PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)

[Slushy Inch]

Nice ridge.

[Meatyorologist]

It's been a long while since the great Pacific Northwest was graced by the immense surplus of raw energy in the Earth system.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

It's been a long while since the great Pacific Northwest was graced by the immense surplus of raw energy in the Earth system.

You mean sunshine and warmth?

[TacomaWx]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It's been a long while since the great Pacific Northwest was graced by the immense surplus of raw energy in the Earth system.

Raw meteorological energy or what?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS has an annoying ridge, but it also hits us pretty hard with the shortwave Monday night into Tuesday, so in the end I guess its all good. 

Was watching KEZI out of Eugene this evening and they were going for a high of only 43 on Sunday at EUG, which if that happened would break the daily min/max by 4F. Maybe a little overdone honestly, but still. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS has an annoying ridge, but it also hits us pretty hard with the shortwave Monday night into Tuesday, so in the end I guess its all good. 

Was watching KEZI out of Eugene this evening and they were going for a high of only 43 on Sunday at EUG, which if that happened would break the daily min/max by 4F. Maybe a little overdone honestly, but still. 

I thought you wanted the grass kick started for your animals?   We have had weeks of anomalous deep troughing.    A nice little warm spell would be great.    There will be plenty more troughing of course.    

[TacomaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I thought you wanted the grass kick started for your animals?   We have had weeks of anomalous deep troughing.    A nice little warm spell would be great.    There will be plenty more troughing of course.    

You do realize that warm anomalies are purely satanic in nature?

[Slushy Inch]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS has an annoying ridge, but it also hits us pretty hard with the shortwave Monday night into Tuesday, so in the end I guess its all good. 

Was watching KEZI out of Eugene this evening and they were going for a high of only 43 on Sunday at EUG, which if that happened would break the daily min/max by 4F. Maybe a little overdone honestly, but still. 

When snow season is over ridge becomes the new best thing for me or actually thunderstorms. But it’s not like we get much.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Digesting some of these March numbers. It's really remarkable. Especially once you move away from I-5 stations impacted by the UHI. 

Coquille is going to have an all-time cold March, Brookings will be #2, North Bend #2 (Both only behind 1917), Crater Lake will be coldest all-time, Silver Falls will likely be coldest all time, Burns, OR coldest all-time, Baker City top 5 cold, Klamath Falls all time coldest, Eugene top 5, SLE top 10, Ashland #3, Medford #2 or 3, and the list goes on and on and on. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The GFS pattern evolution is pretty solid.

[Anti Marine Layer]

25 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

You do realize that warm anomalies are purely satanic in nature?

Are cold anomalies angelic in nature?

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The GFS pattern evolution is pretty solid.

GEFS seems less aggressive with the ridging so far.

[Slushy Inch]

6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

GEFS seems less aggressive with the ridging so far.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

GEFS seems less aggressive with the ridging so far.

I'm okay with a few days of ridging as long as it doesn't become a perma-ridge. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm okay with a few days of ridging as long as it doesn't become a perma-ridge. 

Me five Andrew.

Here are the aforementioned ensembles.

 

Long range TBA. Would be nice to get some wettish Swrly flow on the west side of the progressing ridge.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Me five Andrew.

Here are the aforementioned ensembles.

 

Long range TBA. Would be nice to get some wettish Swrly flow on the west side of the progressing ridge.

I think you came, at us, a little early with this, the dip is coming. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I think you came, at us, a little early with this, the dip is coming. 

[Deweydog]

162-0, baby!

[Phil]

GEFS goes back to our regularly scheduled programming after the interruption.

[Cascadia_Wx]

47 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I think you came, at us, a little early with this, the dip is coming. 

Good call Andrew. Looking nice.

[Slushy Inch]

12 minutes ago, Phil said:

GEFS goes back to our regularly scheduled programming after the interruption.

Cascades should have an extended ski season if cool down comes.

[Slushy Inch]

Toasty.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z Euro. Big ridge!

[Gradient Keeper]

Low 70s just 10 days away!

[Cloud]

9 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Low 70s just 10 days away!

It begins. 

[smerfylicious]

My tomatoes rejoice

[TT-SEA]

Lots of angst over what will probably be a 2 day warmer than normal event with rain close offshore and then back to troughing.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Lots of angst over what will probably be a 2 day warmer than normal event with rain close offshore and then back to troughing.  

