PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)

[TT-SEA]

EPSL and foothills are awash in 60s.   

[Anti Marine Layer]

Above average down here for the first time since February 20, but it won't last long.

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS shows the south-north gradient over the next 15 days as well.    

[SouthHillFrosty]

Currently have the flu and my allergies are going crazy. I feel like Purdue rn

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I could be wrong but I don’t think BC has been especially dry this winter. 

No, especially back in Dec/Jan. Was pretty wet. And this is coming off an absolute soaker of a 2021-22 season.

[Meatyorologist]

He's back!

[Gradient Keeper]

56 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Always great to have you back posting btw!

Just when I thought model riding season was over. I guess not. Gracias!

55 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Spring 2022 redux

Snow again in April? I am done with Cold and Snow! honestly which may sound hard to believe. It's Spring time and time for Spring temperatures!

54 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Good weather for downvotes from a familiar nemesis. 

I'm not sure if I've ever downvoted anyone. Maybe? Is there a way we can check on that?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

60.8˚F.

[Meatyorologist]

This morning is the first 40F low of March at KSEA. Right on the dot, too. Nice stretch of cold overnight weather.

[Omegaraptor]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Spring 2022 redux

The big difference between this pattern and April/May 2022 is that the coldest/wettest anomalies are actually going to CA. April/May 2022 was actually warmer and drier than average for much of California. The cold/wet anomalies basically stopped at Mt Shasta.

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said:

The big difference between this pattern and April/May 2022 is that the coldest/wettest anomalies are actually going to CA. April/May 2022 was actually warmer and drier than average for much of California. The cold/wet anomalies basically stopped at Mt Shasta.

It's going to a good place at least, where they really need a blockbuster season and then some.

[Cascadia_Wx]

19 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It's going to a good place at least, where they really need a blockbuster season and then some.

Hopefully it could mean a different outcome for mid to late summer as well.

[Doinko]

46 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

No, especially back in Dec/Jan. Was pretty wet. And this is coming off an absolute soaker of a 2021-22 season.

Seems like OR has kind of been in between south of Portland, with this year being really wet for CA and last year being wet for WA. Previous years haven't been too great for Oregon too. 2018/19 was pretty good though.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

Seems like OR has kind of been in between south of Portland, with this year being really wet for CA and last year being wet for WA. Previous years haven't been too great for Oregon too. 2018/19 was pretty good though.

2016/2017 was wet for almost the entire west coast though

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hopefully it could mean a different outcome for mid to late summer as well.

I have a feeling we'll get a nice midsummer troughy period. From around my birthday on 7/21, up to early-mid August. I don't know why, it just seems out of left field and like the exact kind of random twist you'd expect out of a year like this. 2015 managed something similar, in that hell of a warm season.

It'll last 2-3 weeks and average around 2-4F below normal on the whole. Some rain too.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

16 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I have a feeling we'll get a nice midsummer troughy period. From around my birthday on 7/21, up to early-mid August. I don't know why, it just seems out of left field and like the exact kind of random twist you'd expect out of a year like this. 2015 managed something similar, in that hell of a warm season.

It'll last 2-3 weeks and average around 2-4F below normal on the whole. Some rain too.

That will be nice for y'all up north!

[TT-SEA]

First lawn mowing... which is really just getting all the branches and leaves off the grass.    Really strange as the leaves fell in early December on top of snow cover so more to clean up this spring since I did not do any clean up last fall.   But the grass has that mowed look now... then will put a little fertilizer down tomorrow and it will be green and growing by next weekend.   Skipped the fertilizer last spring and the lawn was horrible all summer.  Hate to do it but will go lightly and it will wash in perfectly with the light rain tomorrow night without washing away.   

[Cascadia_Wx]

Twelvezy EPS

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Nicest day in 6 months. Dog loves it. Perfect timing as he finally got the go ahead for more activity post TPLO surgery

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Nicest day in 6 months. Dog loves it. Perfect timing as he finally got the go ahead for more activity post TPLO surgery

There were mid 80s and wildfires burning through the third week of October here. That was just under five months ago. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sub-522 thickness by Friday morning. WOW.

