanwhile, where it really does Look and Feel like the dead of Winter is up in the U.P.  I've skied here before the name change when it was Indianhead Mtn Resort and now SnowRiver.  Fresh powder on the trails this morning as they got 20" of snow the past couple days.  Ahhh, it brings back some good memories....


https://www.snowriver.com/live-cam

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1 hour ago, westMJim said:

It went from sunny to near blizzard conditions several times yesterday.  Amazed at the amount of melting when the sun came out and it was 19 degrees.   Sun should do a number on the snow today even though temps will top out in the 30’s.  

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18 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

This airmass is no joke.  It's currently 19º here at mid afternoon.

It's kinda upsetting having it this cold now! Hopefully the tulips 🌷 won't be damaged. They are several inches tall and were okay down to the mid teens the other day, but I'm not sure how they'll look after it warms up again after yesterday morning's low of 9⁰, another frigid night, and extended below freezing temperatures. 

 

9 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

There is this cute little woodpecker near the house every day for the last few weeks. The tree right in front of my house just might be one of its favorite places 😇

I see these occasionally. Looks like it's a Downy or Hairy woodpecker. 

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Today's morning low was 22.5 this was the coldest morning since the 21.0 low on February 5th. Today will be our last well below normal day for quite a while. Temps look to rebound to near normal tomorrow and then get to well above normal by Thursday. Dry weather looks likely till our next rain chances come Friday.
Records for today: High 79 (1918) / Low 7 (1993) / Precipitation 3.15" (1958) / Snow 17.0" (1958). That 1958 snowstorm was the storm that brought over 40" of snow to much of NW Chester County into SE Berks County with Morgantown recording a storm total of 50.0"
image.png.fff84694bb36d186547fe466fce73ffc.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Brutal cold yesterday here in S MI as temps hovered all day between 20-25F. Way BN. Squalls throughout the day added up in the snow dept. Now, Dtw is at 37.0" for the season and for the month, ranks at an impressive 16.1", which is wild, considering the mild winter we had here.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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56 today.  Warming to 80 Wednesday the 77 Thursday and a 60% chance of thunderstorms.  
Hoping so. We need it. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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8 minutes ago, Andie said:

56 today.  Warming to 80 Wednesday the 77 Thursday and a 60% chance of thunderstorms.  
Hoping so. We need it. 

Severe Storms and flooding rainfall expected, a new thread is coming

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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Good morning and welcome to the spring equinox that happens at 5:24PM today. Yesterday was a sunny but cool day here in Grand Rapids with the official H/L of 34/17 there was no rain or snow fall and 100% of possible sunshine. The day started with officially 2” of snow on the ground. The overnight low here in MBY this morning so far is 28 with clear skies. There is just a trace of snow on the ground now and of course the snow piles. For today the average H/L is 46/28 the record high of 83 was set in 2012 and the record low of +3 was set in 1965 the most snow fall of 8.4” fell in 1940. Last year the H/L was 56/30. The next several days look to be seasonally mild with highs in the 40’s and low 50’s with a chance of snow or rain at times. There is a system that may affect the area on the weekend.

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Happy 1st day of spring to those who celebrate! We will reach a near normal high today of near 50 degrees before we warm almost 10 degrees tomorrow to near 60. The warmest day of the week looks to be on Thursday with highs in the middle 60's but also a chance of some showers.. We could use some rain as we have not seen any measurable rain since the 11th.
Records for today: High 83 degrees (1945) / Low 9 degrees (1965) / Precipitation 1.28" (1958) / Snow 3.5" (1965)
image.png.66eec6b17015cdd36bd591ac63b16ad5.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Spring will be officially arriving at 2:24pm local time!  Will it feel like Spring?  Well, for some yes...but for others up north and west most likely Not.  An active SW Flow pattern this week is going to keep my area out here in the SW largely BN and wet through mid week.  Gosh, this has been a very very big change in the overall pattern out here in Arizona since last year's Monsoon season.  Something really switched and even the locals are talking about it.  I ran into an old family friend at the grocery store yesterday morning and he even brought it up how much colder/wetter the pattern has been since last Fall.  He's been living here for about 20 years or so and this is the worst weather he's experienced out here.  

When I drive around town and look up at all the hills and mountains they are filled with blooming vegetation.  It is so green out here, its phenomenal.  I remember flipping through the models back in Sept and my intuition led me to believe that something special was going to transpire out in this region.  Remember this map?  The sign of the Cross down in AZ...#ChristConsciousness 
 

Just like it was written in scripture from the Bible...
 

Isaiah 35:1-6 In-Context

The deserts will become as green as the mountains of Lebanon, as lovely as Mount Carmel or the plain of Sharon. There the LORD will display his glory, the splendor of our God.

CFSv2 DEC Precip_Sign of The Cross.gif

Anyway, not to get to Biblical on here but that memory stands out to me as we open up to a new season later today.  In regards to Spring wx, our forecast isn't necessarily Spring Break worthy.  Although, later in the week it does get nicer but temps remain BN for the time of year.  PHX's normal highs are in the upper 70's (79F).

 

Screen Shot 2023-03-20 at 5.17.11 AM.png 

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First day of Spring!!! 🌷
By the time our storms get to us Wed/Thurs we’ll be in the 70’s-80.  
May get bumpy.


 

0D03E4A1-9A33-4541-AD49-1A971C996439.png

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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16 for a low this morning. Even colder than yesterday in Ashland!

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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More like winter right now. 

High of 53 today.

Tomorrow will see low 60's, Wed. low 70's, Thurs. low 80's . Thunderstorms come in. 

Here we go.  Spring.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Texas will be glad for the rain although I’m sure it will have plenty of rough weather along with it.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Good morning! Calendar spring started we as a nice early spring day with the official H/L at Grand Rapid of 49/27 There was no rain or snow fall and the sun was out 80% of the possible time. The day started with a trace of snow on the ground. The overnight low so far was somewhat mild 35 and that is the current temperature. Only old snow piles and snow in the shade is on the ground at this time. For today the average H/L is 47/28 the record high of 87 was set in 2012 that 87 is also the record high for the month of March. The record low for today is 9 set in 1965. Last year on this date was a very nice spring day with a H/L of 62/30. The rest of the week looks to be near to just above average temperature wise with several chances of rain and or wet snow. Very typical for this time of the year.

 

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