No angst actually. Especially with additional blessings showing up in the long range, we will just know it is a short period of discomfort we will have to face together. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Northern Oregon Cascades-Cascades in Lane County-
Including the cities of Government Camp, Santiam Pass,
McKenzie Pass, and Willamette Pass
356 AM PDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 1500 feet. Total snow
  accumulations of 1 to 2 feet, except 2 to 4 feet above 3000 feet
  in elevation. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Northern Oregon Cascades and Cascades in Lane County.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 11 PM PDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility. Those with recreation
  plans in the Cascades this weekend should prepare for peak
  winter conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels will lower from around 3000
  feet to 1000 feet behind a cold front this evening, then snow
  levels will remain unseasonably low through Monday.
  Accumulating snow will be possible for elevations as low as 500
  feet, but the heaviest and most impactful accumulations will
  remain above 1500 feet.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Closer to home. 

Northern Oregon Cascade Foothills-
South Washington Cascade Foothills-
Including the cities of Silver Falls State Park and Ariel
356 AM PDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY ABOVE 1500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 1500 feet. Total snow
  accumulations of 4 to 12 inches, heaviest above 2000 feet.
  Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...In Oregon, Northern Oregon Cascade Foothills. In
  Washington, South Washington Cascade Foothills.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 11 PM PDT Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility. Those with recreation
  plans in the Cascades this weekend should prepare for peak
  winter conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels will lower from around 3000
  feet to 1000 feet behind a cold front this evening, then snow
  levels will remain unseasonably low through Monday.
  Accumulating snow will be possible for elevations as low as 500
  feet, but the heaviest and most impactful accumulations will
  remain above 1500 feet.

[Blizzard777]

14 hours ago, T-Town said:

The view is a relatively new thing for us. This is 2017 in Maple Valley. Six years and two dogs ago. We still enjoyed a frosty beverage in the yard though. 

We almost got a place over by Chambers Bay golf course….about 3-5 miles north of it (could have been near you from your pictures) with and view of the Sound.  Even put a down payment in but by the next day we both felt like something was off so we pulled out of the deal.  

up early to get another day in the yard before the rains show up later.  Been a fantastic week of getting stuff done outside!!!

42* 
 

[MossMan]

8 hours ago, Deweydog said:

162-0, baby!

[TacomaWx]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Pretty much sums up what the astros did to us last year 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Closing out a HISTORIC March today. Out 2nd warmest low of the month, right at average for the date, 36. Depending on the timing of the cold front we could see a cooler low prior to midnight. As of now we will end the month with an average low of 30.3. If we hit 35 or lower by midnight, it would round us down to 30.2, which would tie for 9th all-time coldest average March low and be the first top 10 month since 1985. As for highs, we will easily be #1 on that list. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Once again the complete Puget Sound centric nature of this forum is showing through with the astonishing apathy towards one of the most anomalously cold west coast months we have seen. 

[MossMan]

[The Cats Meow]

Is there going to be snow in the Oregon Mountains this weekend?

 

The forum must know.  We crave knowledge.

[ShawniganLake]

 

[The Cats Meow]

Looks like a nice little warm up.  We are over-due. Then yes, CRASH CRASH CRASH,,,,,,,,,,LOL

[ShawniganLake]

The incredible dryness in the BC interior this month (Kamloops has not measured any precipitation) comes as mixed blessings.  BC wildfire service is able to conduct numerous prescribed burns across the province. 

[Phil]

56 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Pretty much sums up what the astros did to us last year 

As a yanks fan I hate the Astros more the Redsox. They’re cheating bums, nothing more.

[Phil]

I’m pumped up.  

 

[Skagit Weather]

37 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Once again the complete Puget Sound centric nature of this forum is showing through with the astonishing apathy towards one of the most anomalously cold west coast months we have seen. 

I'm not saying this doesn't agree with your statement, but you may understand why the 36th or 32nd coldest March on record (and one of the driest) may not be super exciting for everyone North of Olympia. The high temperature this past month was actually warmer than average at BLI.

Bellingham

Seattle

Olympia

[The Blob]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

26 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

I'm not saying this doesn't agree with your statement, but you may understand why the 36th or 32nd coldest March on record (and one of the driest) may not be super exciting for everyone North of Olympia. The high temperature this past month was actually warmer than average at BLI.

Bellingham

Seattle

Olympia

Why I have always advocated for separate threads. I think a lot of Oregonians avoid this forum because they feel it’s a Washington insiders club. 

[The Blob]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Why I have always advocated for separate threads. I think a lot of Oregonians avoid this forum because they feel it’s a Washington insiders club. 

I like reading about the weather there and it can vary from location to location. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Monday night/Tuesday AM could be the REAL DEAL.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

59 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’m pumped up.  

 

Uh-oh Jim...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow. The ICON is very wet for Thursday/Friday next week.