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sub-522 thickness by Friday morning. WOW.

Slides right by western WA with no lowland snow... unlike some of those crazy snowy runs over the last couple of days.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

66 at PDX. What a disaster. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

[Anti Marine Layer]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

66 at PDX. What a disaster. 

Excessive Heat Warning

[Doinko]

20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

66 at PDX. What a disaster. 

68 now

[Anti Marine Layer]

11 minutes ago, Doinko said:

68 now

Luck of the Irish, except for those who want it cold, wet and gray all the time.

[TT-SEA]

My wife planted part of flower garden today... vegetable garden has at least a month to wait.  

[TT-SEA]

Looks like North Bend peaked at 68.   It felt like summer mowing the lawn today.   No chill to the air at all... barely a breeze.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

There were mid 80s and wildfires burning through the third week of October here. That was just under five months ago. 

Nicest, not hottest. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

30 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My wife planted part of flower garden today... vegetable garden has at least a month to wait.  

 I have to wait until mid April for gladys 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

 I have to wait until mid April for gladys 

Never had a problem planting them in March.  

[ShawniganLake]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

You might be right.

BC snowpack is a little below average overall, but not too bad. May and June are usually the deciding months on how the fire season turns out, though. 
 

 

 

[TT-SEA]

65 at SEA today... and 66 in Bremerton where they were given only a 2% chance of reaching 60 degrees.   They have done it two days in a row.    Just miraculous beating almost impossible odds!  

[TT-SEA]

Also 65 at BLI today.

[Deweydog]

Got a little pink today.

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Got a little pink today.

 

[snow_wizard]

Looks like 66/35 here today.  This might be the last day in the remarkable streaks of cold minimums many stations have going.  For me this was the 40th straight day to have a low of 40 or lower.  It's even more impressive when you look at the streaks of cold temps earlier in the season as well.

[snow_wizard]

31 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

BC snowpack is a little below average overall, but not too bad. May and June are usually the deciding months on how the fire season turns out, though. 
 

 

 

So much moisture has gotten shunted down to CA this season.  They most certainly needed it very badly though.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sub-522 thickness by Friday morning. WOW.

This could be one of those roller coaster springs.  They can be very enjoyable.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Slides right by western WA with no lowland snow... unlike some of those crazy snowy runs over the last couple of days.  

Thicknesses briefly drop blow 522 over Seattle as well.  Impressive.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

63F and the kiddos able to enjoy some time outside.

[snow_wizard]

10 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

63F and the kiddos able to enjoy some time outside.

Glad to see you posting again.

[runninthruda206]

Absolutely beautiful out there  

[Deweydog]

26 minutes ago, T-Town said:

 

[TT-SEA]

Looks like lows in the 40s across King County tonight per the ECMWF with incoming clouds and the east wind increasing.   The highs in the low to maybe mid 60s tomorrow but it will be more cloudy.   Rain arrives around 6 or 7 p.m. tomorrow evening (later north of Seattle) and goes off and on through most of Monday.    Then clearing and warmer Tuesday... and sunny Wednesday and a few degrees warmer again.   

A nice weekend and a rainy Monday... perfect timing.

[T-Town]

15 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Were you even listening to the dude’s story?

[Cold Snap]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

65 at SEA today... and 66 in Bremerton where they were given only a 2% chance of reaching 60 degrees.   They have done it two days in a row.    Just miraculous beating almost impossible odds!  

And now there’s a probability chart for the rain Sunday into Monday. This must be their new way of forecasting.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

39 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Glad to see you posting again.

Thanks man. Been a wild few weeks.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

BC snowpack is a little below average overall, but not too bad. May and June are usually the deciding months on how the fire season turns out, though. 
 

 

 

Looks like lots in the upper Fraser. That's typically the worst smoke producing region for our area so it's good to see. I didn't realize that area was running above average for snowpack.