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PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)


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5 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

00z definitely looks more interesting for the weekend. 

Interesting like Tim and warmth interesting, or interesting like Jim snow and cold Interesting, or interesting like Timmy Supercell thunderstorms interesting, or interesting like MossMan windstorms interesting, or interesting like Jesse drizzle and cool interesting? 

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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7 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Hoping the pattern of energy and moisture focusing southward more into CA continues into the warm season. Great opportunity for warm core convection if lows get hung up in these positions as we enter May/June.

Was going to say this myself. Anthony brought up the ULL-warm season thunderstorm-esque nature of today's weather pattern.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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24 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Looking like Jim snow and cold interesting.

65E17061-0DD4-4E6E-9DF4-9CB11A4D7E9C.png

54E40D86-1337-4D0E-A39D-431ED4077A54.png

740E9007-EFB5-42D6-85C0-952DEFECEEFD.png

Need those blues to trend west or north or south or west but yeah looks like we might not be done with the snow just yet! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Need those blues to trend west or north or south or west but yeah looks like we might not be done with the snow just yet! 

Haha, later it shows you and I getting 9" inches on the 14th.  You can take that to the bank for sure.

sn10_acc-imp.us_state_wa.png

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Had to skip town for a bit on my own. Just had to. The wanderlust was too strong and the BS in my personal life just kept mounting. I impulse bought the plane tickets and the hostel while enjoying the fruits of being 21, the next morning insted of cancelling I decided to commit.

I've never travelled alone before so this is a big step for me. It's been one of the best experiences of my life so far.

Sorry about the stress, man. Life’s a bïtch. Glad you found a way to escape, though.

And it might snow there later tonight. ❄️ 

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3 hours ago, AlTahoe said:

Apparently Truckee high school has exceeded the snow load rating for their building. South lake tahoe fire drove around my neighborhood yesterday telling everyone to remove snow from their roofs before the incoming rain this weekend.

SmartSelect_20230307_023231_Twitter.jpg

Lockdowns and stay at home all over again, 3 years later. 

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Well Tim hasn’t posted that it’s not coming this weekend so it might actually be coming this weekend? 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Looks like unfavorable timing with the system on Friday from the Seattle area northward with the bulk the precip moving through during daylight hours.    More interesting for SW WA and the Hood Canal.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Well Tim hasn’t posted that it’s not coming this weekend so it might actually be coming this weekend? 

Oh snap... I was posting just as you wrote that.   I think the only chance is really Friday.    It's not an entire weekend event.

In fact the GFS is pretty warm on Sunday at least for the Seattle area.   But it's the GFS.

gfs-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-8665600.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks like unfavorable timing with the system on Friday from the Seattle area northward with the bulk the precip moving through during daylight hours.    More interesting for SW WA and the Hood Canal.

And even this area is iffy. The timing could change slightly and 6 hrs could make all the difference. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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The 06Z ECMWF shows snow across most of SW WA late Thursday night into Friday morning with the more favorable timing in terms of daylight.  

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-8492800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The 06Z ECMWF shows snow across most of SW WA late Thursday night into Friday morning with the more favorable timing in terms of daylight.  

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-8492800.png

SCORE! Though this is total snow, some of this probably falls the next day or two.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

SCORE! Though this is total snow, some of this probably falls the next day or two.

Probably... but the lowland snow in SW WA is primarily late Thursday night into Friday morning. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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