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2019 California and Southwest Weather Discussion Thread


Thunder98

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Despite the strong Santa Ana winds, 2019 starts off dead as usual in the California thread. Rose Parade should be fun today with all the wind, and some of the bands will feel very cold, but adrenaline may help them to feel somewhat warm, and then there's always those crazy people who have shorts, T-shirts, and flip flops even when temperatures are near freezing and the wind is howling away.

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Check out the sunset time today. Same time as November 5, which was the first workday in Standard Time. At that time solar declination was only 15.80 S. This morning on the 1st workday of 2019, declination is 22.89 S. Sunrise is 42 minutes later than November 5, however. That's because solar noon has shifted from 11:34 AM to 11:54 AM.

 

SSJan2.png

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High clouds are starting to come in and hopefully portend some nice rain so that this topic can get some life in it. Sunset tonight is approximately the same time as the first day of Fall Back, way back on November 4. That is 2 months ago. Tomorrow it's about a minute later. Meanwhile latest sunrise is not until next Tuesday, but we're within 12 seconds of that time.

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Lots of needed rain here the last week, but it looks like a dry pattern is starting and possibly this could be the last significant rain of the winter. Good thing is that hills are green and fire danger is down for a while.

Doubt it’s the last significant rain of the winter. Niño Feb/March can be pretty wet down there.

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Used to be. But with the new climate regime that started in around 2012, past performance no longer predicts future results. 2015-16 was a raging Niño and yet was very dry in SoCal from February on. Based on current model projections, there's every reason to believe this year will turn out similarly. I'd say the "fork" is a safer bet than any expectations of a 1997-98 redux.

Time will tell! The STJ has been pretty beefy this winter. Wouldn’t surprise me to see it make its presence known again at some point.

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